OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums

OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/index.php)

- Sports and Gambling (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/forumdisplay.php?f=6)

- - MLB/NBA (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=18762)

I have been following 2 systems one for mlb and the other for the nba. So far I've won my last 11 mbl bets and I'm 2 from 2 with my 2 team parlay bets for the nba.

If anyone is interested, I'll post the systems selections here.

Since the start of the mlb season.

outlay 158.00
in 164.45
profit +6.45 units

NBA

outlay 40.00
in 61.85
profit +21.85 units

Very interested Benny, anything that involves a systematic approach to a team game I would love to have a look at,

I follow the NBA closely, and am amazed at the amount of short priced faves that bite the dust. There are plenty of teams winning priced between the 3 and 5 dollar marks, almost daily.

Makes the all-ups very hard to get, even with 4 or 5 teams that look like certain winners.

Looking forward to seeing what you have

Cheers

Here's some mbl game according to the system.

Houston 2.25
Pittsburgh -1.5 2.30

San Diego 2.70
NY Mets -1.5 1.95

Arizona 1.90
St Louis -1.5 2.35

With these odds you can back both teams.

just clarifying benny..game 1..pittsburgh won 7-0..so collect on the $2.30..& a bit in front if you backed both? cheers..

ps..new to mlb..have been looking at their site..don't fully understand scoring stats..

Quote:

Originally Posted by jake

ps..new to mlb..have been looking at their site..don't fully understand scoring stats..

Neither do i. I'm only interested in the result.

[QUOTE=Benny]Here's some mbl game according to the system.

Houston 2.25
Pittsburgh -1.5 2.30 Won

San Diego 2.70 Won
NY Mets -1.5 1.95

Arizona 1.90
St Louis -1.5 2.35 Lost

With these odds you can back both teams.[/QUOTE

2 out of 3 not bad.

A loss of 1 unit.

Quote:

Originally Posted by jake

ps..new to mlb..have been looking at their site..don't fully understand scoring stats..

Box scores generally contain:

Ininngs 1-9 and what scores were recorded in each

R - Stands for total runs scored

H - Stands for hits (how many times during the game a runner got on base)

E - Stands for fielding errors

Other popular ones via Wikipedia (quicker to cut and paste):

Batting statistics

1B—Single: hits on which the batter reached first base safely without the contribution of a fielding error.
2B—Double: hits on which the batter reached second base safely without the contribution of a fielding error.
3B—Triple: hits on which the batter reached third base safely without the contribution of a fielding error.
AB—At bat: Batting appearances, not including bases on balls, hit by pitch, sacrifices, interference, or obstruction.
AB/HR At bats per home run: at bats divided by home runs.
BA—Batting average (also abbreviated AVG): hits divided by at bats.
BB—Base on balls (also called a "walk"): times receiving four balls and advancing to first base
BABIP Batting average on balls in play: frequency of which a batter reaches a base after putting the ball in the field of play. Also a pitching category.
BB/K—Walk-to-strikeout ratio: number of base on balls divided by number of strikeouts
XBH—Extra base hits: doubles plus triples plus home runs
FC—Fielder's choice: times reaching base when a fielder chose to try for an out on another runner
GO/AO—Ground ball fly ball ratio: number of ground ball outs divided by number of fly ball outs
GDP or GIDP—Ground into double play: number of ground balls hit that became double plays
GPA—Gross Production Average: 1.8 times on-base percentage plus slugging percentage, divided by four
GS—Grand Slam: a home run with the bases loaded, resulting in four runs scoring, and four RBI credited to the batter.
H—Hits: times reached base because of a batted, fair ball without error by the defense
HBP—Hit by pitch: times touched by a pitch and awarded first base as a result
HR—Home runs: hits on which the batter successfully touched all four bases, without the contribution of a fielding error.
IBB—Intentional base on balls: times awarded first base on balls (see BB above) deliberately thrown by the pitcher. Also known as IW (intentional walk).
K—Strike out (also abbreviated SO): number of times that strike three is taken or swung at and missed, or bunted foul
LOB—Left on base: number of runners not out nor scored at the end of an inning.
OBP—On base percentage: times reached base (H + BB + HBP) divided by at bats plus walks plus hit by pitch plus sacrifice flies (AB + BB + HBP + SF).
OPS—On-base plus slugging: on-base percentage plus slugging average
PA—Plate appearance: number of completed batting appearances
RC—Runs created: statistic that attempts to measure how many runs a player has contributed to his team
RP—Runs produced: statistic that attempts to measure how many runs a player has contributed
RBI—Run batted in: number of runners who scored due to a batters' action, except when batter grounded into double play or reached on an error
RISP—Runner In Scoring Position: the batter's batting average with runners in scoring position
SB%—Stolen base percentage: the percent of bases stolen successfully. (SB) divided by (SBA).
SF—Sacrifice fly: number of fly ball outs to the outfield which allow a runner already on base to score
SH—Sacrifice hit: number of sacrifice bunts which allows another runner to advance on the basepaths or score
SLG—Slugging average: total bases divided by at-bats
TA—Total average: total bases, plus walks, plus hit by pitch, plus steals, minus caught stealing divided by at bats, minus hits, plus caught stealing, plus grounded into double play
TB—Total bases: one for each single, two for each double, three for each triple, and four for each home run
TOB—Times on base: times reaching base as a result of hits, walks, and hit-by-pitches
BsR—Base Runs: Another run estimator, like Runs Created; a favorite of writer Tom Tango
XR—Extrapolated Runs: A linear run estimator developed by Jim Furtado

Pitching statistics

BB—Base on balls (also called a "walk"): times pitching four balls, allowing the batter-runner to advance to first base
BB/9: Base on balls times nine divided by innings pitched (Bases on balls per 9 innings pitched)
BF—Total batters faced: opponent's total plate appearances
BK—Balk: number of times pitcher commits an illegal pitching action or other illegal action while in contact with the pitching rubber, thus allowing baserunners to advance
aa—Blown save: number of times entering the game in a save situation, and being charged the run (earned or not) which eliminates his team's lead
CERA—Component ERA: an estimate of a pitcher's ERA based upon the individual components of his statistical line (K, H, 2B, 3B, HR, BB, HBP)
CG—Complete game: number of games where player was the only pitcher for his team
DICE—Defense-Independent Component ERA: an estimate of a pitcher's ERA based upon the defense-independent components of his statistical line (K, HR, BB, HBP)
ER—Earned run: number of runs that did not occur as a result of errors or passed balls
ERA—Earned run average: total number of earned runs (see "ER" above), multiplied by 9, divided by innings pitched
ERA+—Adjusted ERA+: earned run average adjusted for the ballpark and the league average
G—Games (AKA "appearances"): number of times a pitcher pitches in a season
GF—Games finished: number of games pitched where player was the final pitcher for his team
G/F—Ground ball fly ball ratio: ground balls allowed divided by fly balls allowed
GS—Starts: number of games pitched where player was the first pitcher for his team
H/9—Hits per nine innings: hits allowed times nine divided by innings pitched (also known as H/9IP—Hits allowed per 9 innings pitched)
H—Hits Allowed: total hits allowed
HB—Hit batsman: times hit a batter with pitch, allowing runner to advance to first base
HLD (or H)—Hold: number of games entered in a save situation, recorded at least one out, did not surrender the lead, and did not complete the game
HR—Home runs allowed: total home runs allowed
IBB: Intentional base on balls allowed
IP—Innings pitched: number of outs recorded while pitching divided by three
IP/GS: Average number of innings pitched per game
IR—Inherited runners: number of runners on base when the pitcher enters the game
IRA—Inherited runs allowed: number of inherited runners allowed to score
K—Strikeout: number of batters who received strike three
K/9—Strikeouts per nine innings: strikeouts times nine divided by innings pitched (Strikeouts per 9 innings pitched)
K/BB—Strikeout-to-walk ratio: number of strikeouts divided by number of base on balls
L—Loss: number of games where pitcher was pitching while the opposing team took the lead, never lost the lead, and went on to win
OBA—Opponents batting average: hits allowed divided by at-bats faced
PIT: Pitches thrown (Pitch count)
QS—Quality start: a game in which a starting pitcher completes at least six innings and permits no more than three runs
RA—Run average: number of runs allowed times nine divided by innings pitched
R.R.A—Relief Run Average: A function of how many inherited base runners a relief pitcher allowed to score.
SHO—Shutout: number of complete games pitched with no runs allowed
SO: Strikeout Also may be notated as "K".
SV—Save: number of games where the pitcher enters a game led by the pitcher's team, finishes the game without surrendering the lead, is not the winning pitcher, and either (a) the lead was three runs or less when the pitcher entered the game; (b) the potential tying run was on base, at bat, or on deck; or (c) the pitcher pitched three or more innings
W—Win: number of games where pitcher was pitching while his team took the lead and went on to win (also related: winning percentage)
WHIP—Walks and hits per inning pitched: average number of walks and hits allowed by the pitcher per inning
WP—Wild pitches: charged when a pitch is too high, low, or wide of home plate for the catcher to field, thereby allowing one or more runners to advance or score

Fielding statistics

A—Assists: number of outs recorded on a play where a fielder touched the ball, except if such touching is the putout
CI—Catcher's Interference (e.g. catcher makes contact with bat)
DP—Double plays: one for each double play during which the fielder recorded a putout or an assist.
E—Errors: number of times a fielder fails to make a play he should have made with common effort, and the offense benefits as a result
FP—Fielding percentage: total plays (chances minus errors) divided by the number of total chances
INN—Innings: number of innings that a player is at one certain position
PB—Passed ball: charged to the catcher when the ball is dropped and one or more runners advance
PO—Putout: number of times the fielder tags, forces, or appeals a runner and he is called out as a result
RF—Range factor: 9*(putouts + assists)/innings played. Used to determine the amount of field that the player can cover
TC—Total chances: assists plus putouts plus errors
TP—Triple play: one for each triple play during which the fielder recorded a putout or an assist

General statistics
G—Games played: number of games where the player played, in whole or in part
GB—Games behind: number of games a team is behind the division leader
Pythagorean expectation: estimates a team's expected winning percentage based on runs scored and runs allowed.

Baserunning statistics

CS—Caught stealing: times tagged out while attempting to steal a base
SB—Stolen base: number of bases advanced other than on batted balls, walks, or hits by pitch
- DI—Defensive Indifference: if the catcher does not attempt to throw out a runner (usually because the run would be insignificant), the runner is not awarded a steal
R—Runs scored: times reached home base legally and safely

Hope that helps

wow..lots of good info billy..thanks

Here's 2 MLB bets

Chicago White Soc -1.5 2.25
Tampa Bay 1.95

Philadelphia -1.5 2.05
Washington 2.15

Best of luck

phillies v nationals a bit of a surprise result!

hi benny..your thoughts please..cleveland v kansas city..toronto v texas..houston v la dodgers..thanks

Dont listen to me at all but just for a bit of fun i'd pick

Cleveland/Toronto/Dodgers

*based on what i've seen not on any system (i'd be interested to see what the system says)

cheers billy..in the end no bets for me..the winners were..cleveland..texas..houston

haha thats why i dont bet mlb...too many games

Sorry i didn't reply my computer has been in for an upgrade.

Here's 3 system bets

Houston $2.00
Cincinnati -1.5 $2.65

Pittsburgh $2.50
Milwaukee -1.5 $2.10

Chicago Cubs $2.15
Arizona -1.5 $2.35

thats ok benny..where would we be without a computer these days..
looks like you did ok last batch..

Here's 3 system bets.

LA Angels $2.15
Baltimore -1.5 $2.35

Pittsburgh $2.80
Milwaukee -1.5 $2.00

Florida $2.55
NY Mets -1.5 $2.20

imo cincinnati a good chance of beating favs arizona..game kicking off in about 30 mins..

cincinnati 13-5...excellent!

imo the la dodgers look a safe bet against the la angels..at home

not looking good..dodgers down 4-7..after 7..

in the end..dodgers lost 7-10

tomorrow..a.m. ..new york yankees too good for texas rangers..new york mets to avenge yesterdays defeat by pittsburgh pirates..houstan astros to beat colorada rockies..minnesota twins to defeat cleveland indians..san diego padres too strong for philadelphia phillies..& la dodgers to avenge yesterdays defeat by the arizona diamonds..

Here's the system bets for mlb 4/6

Chicago Cubs $2.10
Atlanta -1.5 $2.50

Detroit $2.25
Boston -1.5 $2.00

Texas $2.50
NY Yankees -1.5 $2.05

Pittsburgh $1.95
NY Mets -1.5 $2.30

Best Of Luck

imo new york mets a good chance of beating favs washington nationals..tomorrows a.m. (oz time) game

tomorrow a.m. (oz time)..st louis cardinals to beat florida marlins..san francisco giants to beat arizona diamondbacks..minnesota twins to beat oakland athletics..

..all 3 games were close..but only 1 from 3 my way..

imo florida a good chance of beating favs toronto..game kicks off tomorrow a.m. oz time..

..ditto..minnesota to beat fav chicago cubs..

..& milwaukee to defeat chicago white sox..

Quote:

Originally Posted by jake

..& milwaukee to defeat chicago white sox..

..got this game wrong :( ..chicago white sox 7..milwaukee brewers 1..

Heres' a system bet.

NY Mets $2.00
NY Yankees -1.5 $2.55

Quote:

Originally Posted by Benny

Heres' a system bet.

NY Mets $2.00
NY Yankees -1.5 $2.55

Yankees 15 Mets 0

Quote:

Originally Posted by jake

imo florida a good chance of beating favs toronto..game kicks off tomorrow a.m. oz time..

..got this game right :) ..florida marlins 6..toronto bluejays 5..

Quote:

Originally Posted by jake

..ditto..minnesota to beat fav chicago cubs..

..& this one as well :) .. minnesota twins 2.. chicago cubs 0..