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-   -   Profitable Value Lays on Betfair (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=32296)

UselessBettor 13th July 2024 10:00 AM

Profitable Value Lays on Betfair
 
Ive started putting together some live streams around lays. Might be worth posting here if anyone is interested.

13/07/24 Caulfield 1 8
13/07/24 Caulfield 5 19
13/07/24 Caulfield 9 2
13/07/24 Randwick 3 11
13/07/24 Randwick 3 13
13/07/24 Randwick 4 15
13/07/24 Randwick 7 14

Don't feel right putting a link directly to the page but if you are interested in the analysis you can find it on my channel winningsportsbettingadvice on youtube.

partypooper 13th July 2024 05:11 PM

lays
 
Good to see you posting UB, and 100% S/R. Re: MR5-19, no way could I lay that one though got shuffled back last run, and 3 runs prior as follows:

2nd last run beaten .5 length
3rd last run beaten 1.6 lengths
4th last run beaten 2.6 lengths

and Jye Mcneil on board today

easy after the race eh?

UselessBettor 14th July 2024 02:54 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by partypooper
Good to see you posting UB, and 100% S/R. Re: MR5-19, no way could I lay that one though got shuffled back last run, and 3 runs prior as follows:

2nd last run beaten .5 length
3rd last run beaten 1.6 lengths
4th last run beaten 2.6 lengths

and Jye Mcneil on board today

easy after the race eh?


I find the method I use is good enough to get a few % profits over time but its slow progress.

UselessBettor 14th July 2024 02:55 PM

Apologies I forgot to post todays ones here but they were online in the live stream before the races:

14/07/24 Wodonga 1 3
14/07/24 Wodonga 2 13
14/07/24 Wodonga 6 8
14/07/24 Wodonga 7 8
14/07/24 Wodonga 7 12
14/07/24 Wodonga 8 11
14/07/24 Ballarat 1 2
14/07/24 Ballarat 4 12
14/07/24 Ballarat 4 13
14/07/24 Grafton 1 15
14/07/24 Grafton 1 16
14/07/24 Grafton 1 17
14/07/24 Grafton 4 10
14/07/24 Grafton 4 15
14/07/24 Grafton 5 14
14/07/24 Grafton 6 21
14/07/24 Grafton 7 18

Quite a few of these were above my maximum odds . But even without that sitting at 100% Strike Rate still (you would expect that with these odds so that isn't exactly a flex lol ).

partypooper 14th July 2024 05:25 PM

and again
 
100% again SB, just what I expect.

Difference between us is that I'm looking for long shots that could win, whereas you're looking for long shots that can't.

UselessBettor 14th July 2024 06:51 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by partypooper
100% again SB, just what I expect.

Difference between us is that I'm looking for long shots that could win, whereas you're looking for long shots that can't.


Pretty much, and both ways work.

partypooper 15th July 2024 12:51 AM

usually
 
well, I've had a few spectacular wins especially with BF, but it can be a long time between drinks, I suspect in your case the opposite?

UselessBettor 15th July 2024 06:23 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by partypooper
well, I've had a few spectacular wins especially with BF, but it can be a long time between drinks, I suspect in your case the opposite?


yep steady profits and then a short time of absolutely horrible runs that give back a good percentage but overall it works for me and I make a long term profit.

UselessBettor 20th July 2024 10:02 AM

For those interested here is the analysis for todays races which was live streamed today:

https://youtube.com/live/ILDpmz_x6yE?feature=share

Laying for $30 each on these ones:

20/07/24 Rosehill 2 10
20/07/24 Rosehill 2 16
20/07/24 Rosehill 2 19
20/07/24 Rosehill 5 13
20/07/24 Rosehill 6 5
20/07/24 Rosehill 6 8
20/07/24 Rosehill 6 10
20/07/24 Flemington 1 8
20/07/24 Flemington 1 9
20/07/24 Flemington 3 9
20/07/24 Flemington 3 15
20/07/24 Flemington 8 15
20/07/24 Eagle Farm 4 14
20/07/24 Eagle Farm 7 5
20/07/24 Eagle Farm 7 7
20/07/24 Eagle Farm 7 14
20/07/24 Morphettville 2 13
20/07/24 Morphettville 2 15
20/07/24 Morphettville 5 6
20/07/24 Morphettville 7 14
20/07/24 Belmont 1 7
20/07/24 Belmont 1 4
20/07/24 Belmont 5 14
20/07/24 Belmont 6 9

The live stream has the max odds which I would take.

UselessBettor 21st July 2024 09:22 AM

Well 100% strike rate so far (not surprising with the odds so don't read anything into that yet).

Results and analysis into todays selections and a look at some Jockey stuff:

https://youtube.com/live/tzt1X-YbqFM?feature=share

Sundays selections

21/07/24 Pakenham 2 3
21/07/24 Pakenham 3 8
21/07/24 Pakenham 3 9
21/07/24 Sunshine Coast 3 13
21/07/24 Sunshine Coast 5 12
21/07/24 Sunshine Coast 7 19
21/07/24 Hawksberry 4 3
21/07/24 Grafton 1 9
21/07/24 Grafton 1 10
21/07/24 Grafton 8 19

Chrome Prince 21st July 2024 08:46 PM

So that's you UB, I've watched many of your other videos over time, I'm interested in your jockey strategy, so keep the videos coming and best of luck with it.

UselessBettor 25th July 2024 07:40 PM

Thanks CP

UselessBettor 27th July 2024 10:03 AM

Im still going at 100% strike rate but there is some rain around today which can make it interesting. Here are the lays for today but I do set the maximum odds which are available in the live stream which can be watched here:

https://youtube.com/live/QPfjlaK9x3E?feature=share


27/07/24 Randwick 2 15
27/07/24 Randwick 3 18
27/07/24 Randwick 7 8
27/07/24 Randwick 8 11
27/07/24 Caulfield 1 7
27/07/24 Caulfield 4 5
27/07/24 Caulfield 5 13
27/07/24 Caulfield 6 12
27/07/24 Caulfield 7 7
27/07/24 Caulfield 9 1
27/07/24 Doomben 1 8
27/07/24 Doomben 2 3
27/07/24 Doomben 3 15
27/07/24 Doomben 4 20
27/07/24 Doomben 5 6
27/07/24 Doomben 6 14
27/07/24 Doomben 7 9
27/07/24 Doomben 8 10
27/07/24 Doomben 9 14
27/07/24 Belmont 3 11
27/07/24 Belmont 4 1
27/07/24 Belmont 6 11
27/07/24 Belmont 7 11
27/07/24 Belmont 8 15



Profit so far from the lays risking $30 is +$19.83 assuming you are paying 7% commission with no discount.

UselessBettor 4th August 2024 01:12 PM

These were the selections yesterday.

03/08/24 Flemington 2 7
03/08/24 Flemington 5 7
03/08/24 Flemington 7 12
03/08/24 Flemington 9 6
03/08/24 Doomben 7 16
03/08/24 Newcastle 5 15
03/08/24 Newcastle 6 9
03/08/24 Gilgandra 1 1
03/08/24 Gilgandra 1 9
03/08/24 Gilgandra 3 10
03/08/24 Gilgandra 4 12
03/08/24 Gilgandra 5 13
03/08/24 Gilgandra 9 13
03/08/24 Murray Bridge 1 1
03/08/24 Murray Bridge 4 10
03/08/24 Murray Bridge 5 15
03/08/24 Murray Bridge 9 18

I forgot to post them here after the live stream but was in a bit of a rush this weekend.

I still have a 100% strike rate (not bragging as its long shots and it should be expected) and have made back $30.34 on a $30 liability at BSP if you stuck to the value odds. If you took all selections it is up $42.02 assuming 7% commission.

UselessBettor 10th August 2024 10:31 AM

Selections up today with the odds and a bunch of great advice to some comments in this live stream : https://youtube.com/live/uBKWGi0Hfcw?feature=share

Still at a 100% strike rate :)

10/08/24 Randwick 1 10
10/08/24 Randwick 2 14
10/08/24 Randwick 2 15
10/08/24 Randwick 4 15
10/08/24 Randwick 5 7
10/08/24 Randwick 7 11
10/08/24 Sunshine Coast 5 4
10/08/24 Sunshine Coast 8 19
10/08/24 Kembla Grange 3 13
10/08/24 Kembla Grange 5 12
10/08/24 Kembla Grange 6 7
10/08/24 Kembla Grange 8 15
10/08/24 Kembla Grange 8 16

This live stream I dropped out some info on my overall number of selections, why I prefer laying to backing and why NSW Tracks are usually going to be in favour of the backer instead of the layer. I also provided a simple +EV approach that can be automated.

partypooper 12th August 2024 01:25 AM

G'Day UB, you must be still reeling from Saturday SR2-15??? I didn't post straight away for obvious reasons, but YES I backed it, and not only that but I backed it on SB at enhanced odds of $138.

OK, so why did I back that ? well here is it's last 4 runs:


Last run .8 L from winner carrying 55.5kg
2nd last run 3.7 L from winner carrying "60KG"
3rd last run .5 L from winner carrying59 kg
4th last run 1.4L from winner carrying 59.5 kg

Todays weight 54kg and Reese Jones up

You can see how different strokes for different folks, but of course for me sometimes long time between drinks.

UselessBettor 17th August 2024 03:08 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by partypooper
G'Day UB, you must be still reeling from Saturday SR2-15??? I didn't post straight away for obvious reasons, but YES I backed it, and not only that but I backed it on SB at enhanced odds of $138.

OK, so why did I back that ? well here is it's last 4 runs:


Last run .8 L from winner carrying 55.5kg
2nd last run 3.7 L from winner carrying "60KG"
3rd last run .5 L from winner carrying59 kg
4th last run 1.4L from winner carrying 59.5 kg

Todays weight 54kg and Reese Jones up

You can see how different strokes for different folks, but of course for me sometimes long time between drinks.


I don't expect to get it perfect but glad you had the winner. I didn't notice the margins but given what they were I should have not selected it but when doing form manually you sometimes make a judgement call and the favs in that race were pretty good so I let it through as a selection.

Nice odds you got too :)

UselessBettor 17th August 2024 03:18 PM

Todays selections are here:

https://youtu.be/g4tm5I-kbXY

Caulfield 2 8
Doomben 8 8
Morphettville 2 9
Morphettville 3 15
Morphettville 4 12
Morphettville 5 7
Kembla Grange 1 9
Kembla Grange 3 4
Kembla Grange 8 3
Narrandera 2 10
Narrandera 3 5
Gold Coast 1 10
Gold Coast 2 8
Gold Coast 3 10
Gold Coast 7 12
Cairns 3 5
Cairns 7 12
Warracknabeal 2 12
Warracknabeal 8 9
Katherine 1 7
Toowoomba 4 12

The overall profit is sitting at $6.36 on a $30 liability if you stick to the odds and $19.12 if you take all of them. This is with 7% commission rate at betfair although I do know there will be a few people on less commission that that given the betfair plus turnover benefits.

partypooper 17th August 2024 03:19 PM

long shots
 
UB, yes with this one we are at opposite ends kind of, but looking for long shots I tend to look for horses that have ran close up especially for say the last 3 or 4 runs without winning, you know what I mean knocking on the door, and especially with a decent Jockey on board.
Needless to say much of the time I'm nowhere near but when it strikes it can be lucrative, in this case SB had early on @ $126 which caught my eye straight away but I had an odds boost available so..... bingo! lets hope for some more!

UselessBettor 18th August 2024 09:21 AM

100% success rate yesterday on the lays.

Todays selections : https://youtu.be/f3xw8SwUDkU

18/08/24 Wyong 1 3
18/08/24 Moruya 1 8
18/08/24 Moruya 4 8
18/08/24 Moruya 4 9
18/08/24 Moruya 5 10
18/08/24 Moruya 6 14
18/08/24 Moruya 7 15
18/08/24 Bendigo 3 9
18/08/24 Bendigo 4 12
18/08/24 Moe 1 14
18/08/24 Moe 2 1
18/08/24 Moe 3 12
18/08/24 Moe 4 13
18/08/24 BorderTown 1 2
18/08/24 BorderTown 2 15
18/08/24 BorderTown 3 13
18/08/24 BorderTown 7 15
18/08/24 BorderTown 8 16
18/08/24 Sunshine Coast 1 7
18/08/24 Sunshine Coast 2 9
18/08/24 Sunshine Coast 2 10
18/08/24 Sunshine Coast 4 11
18/08/24 Sunshine Coast 5 10


I didn't get to do the other two meetings today as I ran out of time.

So far 1 unsuccessful lay from 195 selections :)

partypooper 21st August 2024 01:06 AM

lays
 
Hi UB, didn't check the last lot but I suspect 100% SR? what I might humbly suggest an additional filter, i.e. take that last one that I actually backed it finished .8 of a length from the winner last start, I think that I would be a brave man to lay it next start, not that I mean it is going to win but just that I wouldn't lay it at whatever it was (at least 200-1 I suspect) just a thought maybe add a filter say, delete if finished within say, 2 lengths of the winner last start? don't really know if that would eliminate enough to make a difference , but maybe?

UselessBettor 21st August 2024 08:40 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by partypooper
Hi UB, didn't check the last lot but I suspect 100% SR? what I might humbly suggest an additional filter, i.e. take that last one that I actually backed it finished .8 of a length from the winner last start, I think that I would be a brave man to lay it next start, not that I mean it is going to win but just that I wouldn't lay it at whatever it was (at least 200-1 I suspect) just a thought maybe add a filter say, delete if finished within say, 2 lengths of the winner last start? don't really know if that would eliminate enough to make a difference , but maybe?


PP yes 100% success strike rate for Sunday.

These tips are not automated so they are all an assessment for the race. There are no rules as such but just guidelines of which all can be broken :)

partypooper 23rd August 2024 02:20 AM

Got it!
 
Hi UB, yes I realise where you're at and of course you must be doing something right as I certainly couldn't get to the level of turnover that you do.

My PPM system (daft as it is) pinpointed several winners that were quoted at 1000-1 on bet fair, the thought of laying them brings on convulsions, I couldn't handle it at all.
All the best!

UselessBettor 24th August 2024 09:38 AM

Todays selections : https://youtu.be/-OZyKzIV3ms

Record to date is 1 loss in 213 selections.

24/08/24 Randwick 3 4
24/08/24 Randwick 8 1
24/08/24 Randwick 8 4
24/08/24 Mooney Valley 1 6
24/08/24 Mooney Valley 1 9
24/08/24 Mooney Valley 3 7
24/08/24 Mooney Valley 3 9
24/08/24 Morphettville 1 18
24/08/24 Morphettville 3 7
24/08/24 Morphettville 5 13
24/08/24 Belmont 5 8
24/08/24 Belmont 8 7
24/08/24 Newcastle 1 2
24/08/24 Newcastle 1 3
24/08/24 Newcastle 1 9
24/08/24 Newcastle 1 11
24/08/24 Newcastle 5 12
24/08/24 Tuncurry 2 3
24/08/24 Tuncurry 4 9
24/08/24 Wangaratta 1 8
24/08/24 Wangaratta 2 15
24/08/24 Wangaratta 2 18
24/08/24 Wangaratta 3 17
24/08/24 Wangaratta 4 16
24/08/24 Wangaratta 6 14
24/08/24 Wangaratta 9 6
24/08/24 Gold Coast 1 14
24/08/24 Gold Coast 7 9
24/08/24 Broome 4 5
24/08/24 Cairns 1 8
24/08/24 Cairns 1 12
24/08/24 Cairns 1 14
24/08/24 Cairns 3 10
24/08/24 Cairns 3 12
24/08/24 Cairns 8 11
24/08/24 Cairns 8 12
24/08/24 Toowoomba 3 11
24/08/24 Toowoomba 6 9
24/08/24 Toowoomba 7 7


The video goes into why each one was a selection if you want more information.

partypooper 25th August 2024 12:41 AM

all good
 
No need UB, you have demonstrated that you are doing everything correctly. After a few too many Chardonnay's , I attempted to mix what you are doing and what I am doing "dumb", as I am looking for winners while you are looking for losers.

Not a good day for me today, far too many favs winning, .... but there's always tomorrow!

UselessBettor 25th August 2024 08:19 AM

Todays video on the selections https://youtu.be/ixu_kNSAc4c

I talk through each of the reasons for the lays and provide some insights towards the end of the video on what i am looking at when I five into the form.

Yesterdays results were 39 successful lays from 39 selections.

Todays:

25/08/24 Goulburn 2 1
25/08/24 Narromine 2 2
25/08/24 Narromine 4 11
25/08/24 Narromine 4 14
25/08/24 Narromine 8 16
25/08/24 Ballarat 2 10
25/08/24 Ballarat 4 8
25/08/24 Pakenham 1 8
25/08/24 Pakenham 1 1
25/08/24 Pakenham 2 12
25/08/24 Pakenham 2 7
25/08/24 Pakenham 2 1
25/08/24 Pakenham 6 12
25/08/24 Kilcoy 3 12
25/08/24 Port Augusta 2 1
25/08/24 Port Augusta 2 6
25/08/24 Port Augusta 4 14
25/08/24 Port Augusta 6 12
25/08/24 Kalgoorlie 7 10
25/08/24 Hobart 2 11

UselessBettor 31st August 2024 09:46 AM

Latest Video for Saturday 31st August.

Current record: 263 tips 262 right, 1 wrong.

Check the video for comments and current results update. Also I am tipping in the pros vs bookies competition on betfair as a pro for the spring so you can find my lay on Wednesday on the app and website. I also post my contenders in a post on youtube for those following.

https://youtu.be/Tw0sqWoS2D4

31/08/24 Rosehill 6 8
31/08/24 Doomben 4 8
31/08/24 Doomben 9 3
31/08/24 Morphettville 1 11
31/08/24 Morphettville 3 12
31/08/24 Morphettville 4 11
31/08/24 Morphettville 4 12
31/08/24 Morphettville 4 13
31/08/24 Morphettville 8 18
31/08/24 Morphettville 9 12
31/08/24 Belmont 8 7
31/08/24 Kembla Grange 1 5
31/08/24 Kembla Grange 2 9
31/08/24 Kembla Grange 7 11
31/08/24 Kembla Grange 8 12
31/08/24 Grafton 2 18
31/08/24 Grafton 4 13
31/08/24 Grafton 5 13
31/08/24 Grafton 6 13
31/08/24 Gold Coast 1 7
31/08/24 Gold Coast 3 7
31/08/24 Gold Coast 5 11
31/08/24 Gold Coast 8 9
31/08/24 Toowoomba 6 12
31/08/24 Toowoomba 7 9
31/08/24 Warracknabeal 1 14
31/08/24 Warracknabeal 2 1
31/08/24 Warracknabeal 2 5
31/08/24 Warracknabeal 2 4
31/08/24 Warracknabeal 5 13

Looks like a great day of racing.

UselessBettor 1st September 2024 10:28 AM

30 successful lays from 30 selections yesterday.

Record 293 with only 1 unsuccessful lay

Here is todays video: https://youtu.be/4kvfZcjcpY8

01/09/24 Wyong 4 12
01/09/24 Wyong 4 15
01/09/24 Moree 1 5
01/09/24 Moree 2 11
01/09/24 Moree 3 13
01/09/24 Moree 4 13
01/09/24 Geelong 4 2
01/09/24 Sunshine Coast 1 12
01/09/24 Sunshine Coast 2 10
01/09/24 Sunshine Coast 4 11
01/09/24 Sunshine Coast 7 14
01/09/24 Port Augusta 2 1
01/09/24 Port Augusta 2 6
01/09/24 Port Augusta 3 12
01/09/24 Port Augusta 6 13
01/09/24 Hobart 1 14
01/09/24 Hobart 3 9
01/09/24 Hobart 5 12
01/09/24 Hobart 8 13
01/09/24 Casterton 1 4
01/09/24 Casterton 2 9
01/09/24 Casterton 4 13
01/09/24 Carnarvon 1 7
01/09/24 Carnarvon 2 9
01/09/24 Carnarvon 5 9
01/09/24 Carnarvon 6 9


See the video for a google sheet of results and why I have chosen each selection.

UselessBettor 7th September 2024 08:41 AM

I have now put up 315 tips over the last few months and only lost on 1 race.

https://youtu.be/2vZGqpfiejs

See the video for commentary

07/09/24 Randwick 6 13
07/09/24 Randwick 9 13
07/09/24 Mooney Valley 8 13
07/09/24 Doomben 6 10
07/09/24 Doomben 7 14
07/09/24 Doomben 7 11
07/09/24 Morphettville 1 6
07/09/24 Morphettville 2 10
07/09/24 Morphettville 4 10
07/09/24 Morphettville 5 12
07/09/24 Morphettville 9 16
07/09/24 Belmont 3 10
07/09/24 Belmont 3 5
07/09/24 Belmont 6 8
07/09/24 Hawksberry 1 5
07/09/24 Hawksberry 2 1
07/09/24 Hawksberry 4 10
07/09/24 Hawksberry 5 5
07/09/24 Orange 1 3
07/09/24 Orange 1 5
07/09/24 Orange 1 7
07/09/24 Orange 4 9
07/09/24 Orange 4 10
07/09/24 Mildura 2 8
07/09/24 Mildura 2 3
07/09/24 Mildura 3 7
07/09/24 Mildura 7 15
07/09/24 Junction 3 8
07/09/24 Junction 5 9
07/09/24 Toowoomba 1 11
07/09/24 Toowoomba 3 15
07/09/24 Toowoomba 3 19
07/09/24 Toowoomba 4 8
07/09/24 Toowoomba 5 8
07/09/24 Toowoomba 7 1

UselessBettor 8th September 2024 07:28 AM

Another successful day with 31 successful lays.

See the video for commentary. I provide a few insights in this video on strategies for finding easy lays.

Sundays selections : https://youtu.be/Oe3de251KHM

08/09/24 Bendigo 1 14
08/09/24 Bendigo 3 6
08/09/24 Bendigo 4 2
08/09/24 Bendigo 5 13
08/09/24 Bendigo 5 12
08/09/24 Gundagai 1 13
08/09/24 Gundagai 2 7
08/09/24 Gundagai 2 13
08/09/24 Gundagai 3 14
08/09/24 Gundagai 4 16
08/09/24 Gundagai 5 17
08/09/24 Gundagai 5 9
08/09/24 Gundagai 5 2
08/09/24 Gundagai 6 15
08/09/24 Mudgee 3 11
08/09/24 Mudgee 4 12
08/09/24 Mudgee 6 17
08/09/24 Alice Springs 1 4
08/09/24 Alice Springs 1 5
08/09/24 Alice Springs 2 9
08/09/24 Alice Springs 3 9
08/09/24 Sunshine Coast 4 10
08/09/24 Sunshine Coast 7 16
08/09/24 Kalgoorlie 1 5
08/09/24 Kalgoorlie 2 10

UselessBettor 14th September 2024 09:44 AM

100% success rate last weekend making the tips now 371 lays for only 1 losing lay.

Today I have gone some lower odds which will be interesting. Lets hope I continue my streak.

No Tips for tomorrow as I am busy. if any do go up they will only be on youtube.

Here is the tips for today : https://youtu.be/c9Mn7N0Gjd4

14/09/24 Rosehill 2 15
14/09/24 Flemington 2 8
14/09/24 Eagle Farm 4 14
14/09/24 Eagle Farm 4 2
14/09/24 Eagle Farm 7 10
14/09/24 Eagle Farm 8 9
14/09/24 Morphettville 4 13
14/09/24 Morphettville 5 13
14/09/24 Morphettville 5 6
14/09/24 Kembla Grange 1 8
14/09/24 Kembla Grange 3 8
14/09/24 Kembla Grange 8 5
14/09/24 Griffith 1 6
14/09/24 Cairns 3 5
14/09/24 Cairns 3 3
14/09/24 Cairns 3 9
14/09/24 Donald 1 8
14/09/24 Donald 2 14
14/09/24 Donald 3 13
14/09/24 Darwin 5 10
14/09/24 Carnavron 1 3
14/09/24 Carnavron 4 7
14/09/24 Carnavron 4 8
14/09/24 Belmont 5 10
14/09/24 Toowoomba 6 11
14/09/24 Toowoomba 7 6

UselessBettor 21st September 2024 09:06 AM

Still going well. Here are todays selections. I explain everything in the video and give out some useful information.

https://youtu.be/J0O3LSjgQBE

Only 1 loss from 397 lays.

21/09/24 Randwick 10 9
21/09/24 Morphettville 1 7
21/09/24 Morphettville 9 18
21/09/24 Newcastle 1 7
21/09/24 Newcastle 3 3
21/09/24 Newcastle 4 1
21/09/24 Newcastle 5 15
21/09/24 Newcastle 6 12
21/09/24 Wagga 1 15
21/09/24 Wagga 2 6
21/09/24 Wagga 2 10
21/09/24 Wagga 2 9
21/09/24 Wagga 6 6
21/09/24 Wagga 6 8
21/09/24 Wagga 6 9
21/09/24 Bowraville 4 9
21/09/24 Echuca 2 15
21/09/24 Echuca 3 15
21/09/24 Echuca 3 9
21/09/24 Dalby 2 12
21/09/24 Dalby 5 10
21/09/24 Dalby 5 11
21/09/24 Darwin 3 11
21/09/24 Darwin 5 6

UselessBettor 22nd September 2024 08:52 AM

Another clean sweep yesterday.

Here is todays video with the tips. Current record is 419 successful lays from 420 selections.

https://youtu.be/-7UGnxkJcjM

22/09/24 Nowra 2 8
22/09/24 Nowra 4 9
22/09/24 Nowra 4 5
22/09/24 Nowra 5 10
22/09/24 Armidale 1 8
22/09/24 Warwick 2 17
22/09/24 Mount Gambier 1 4
22/09/24 Mount Gambier 1 5
22/09/24 Mount Gambier 2 16
22/09/24 Mount Gambier 3 11
22/09/24 Mount Gambier 4 13
22/09/24 Kalgoorlie 1 9
22/09/24 Kalgoorlie 1 7
22/09/24 Devonport 1 2
22/09/24 Bairnsdale 2 16
22/09/24 Bairnsdale 3 10
22/09/24 Bairnsdale 4 15

UselessBettor 28th September 2024 07:38 AM

Todays video: https://youtu.be/J2RHpcuN7tg

All last weeks lays were successful.

I have added a tip for the AFL and NRL in the end of the video.

As always I go into why each selection is a lay in the video.

Rosehill 2 19
Sandown 8 2
Morphettville 2 8
Morphettville 4 9
Morphettville 6 12
Morphettville 6 11
Mackay 1 8
Mackay 3 4
Mackay 3 6
Mackay 5 10
Eagle Farm 3 3
Eagle Farm 3 16
Canberra 4 12

UselessBettor 29th September 2024 08:06 AM

https://youtu.be/0XUTufgVzao

Another successful day yesterday with all lays being successful.

That is 449 lays for only 1 loss.

Todays tips:

29/09/24 Dubbo 1 2
29/09/24 Dubbo 1 20
29/09/24 Dubbo 2 13
29/09/24 Dubbo 2 18
29/09/24 Dubbo 3 11
29/09/24 Dubbo 8 18
29/09/24 Port Macquarie 1 2
29/09/24 Mornington 5 10
29/09/24 Sunshine Coast 3 18
29/09/24 Port Lincoln 2 12
29/09/24 Bunbury 1 5
29/09/24 Bunbury 3 1
29/09/24 Bunbury 4 2
29/09/24 Bunbury 4 6
29/09/24 Bunbury 5 7
29/09/24 Bunbury 5 3
29/09/24 Bunbury 5 2
29/09/24 Bunbury 6 5
29/09/24 Bunbury 6 6
29/09/24 Bunbury 6 10

Mark 30th September 2024 04:27 PM

Out of interest, how many have run a place?

UselessBettor 4th October 2024 07:38 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mark
Out of interest, how many have run a place?


Mark,

I haven't kept records on the placings but not many. I would think around 5%-10% are running a place. I watch most of the races and I can't really remember one at all.

UselessBettor 5th October 2024 09:43 AM

Mark I looked yesterday and out of my selections I am running less than 3% running a place. These would likely be good lays in the place market but I am not monitoring it.

Here are the selections for today. Posted to Youtube here https://youtu.be/g-b0YlL-pJQ

Lots of great racing today:

Morphettville 2 5
Morphettville 3 6
Kalgoorlie 1 4
Kalgoorlie 2 7
Kalgoorlie 4 6
Kalgoorlie 5 8
Kalgoorlie 6 9
Newcastle 5 13
Gold Coast 5 5
Darwin 1 8
Darwin 2 7
Darwin 2 9
Gunbower 2 14
Gunbower 3 12
Gunbower 7 3
Murtoa 2 6
Murtoa 2 5
Moora 1 6
Toowoomba 2 11
Toowoomba 7 3

Mark 5th October 2024 12:03 PM

Thanks UB.

UselessBettor 6th October 2024 07:44 AM

Took a hit yesterday with Darwin R2 Number 9 coming home to win.

Here is the video for Sundays tips where I talk about the loss : https://youtu.be/V2B_vcsbAZ4

Todays tips are :

Ballina 2 8
Ballina 4 4
Ballina 5 12
Ballina 8 12
Bendigo 2 7
Townsville 1 11
Townsville 2 9
Northam 3 8
Northam 5 5


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