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-   -   Schmiley's "Super Lays"....... (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=27111)

TheSchmile 4th September 2013 12:13 PM

Schmiley's "Super Lays".......
 
Hi team propun,

This method has had a whole day of rigorous testing put to it, :D however the selections have been relatively short......

Selections

Canterbury 3-1 / 6-6 / 7-11

Eagle Farm 6-1 / 7-9

Balaclava 3-1

**All selections must have Betfair SP <=$10

It's based around track or distance winners being unders. We'll see how we go.

I'm going to keep a positive mind and a stiff upper lip for this one....:)

evajb001 4th September 2013 12:30 PM

TS,

Track and Distance winners is something i'm going to investigate further once I finalise some of the long list I've got on my to do list at the moment. While i've been putting together some ratings of sorts to assist with my pace/speed selections i've noticed that track and distance history have substantially less impact on a horses ability to win in todays race compared to other filters.

I'm not sure if this means those areas can be turned into a lay approach but as it stands for me at the moment i certainly allocate less of my rating towards these factors.

good luck with it

TheSchmile 4th September 2013 02:33 PM

Thanks mate
 
Cheers Josh,

I'm dabbling in this and that at the moment for a bit of a laugh.

After an arduous search for the right angle, I've come to the conclusion that quality Saturday races are the go. Perhaps something to look at with your ratings?

Going back many moons when you first had your ratings on LG's quaddie thread, I'm interested to know how they are faring these days? Especially the overs angle.

Keep me posted and all the best, your diligence and intelligent questioning will get you places!!

TheSchmile 4th September 2013 04:17 PM

Late Mail LAYS
 
Belmont 4-1,8

Chrome Prince 4th September 2013 04:28 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheSchmile
Selections

Canterbury 3-1 / 6-6 / 7-11

Eagle Farm 6-1 / 7-9

Balaclava 3-1



Only one accident and was short favourite so far, looks like it could have legs.

TheSchmile 4th September 2013 04:41 PM

Hi Chrome Prince,

The late mail at Belmont busted the rhythm, with number 8 winning and paying $6.60, though I think I know where I went wrong there.

Balaclava 3-1 was a high weight race which I didn't realise and when win betting I avoid these races like the plague.

Selections priced $10-20 have not saluted yet, so I may look into these further. I had a $1.44 shot go down yesterday.

It's keeping the cogs turning if nothing else....

TheSchmile 4th September 2013 05:30 PM

Result: SR 4/6 PL - 4.21
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheSchmile
Belmont 4-8 WON $6.6 -5.6 :(

Canterbury 3-1 unpl 8.4 / 6-6 unpl $7.98

Eagle Farm 6-1 unpl 3.35 / 7-9 3rd 7.8

Balaclava 3-1 WON $3.35 -2.35 :(

The Belmont 4-8 loss was a profit buster.

Canterbury race 7-11 Started at $10.13 SP, which was just outside the parameters.

I learnt a little I hope from today.

TheSchmile 5th September 2013 12:25 PM

Selections
 
Wyong 7-4 / 8-9

Seymour 9-8 / 10-1

**I'm changing the max price rule to <=$16 as of today.

Lord Greystoke 5th September 2013 12:31 PM

Get this one rolling as the gates swing open?

LG

TheSchmile 5th September 2013 01:24 PM

Perfect soundtrack LG!


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