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Crap day yesterday..3 loses....was fairly confident aswell..
Today i like in Sydney At ease. Melbourne Sio Cowboy ,,,very confident..been running on well ..Moore in form.. Adelaide In the Cup i really like plans...been set for this...exalted ego rates high and a roughie thats up there is Bad Boys...(stick Pride Of Archway and any old odds in the multis aswell... but blinkers ?) new trainer experimenting.. Good luck all :) Thin n Crispy with Seamer in the big one on Saturday...the horse might actally see daylight |
Really Keen on MR4 #3 Here De Angels today. Massive win first up and looks set for big things.
A running double with satin robes/Estelle Collection in the previous is Money for Jam. |
4 For today:
Melb. Here De Angels. Jukebox Johnny Rock. Giggling Boy Regal Megan |
canterbury
4-1 no name for a lady 5-1 commanding victory mooney valley 1-9 miss bridport 3-1 satin robes 5-7 artorious rockhampton 2-1 town player 7-3 light after dark 9-7 happy spot balaklava 7-3 tonlyn spirit 9-2 fields of renown 10-6 dekoda gold agree with plans...but i'd be worried about on a jeune if it wasn't giving so much weight..keep it in the multis though |
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If only racing was this easy. RD paid $3.50 in VIC. ended up leaving Satin Robes out due to wieght and didnt think was up to Estelle. Happy Days. |
wow, i huge run by On A Jeune in the Balaklava Cup, coming from about a 20 length last going around the whole 16 strong field with 59kgs and grabbing 3rd at $5.00 a real eyecatcher
i've got the first two legs of the quaddie up paying $2.20 and $33.60 so hopefully can get the last two up for a big win |
damn, fields on renown was absolutely slaughtered, very annoying, and even more so because i thought i had magic mitch in there but it was actallu acacia queen :(
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This is what I had in my blackbook ".... ESTELLE COLLECTION MOONEEVALLEY Race 3 No 3 at 14:00 SEAFOOD STORE HANDICAP (1200m) Your comment: 7.06.06 Ran second to Sharkbite - Better in spring.... SHARKBITE CAULFIELD Race 5 No 8 at 15:00 RSL VAIN STAKES (1100m) Your comment: 7.06.06 Won again (2 from 2) Better in Spring...." and WHO DID HE RUN INTO RECENTLY..........TRY HARADASUN !! :eek: Mind you I also had (below) the other day and the ************ ran 3rd "......... SEFRAH SANDOWNLAKESID Race 3 No 8 at 14:13 PUNCHESTOWN SUPER VOBIS HANDICAP (1400m) Your comment: Brilliant 200m @ Cran 19.03 ... follow... could be something...." |
Good to see you back in the game Stix.
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Seems old Philip Stokes worked abit of magic with Pride Of Archway,,,i backed this horse last time up in Darwin where he was wide the whole way and still battled on well..Usually i dont sack a horse unless it gives me reason to...I was to caught up in Plans who i thought in this company a good chance...missed a possible huge collect ...
the 1st4 had me pulling me hair out.... I had Plans/Bad Boys/POA on top but on my 2nd line i had Exalted ego then Jaffa Jonnie and On A jeune on the 3rd line..... so in my 1st 6 selections i have the 1st 4 but still miss it...and just look at that divie.... :( could have been a huge day...will go nuts thinking of the could have beens though.. close with Soi Cowboy....dam that Rawiller bloke ..hes got me a few times of late.. Raining here on Brissie .... was looking forward to Marhill running today..a nicely bred Danehill that i've been keeping an eye on.... I think on the slow Poiym a good chance...especially around this track... Hot Symbol ,,racing well...might be to short to back though.. Bound to...i like the Piccolo's in the wet...been racing well and a chance to beat the toppy.. Goulbourn Nothin Leica King ... Bendigo Pescara , ElZahia Good Luck all :) |
A good day today thanks to ElZahia and Bound to...
Hot Symbol also won but to short for me... A few for tomorrow i'll be looking at Ipswich Palace Lover,,,,distance you'd think would suit,and the wet track,, Coquito Rose...loves the track,,,,i didnt mind her run in the slow way back when she was a maiden...... Musselbrook Xaar Xaar......made a stack of ground last start...usual pattern with this horse ,,just needs luck in running... Hi Filante....consistant horse...always puts himself in the race and should be at his peak,, Dubbo Windbreaker...very consistant horse...the whole Newtons Rings formlines reads well for this race,,,even taking into account the toppys 1st up form...exacta ? Good Luck all :) |
Ips.
R2 N3 Cielo Gold |
Great tipping Mav, again
thanks |
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geez mav you missed hi filante and ************ed up the exacta as well??? get your act together. LOL. hehehe seriously WELL DONE MATE |
Thanks Boys,,,yes its been a cacker of a week ...
couldnt believe the odds about Coquito Rose ...very nice indeed.. Hope it continues tomorrow :) |
hmmm its happening again, got california dane carrying the last leg of my quaddie in melbourne hope she gets up :(
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Go Merlot now..... :D (Good Luck Chuck) |
Always to short for old Merlot Stix,,,,good run though...
Like a few for tomorrow Ballina *Olivers Magic Sunshine Coast *Hooker Rd Mudgee *Fuji Kid..(should get nice odds) Mortlake *Stop Teasing Hoping to keep the nice little run going :) |
Cranbourne 7-1 Byway
Cranbourne 9-9 Jezadane Ballina 6-3 Pistol Knight very confident with Byway and Pistol Knight |
byway 2nd
pistol knight 2nd jezadane 1st $2.50 |
A few thoughts on Doomben tomorrow,
Race 1, Lord Westminster,,,no world beater but he did box on well last start in a harder race... Race 2, Karalee ..jumps well and can take a good posie,,just worry alittle about the distance // Way Of The World .. has been racing against alot harder than this,,i like the drop back in distance and the barrier and Jock Race 3, I like the toppy who did well last time in a race where they ran some time..Alternate should be winning...(sequablue respect) Race 4, Nippon bee was very impressive last start but i'll be taking it on tomorrow..i thought Trivo has alot of scope for improvement and the 1660 and the good jock will do wonders....Dream Gal and A Sir LA both should be respected.. RAce 5, Schappelle ,, good solid run last start and i like the look of this horse,,should get a nice price as they'll come for a few here...Shantreuse is interesting but i doubt she;ll start as there some nice mares races this Saturday.. Race 6, ,,,cant bring myself to back Chut even though he rates the highest...Pentup the more sensible bet ,,,i'll be watching Race 7, I'm a Zoe Lad fan and with only 54 he'll be flying...i'm not a huge fan of Plumb yet but others think different,,,i'll want a price.. RAce 8, I really like this horse Chevron Island,,,has had no luck of late and ridden poorly,,,JB will make a difference but the toppy is good so i'll again will want a price...Cafediclang only won a maiden a couple of starts ago but i like this horse...keep safe.. Best bets,,Alternate, Schappelle, Zoe LAd Best e/ws...Chevron Island, Trivo Good Luck all :) |
Backed Way of the world, Shappelle,Zoes Lad and got the get out of jail Chevron Island collect in the last...just got there aswell..
Pity Wyong if off as i liked a few there.. Some runners today at Ippy Tabinga Lass , at start number 1 million..better distance this and will give a good sight.. Marhill...hopefully its a good dead...i like this horse but i dont think this track willk suit it ... i still think a great e/w chance as it looks an ordinary race.. Refs Call...Stewart is on but this is a frontrunner that should be suited here ..will need a price to be tempted Fighter Pilot...heard good things in work,,,watch betting.. Ballarat.. Efficient ...another maidener ,,heard some mail.. Good Luck all :) |
Miss Dakota did run on hard a few starts back lets see what she can do this afternoon!
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A couple of winners and a couple of 2nds...a good day..
Like a few tomorrow. Cairns Captain Wheland..always to short for me...but you never know... Strictly smart....ridden upside down last start and still nearly won it,,, Moe Hoaks Grafton Friscos Vision, SHovoot, Art Major (roughie) Maybe a few shorties here,,but i've given up trying to work out midweek markets so i might be able to back a few of these... Good Luck all :) |
YOUR A LEGEND TODAY
thanx heaps for todays tips mate. you got me out of trouble and into a winning day. really appreciate your work mate. GREAT TIPPING!!!
Regards Breadman |
Thanks Breadman,,, yes a nice divie with Art Major and Hoaks,,, i think i'll need it all for tomorrow as its a tough day.
Been a good week . Nice to get some consistancy of late :) |
These all should be good each way value today:
Race 1: 15 Magestical Race 2: 7 Miss Fantabulous Race 3: 13 Roubechon Race 4: 9 Jim's Party Race 5: 13 Merlot Now Race 6: 11 Evavuate Race 7: 9 Pompeii Ruler Race 8: 8 Bel Danoro Race 9: 8 Sorenstam Notice a pattern anyone? I just think the guys a genious in the wet at melbourne...always like him on heavy and slow tracks...very good rider IMHO |
But seriously i think Flemington 7-12 Serenade Rose is a great bet today..ran into a massive heap of trouble last start in the liston...never missed a place at the distance (5:3-1-1) and track is (5:3-1-0)..barriers fine, probably settle just worse of midfield, and depending on how they're coming home should be thereabouts...people think she will only be competitive over longer but she was devestating over the mile last prep, half her wins have come from the mile or shorter. i really don't like OSJ...good wet tracker but i just don't think hes a group 1 winning horse. Zipping looks pretty good, ran home strongly in the memsie and aurie's star...suited to flemington, great on the wet...
Race 5 trifecta - 6 Belmonte - outstanding in brissy last campaign, can sprint well fresh...7 Rubijon looks suited to this type of race, well weighted, likes track and distance, good on wet...11 Caprizzi Strip very consistent type, well down in weight class hasn't changed much...15 Viennetta had a good run in the group 3 last start, down 3 kgs on that good form across the ditch, nicely drawn unbeaten this distance...16 Bird Dancer racing well this year, this is about his distance limit but won 5 times over it, down in weight after a very good run last start should go well. In Randwick Race 6 Mnemosyne is great value here, shes nevere been good first up but usually very good 2nd start, down in class, shes a favourite of mine i think she'll win this....Primus is too short and untried in the wet so can't have him. Race 7 desert war should win this i think, showed good pace last start and fought on very well even though never goes well first up. good in the wet i think hes good value and is in the running for a 3rd epsom |
Melb.
R8 N8 BEL DANORO R9 N7 WALK ALONE Bris. R2 N4 ESKIMO DAN Adel. R7 N1 ROYAL IDA |
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yes mate ive backed newitt and king into benbow and any other in adel heres hoping. |
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sydney
race 2 (6) Three cheers race 3 (3) auckland blues race 4 (7) French Tycoon race 5 (6) cheeky choice Race 6 (1) patezza Melbourne race 4 (3) maybe better race 7 (12) serenade rose a couple of roughies amongst those |
Race 1: 15 Magestical - UNP
Race 2: 7 Miss Fantabulous - 1st $10.20 & $2.30 Race 3: 13 Roubechon - UNP Race 4: 9 Jim's Party - UNP Race 5: 13 Merlot Now - UNP Race 6: 11 Evavuate - UNP Race 7: 9 Pompeii Ruler - 1st $6.90 & $2.10 Race 8: 8 Bel Danoro - 1st $2.50 & $1.50 Race 9: 8 Sorenstam - UNP IN: 9 Units OUT: 19.6 Units Thanks Craig ;) |
trialling a new method today
pakenham 2-2 day out 4-1 ima tycoon 8-6 hot pink moree 2-1 nothin' finer 3-4 never you mind 4-1 cheap as 5-1 campeche 6-1 eightofus sunny coast 1-1 aquaracer 3-1 danahar 7-3 takeoff bendigo 1-6 petite gold 3-1 for me to see 4-4 kazakato 6-1 gorky park a lot of number 1s....don't know why thats happened can't see that many getting up :D |
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Hey Chuck I ran these through my very useful little system modifier program, the idea of which is to filter out the losers. The result is that you should keep the following: Pak. 4,1 Ima Tycoon Moree 2,1 Nothin' Forever; 4,1 Cheap As; 5,1 Cameche; 6,1 Eightofus. S.Cst: 3,1 Danahar Bendigo: 4,4 Kazkato Should improve strike rate and profit. Cheers Filante |
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Original Selections: 6 winners from 14 (43%), returns +2.15 (+15%). Modified Selections: 4 winners from 6 (67%), returns +4.7 (+78%). |
cheers mate thats looks pretty good
pakenham 2-2 day out - 2nd $1.30 4-1 ima tycoon - 1st $1.60 & $1.30 8-6 hot pink - UNP moree 2-1 nothin' finer - UNP 3-4 never you mind - 3rd $1.80 4-1 cheap as - Scr 5-1 campeche - UNP 6-1 eightofus - 1st $2.10 & $1.30 sunny coast 1-1 aquaracer - 1st $1.80 & $1.20 3-1 danahar - 1st $1.60 & $1.20 7-3 takeoff - 4th bendigo 1-6 petite gold - 1st $3.60 & $2.10 3-1 for me to see - 2nd $1.60 4-4 kazakato - 1st $2.60 & $1.40 6-1 gorky park - 2nd $1.60 Win In 14 Out 16.15 Place In 14 Out 14.8 not bad, something to work on |
Don't mind Lady Frisco today in the last. Will get a nice run from the barrier and should get e/ws as its an open race..
Pearl Bid in the 7th at Tatura will be vary hard to beat,,,super run last start...but the tab tipsters might have killed a price.. if you're feeling alittle crazy theres a Maidener "Cathy Come Home" in the 4th who could jag a place in this field ,,ran well here before...worth alittle e/w speck if your game... |
Adding a few tweaks to it, this is what i get for today:
Warwick Farm 4-1 Rocarena 7-1 Go Cart Rockhampton 2-1 Giggling Boy 3-1 Dust Haze 4-1 Onalar 6-2 Kick 9-7 Happy Spot |
No good yesterday ,,Lady Frisco couldnt have had it any easier.for 2nd..pearl bid dissapointing...
like a couple today.. Rocky Beligino,,,want know himself with that weight,,, Cindy Kate,,,from the inside will be hard to beat,,,trialled well.. Sydney Sullivans Creek , GO Cart ...not to keen down there in the bog though.. Good Luck all :) |
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