World Club Series
Warrington Wolves up against St George Illawarra Dragons
To score a try - Eto Nabuli

World Club Series
Wigan Warriors up against Brisbane Broncos
To score a try - Josh Charnley

World Club Series
Wigan Warriors up against Brisbane Broncos
To score a try - Joe Burgess

World Club Series
Wigan Warriors up against Brisbane Broncos
To score a try - Ben Hunt

Super League
Leeds Rhinos up against Huddersfield Giants
Taking Leeds Rhinos

Super League
Leeds Rhinos up against Huddersfield Giants
To score a try - Ryan Hall

Super League
Leeds Rhinos up against Huddersfield Giants
To score a try - Kallum Watkins

Super League
Leeds Rhinos up against Huddersfield Giants
Taking Huddersfield Giants +17.5 pyol

Super League
Leeds Rhinos up against Huddersfield Giants
To score a try - Jermaine McGilvary

Super League
St Helens up against Castleford Tigers
Taking St Helens

Super League
St Helens up against Castleford Tigers
To score a try - Thomas Makinson

Super League
St Helens up against Castleford Tigers
To score a try - Adam Swift

Super League
Catalans Dragons up against Warrington Wolves
To score a try - Morgan Escare

Super League
Catalans Dragons up against Warrington Wolves
To score a try - Joel Monaghan

Super League
Salford Red Devils up against Hull FC
To score a try - Rangi Chase

Super League
Salford Red Devils up against Hull FC
To score a try - Fetuli Talanoa

This years NRL grand final winner, tipping South Sydney Rabbitohs $6 or
Canterbury Bulldogs $8.50 or North Queensland Cowboys $11.

This years Dally M Medal winner, tipping Johnathan Thurston $10 or
Greg Inglis $17 or James Graham $51.

This years NRL leading try scorer, tipping Alex Johnston $12 or
Semi Radradra $21 or Josh Mansour $51.

This years NRL leading point scorer, tipping Jarrod Croker $5.50,
James Maloney $6.50 or Johnathan Thurston $10.

I did some development of an NRL ratings spreadsheet thingamy last year, then pretty much forgot about it. So with no back-testing at all, here are my tips for Round 1:

South Sydney Rabbitohs
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
New Zealand Warriors
North Queensland Cowboys
Gold Coast Titans
Canberra Raiders
Penrith Panthers
Melbourne Storm

Each game looks very close. My method has a margin of a converted try or less in each - perhaps the schedulers used something similar in hopes of a blockbuster start to the season.

Looking for value (on Centrebet), I see it foremost with the outsiders in H2H markets (at this stage selections will be either head-to-head, line and perhaps under-over; the other bet types I haven't looked at as yet), so selections are:

Gold Coast Titans - WIN @ 2.60
Canberra Raiders - WIN @ 2.80

I'll watch an imaginary bank of $1000 dwindle away as I bet 2% (i.e. $20, this week) on each selection. Hopefully some success - or otherwise - will prompt me to put some more work into this.

h2h / pyol
 

Brisbane Broncos v South Sydney Rabbitohs

Brisbane Broncos +7.5 v South Sydney Rabbitohs

Win NRL
Sydney Roosters ($7)
Canterbury Bulldogs ($8.50)
Penrith Panthers ($12)

Top4 NRL
Sydney Roosters ($2.10)
Canterbury Bulldogs ($2.27)
Penrith Panthers ($2.75)

Super League
Hull FC up against Leeds Rhinos
Taking Leeds Rhinos

Super League
Hull FC up against Leeds Rhinos
To score a try - Ryan Hall

Super League
Wakefield Wildcats up against St Helens
Taking St Helens

Super League
Wakefield Wildcats up against St Helens
To score a try - Thomas Makinson

Super League
Catalans Dragons up against Salford Red Devils
Taking Catalans Dragons 13+ margin

Super League
Catalans Dragons up against Salford Red Devils
To score a try - Morgan Escare

Super League
Catalans Dragons up against Salford Red Devils
To score a try - Michael Oldfield

Tipping was only 4 from 8, but given that the teams are rated on past results and many of the sides are quite different from those that fronted up last season, I would expect predictions to be (especially) wrong early in the year.

Results for bets this round were 1/2. The Gold Coast H2H bet was a close loss (a late Titans error gave possession to the Tigers who went on to kick a tie-breaking field goal in the last 10 seconds), and the Canberra H2H bet won.

This Week
Out: $40
In: $56
40%POT

Overall
Out: $40
In: $56
40%POT

New Bank: $1016

H2H S/R: 50%
Line S/R: N/A

Try Joe Burgess

St Helens 18:7

Try Thomas Makinson

St Helens 18:7

Withdrew day of game

St Helens 52:6

Try Thomas Makinson

NRL
Penrith Panthers up against Gold Coast Titans
Taking Penrith