Mo's Greyhound Markets
 

It seems either I had an overdue winning session last night , or I am over my horrific Losing Run.

I'll treat it as the storm is over and start posting my Markets again.

Here's the current bottom Line after being over $1,000 behind before last night.

Peak $8,388
Current $7,659
Loss -$728



BENDIGO Race 5

3 EURICO BALE $3.4
1 SANZ SURPRIZE $6.6
6 FINEST RESULT $8
7 SUPER RICO $8
8 DAVEN BALE $9
4 EXPLOSIVE MILNE $14
2 DIORO $17
5 YZAGA $18

I won't bother posting my suggested wagers because they tend to lose and also they tend not to be what I actually take anyway.
Its about interpreting what wager to make based on what is available.
And that only I can do come Race Time.

I have found a very important factor is the "degree of confidence" you have as regards your calculated Prices about each animal.
The Odds calculated are not an exact figure as it appears, but are in fact a ballpark figure which is selected from a range of possibilities.
The more confidence a handicapper is in the Price , then the narrower that band of Odds actually is.
And also , when seeing the ACTUAL Market , then an adjustment can be made within that band of Odds towards the direction that the Public suggests it should be.

Like in this Race . even though I have the top selection @ $3.40 , I could easily be influenced to shorten its Odds , should Joe Public suggest it.
In back of my mind it could in fact be a $2.40 chance - maybe less!!
And at the bottom of my line are 2 animals that I am not familiar with , and will heed Joe Publics advice as to should these animals need tinkering with or not.
The idea is to eliminate errors in my own handicapping and to highlight errors that Joe Public has made , and not the ones that appear to be made.
Today is extra Special as Fixed Odds are available and that is a good thing because early tote Odds are simply useless as a guide due to tiny Pools until last minute , as is Betfair , and the Fixed Odds allows the work to be carried out much earlier before race time.

BENDIGO Race 6

8 ARISING $2.6
2 BEAUTIFUL NOISE $6.7
6 HOSTILE WARRIOR $8.2
4 TRUBBO $9.2
5 GOLD AFFAIR TWO $11
1 PRANCING JOE $12
7 MISS ELUSIVE $25
3 NEW PLAY $33

Hard to see the top selection starting overs and hard to back something to beat it.

BENDIGO Race 3

1 TOP PLEDGE $3.8
8 EARLY RETURN $5.2
4 DYNA GREER $5.8
2 FOLEY BALE $10
5 LORDIE KEATS $12
3 ALDUS BALE $13
6 IKARI HONCHO $16
7 LITTLE BIG RIG $22

BENDIGO Race 2

5 OUR BUDDY $3
8 LEGGY ELLE $6.2
7 SCORSESE $6.8
1 CARLOS WEST $10
2 MCLARAN $12
3 DOT MAN $16
6 CAKEAHOLIC $18
4 APACHE GALO $20

BENDIGO Race 8

4 YARRAWOOD $3.6
3 LEKTRA FLY $4.4
2 JET LANE $5.4
7 ELLIE BALE $8.4
5 DAINTREE WARRIOR $12
1 SISCO SHADOW $20
6 MISS CHAPARAL $25
8 OUR SURGEON $50

BENDIGO Race 7

2 SMART INTENTION $4.3
3 TYER'S SPECIAL $4.9
7 ARNIE'S GIRL $6
1 EL MONTAGNA $7.5
4 ALLEN GORDY $8.2
9 MY BLUE LADY Res. $20
5 TUBESMAN $22
8 WANALTA PRINCESS $24

BENDIGO Race 10

7 GOTTA BE JOLLY $3.9
3 HODGE $4.2
4 ARVO'S TWINK $6.5
6 JALYN JONES $9
2 DOMINCO BALE $11
5 BOTANIC BEAUTY $12
1 PUBLIC PROPERTY $15

BENDIGO Race 11

3 BLACKALLS BOSS $3
4 MR. KANSAS $6.2
2 RIVERSIDE BUZZ $7.7
1 BANCE BALE $8.6
5 STORM A LITE $9
8 ARVO'S VIXEN $11
6 REN SHEN $25
7 SUM SUM KEATS $50

and thats Bendigo sorted.
Got only 2 races for Geelong tonight.
May not bother with them if the Losing Run ain't gone.

Couldn't have done worse had I tried :(
Saving Grace is that Joe Public done just as bad.

The amount of water on the track looks like deep in some parts.
This may make it very hard for animals at the back to make up ground.

well - worst day of my life again - so whats new?

GEELONG Race 8

2 MEPUNGA GEORDIE $3.8
1 DYNA FIG $5.8
6 BREATHE FEAR $6.3
5 FIZZLE BALE $7.1
8 GREYSYND NITRO $12
7 MY PREMIER $13
4 ONLY BLUFFING $16
3 WHODAT LASS $25

FlexiTri
126 - 1256 - 1256 for $5 worth
Flexi4
2 - 165 - 165 - 16587 for $5 worth