OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums

OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/index.php)
-   Sports and Gambling (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/forumdisplay.php?f=6)
-   -   Monday Greyhounds (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=25340)

moeee 22nd October 2012 10:45 AM

Monday Greyhounds
 
CRANBOURNE Race 9

2 ICE TRUCKER $2
1 DEZIE FIELDS $10
3 LEKTRA LOU $12
6 BLACK BING $13
7 ARVO'S TWINK $13
8 EL LOBO $14
5 SCANT REGARD $16
4 DARKEN RAHL $25

Take out the top selection and the Race becomes a lottery.
I would be surprised that better than Evens about the top selection will be available , so I guess that means no point in wasting any further time withn this race.
Its a good one for you Darkydog2002.

moeee 22nd October 2012 11:26 AM

BALLARAT Race 5

3 LASTING EFFECT $3.4
4 DEIMOS $4.7
5 COOL AND FUNKY $8.7
8 FLYING CONTROL $10
7 LOSER MAKES GOOD $10
1 LUCKY CHOICE $14
2 BOWSTREET SENTRY $15
6 BOWL ALONG $20

The second selection could be at Odds here.
An Exacta with the top selection to beat it as a saver as well.

moeee 22nd October 2012 11:38 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
BALLARAT Race 5

3 LASTING EFFECT $3.4
4 DEIMOS $4.7
5 COOL AND FUNKY $8.7
8 FLYING CONTROL $10
7 LOSER MAKES GOOD $10
1 LUCKY CHOICE $14
2 BOWSTREET SENTRY $15
6 BOWL ALONG $20

Late Scratching

3 LASTING EFFECT $3.1
4 DEIMOS $4.2
5 COOL AND FUNKY $8
8 FLYING CONTROL $10
1 LUCKY CHOICE $12
2 BOWSTREET SENTRY $13
6 BOWL ALONG $18

moeee 22nd October 2012 12:44 PM

CRANBOURNE Race 8

5 POP'S MAX $2.8
2 FLIP BALE $3.4
8 LAROCCO $6.4
7 BLISTERING SANDS $14
1 TRIGGER FINGER $20
4 BUDDY BANKCARD $25
6 TOTALLY TANGO $30
9 RIVERDALE COWBOY $100

Trifecta should be confined from the top 4 selections.

moeee 22nd October 2012 01:28 PM

CRANBOURNE Race 7

7 TUSCANY COVE $2.6
2 TALON MISS $4.9
6 WHY NOT KING $6.8
8 TINY MISSILE $10
1 SEE SEE SEE $10
4 DAZEE AGOGO $14

Perhaps Exactas
7 - 26

darkydog2002 22nd October 2012 01:52 PM

I,ll pass - Rated $10.

Lord Greystoke 22nd October 2012 02:03 PM

Afternoon Duke,
What if 2 dog suffers an unexpected 'mishap'?

If we were to eliminate 2 on that basis and reframe for that possibility,
Where would No 1 be rated then, relative to the remaining field?

<=$3 ?

LG

darkydog2002 22nd October 2012 02:10 PM

Trouble is that it hasn,t Your Lordship.
And I have no idea how Mo asesses his prices so he may have a different price view.
Cheers

moeee 22nd October 2012 02:30 PM

CRANBOURNE Race 6

1 FLAMENA $3.7
2 MANX MISSILE $5.7
8 SIK EM MAX $7
5 OCTAGON $7.7
6 ARVO'S VIXEN $8.5
4 MAXZIVA $16
7 DANYO'S VASSY $16
3 SAMDOC $16

Top selection should win in a non betting race

moeee 22nd October 2012 02:38 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lord Greystoke
What if 2 dog suffers an unexpected 'mishap'?

If we were to eliminate 2 on that basis and reframe for that possibility,
Where would No 1 be rated then, relative to the remaining field?

<=$3 ?

LG

I'm guessing you guys are referring to Cranbourne race 9

I have already stated that the race is a lottery without the #2 running.
There are NO foreseeable mishaps.
And should one occur , which it won't , then there is no bet anyway.

1 DEZIE FIELDS $5.3
3 LEKTRA LOU $5.9
6 BLACK BING $6.5
7 ARVO'S TWINK $6.5
8 EL LOBO $7.2
5 SCANT REGARD $9
4 DARKEN RAHL $12

I suggest waiting for a better Race to come along.
I'll let you know when it arrives.

Lord Greystoke 22nd October 2012 03:06 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
I'm guessing you guys are referring to Cranbourne race 9

I have already stated that the race is a lottery without the #2 running.
There are NO foreseeable mishaps.
And should one occur , which it won't , then there is no bet anyway.

1 DEZIE FIELDS $5.3
3 LEKTRA LOU $5.9
6 BLACK BING $6.5
7 ARVO'S TWINK $6.5
8 EL LOBO $7.2
5 SCANT REGARD $9
4 DARKEN RAHL $12

I suggest waiting for a better Race to come along.
I'll let you know when it arrives.


Thanks.

LG

darkydog2002 22nd October 2012 03:13 PM

Good Advice Mo.

moeee 22nd October 2012 03:26 PM

CRANBOURNE Race 4

2 FANTASIZZING $2.4
5 CHIC SHIRAZ $3.7
6 GROOBER $9.2
8 LET'S GO TENBY $12
3 WICCAN WAYS $14
7 MRS. FREEZE $33
4 SARAH'S BABY $40

Seeing as Box #1 is scratched , I guess Box #2 qualifies for selection for Darkydog2002.
It is a Staying Race , and i have had mixed success with these sort of races.
the animal will start Odds On amd too short for me , but will go mighty close.
I myself would rather risk a lesser amount if available at the Overlay and back the 2nd selection.

Lord Greystoke 22nd October 2012 04:34 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
CRANBOURNE Race 4

2 FANTASIZZING $2.4
5 CHIC SHIRAZ $3.7
6 GROOBER $9.2
8 LET'S GO TENBY $12
3 WICCAN WAYS $14
7 MRS. FREEZE $33
4 SARAH'S BABY $40

Seeing as Box #1 is scratched , I guess Box #2 qualifies for selection for Darkydog2002.
It is a Staying Race , and i have had mixed success with these sort of races.
the animal will start Odds On amd too short for me , but will go mighty close.
I myself would rather risk a lesser amount if available at the Overlay and back the 2nd selection.


Moeee,
Looks like you nailed the distance race, mate - dips my hat to you.

Darky, does this mean you will champion the 2 dog <$3 when No. 1 is scratched.

LG

moeee 22nd October 2012 04:40 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lord Greystoke
Moeee,
Looks like you nailed the distance race, mate - dips my hat to you.
LG

Yeah , look like I dun good.
My wagering tells a different story.

Thats what annoys me when Tipsters start messing and cutting and pasting their selections after the race.
Tipping and Wagering to me are 2 completely different entities.
Related , but nevertheless completely different.


RACE 10

1 GUNDA BALE $3.9
6 DANYO'S BOY $4.4
7 SHOPPING GIRL $5.9
8 JOHN CONNOR $12
4 REGAL THUNDER $12
5 SPOTTED CRUISER $15
3 DAINTREE CHENGDU $16
2 DYLAN'S CRUISER $16

Top 3 selections are clear of the rest of the Field.
I always say these Races are good for me and my Exotics , but they have been letting me down a fair bit lately.
I shall persevere nevertheless.

Lord Greystoke 22nd October 2012 04:44 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
Yeah , look like I dun good.
My wagering tells a different story.

Thats what annoys me when Tipsters start messing and cutting and pasting their selections after the race.
Tipping and Wagering to me are 2 completely different entities.
Related , but nevertheless completely different.


RACE 10

1 GUNDA BALE $3.9
6 DANYO'S BOY $4.4
7 SHOPPING GIRL $5.9
8 JOHN CONNOR $12
4 REGAL THUNDER $12
5 SPOTTED CRUISER $15
3 DAINTREE CHENGDU $16
2 DYLAN'S CRUISER $16

Top 3 selections are clear of the rest of the Field.
I always say these Races are good for me and my Exotics , but they have been letting me down a fair bit lately.
I shall persevere nevertheless.


Interesting.

Have you read that recent "my 75% plays" thread? If we were to work with this as an exercise here, No. 6 would seem to be better value than No. 1 based on your odds? No idea where the SP will end up of course (does anyone with these??)

LG

moeee 22nd October 2012 05:03 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lord Greystoke
Interesting.
No. 6 would seem to be better value than No. 1 based on your odds?
LG

What Odds are you comparing My Market to?

Lord Greystoke 22nd October 2012 06:24 PM

I am not comparing your odds to any market.

Rather, I am looking at the differential between no. 1 & 2 rated and no. 2 and 3. as you have rated them.

LG

moeee 22nd October 2012 06:52 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lord Greystoke
I am looking at the differential between no. 1 & 2 rated and no. 2 and 3. as you have rated them.

LG

I see.
In fact I don't , but whatever.

An ordinary day at the Office.

The VOUCHER

Peak $9,910
Current $9,882
Loss -$28



SHEPPARTON Race 6

2 INSTANT BALE $3.2
3 CAKEAHOLIC $6.6
1 ELLIE BALE $8
8 MINI MITCH $10
7 ALLEN BARRY $10.6
6 UNIQUE VENOM $11
4 HENDERSON BALE $11.5
5 THAT'S ABOUT ME $25

I expect the top selection to win.

Lord Greystoke 22nd October 2012 07:13 PM

Did you see, hear Race 10? (I missed it) - I see you got the box T, your top 3 being 'clear of the field' in your expected finishing frame.

Can you give me a brief sum up of the run of the race in the dying stages?

Cheers LG

moeee 22nd October 2012 07:15 PM

SHEPPARTON Race 7

2 BLUE MALOO $5
3 SHIRDON HI FIVE $7
8 ALLEN GORDY $7
4 BELOLLIE $7
1 GOLDWOOD $9.5
6 VAPOUR SHAKER $10
7 SIEGER $10
10 CREATIVE PASSION $16

I think i may be done.
Lost the Zone.

moeee 22nd October 2012 07:23 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lord Greystoke
Did you see Race 10?
Can you give me a brief sum up of the run of the race in the dying stages?

Cheers LG

235 were slow out
8 wasn't good enough

7 got across 641
1 ran out at the turn checking 4 severely.

Lord Greystoke 22nd October 2012 07:36 PM

Thanks.

LG

moeee 22nd October 2012 09:23 PM

poor night got saved

The VOUCHER

Peak $9,910
Current $9,883
Loss -$27


All times are GMT +10. The time now is 08:13 PM.

Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.