Thanks Malua, welcome
 

At times i think it's just Mav, Sportz, L2B and me who read this thread and i'm glad to see others are benefitting from the work those guys put in, i know i have. It has taken me a while, as i'm sure with the others to trust the information being portrayed, but now i realise these lads know what they're talking about and it certainly helps the battle.

Daaditsi, was a no brainer however and i can't take any credit for selecting it, as everyone else in the world did. great result with the exacta and a huge result overall. As always a race with no speed to be seen ended up being run at a decent tempo.

Thanks again Malua and feel free to get some of your selections up here mate, i'm sure the'll be greatly appreciated.

Cheers ED

well done Mr ed ..
Are you backing up on old Harry later in SWAN HILL (not forbes)or have you given up on him..
he'll get right back but he'll get his chance down this straight ..

seems every man and his dog is on Petrol Head ..worried now as i dont think any favs have got up so far in Forbes ..

Good tip again, Mr Ed.

Hey, are you going to enter a stable in the Fantasy Racing comp???

wow 1 from 10 the last 2 days ..i'm on fire :)
Petrol head did well to stick on i thought for 4th ..ridden upside down ..but had the wide alley so he probably had to go forward...would of liked to see him have a breather though..he seemed to roll along at a decent tempo..
Fords Creek 4th again...had his chance i thought...but the distance is alittle to far for him..
Legends of Ace ...was real confident here but beaten into 2nd ..thought i had it 50m out..

Have some work to do this week,,,had such a good last week and saturday that i dont want to spoil it..

any tips guys ??? i'll probably need them :)

No, he had every possible in a worse field last start and couldn't win, I was with you i thought Legend of Ace looked a special, but i left the race alone because i also backed China Syndrome last start and it won for me, and i backed Bernie Done Nothin 2 starts ago and it won for me, but was also sacked after just getting there.

Sportz, yeh i'm working on the Stable, i'm finding it alot of work just to get it, hate to think how much time you've invested.

Will be in soon, Cheers.

Umatrick !! racing tomorrow in Coffs...thought Ef on Saturday was a beter race but they must be thinking the shorter distances are they way to go ,,
he'll get the speed he needs here because Volcanic Scene will roll along at his usual tempo..
Umatrick likes the track,,,the long straight there obviously suits...hes got a bit of weight but hes just flying ...
think Mr Tibula and Sarah Covet at odds could place..,,,volcanic scene might be left alone in front ..this worries me alittle ...as he'll be hard to catch if he dictates..
Confident here .
Langfibian...this horse is alittle flyer...she should jump to the front here and might be to nippy for them..Galibye and Postcard Bandit are the only ones i'd be worried about,,,
Strategic Plan ...liked his last run against Sixpound ect..he did all the work up front and was in it to the last 50m,,,,he'll get the same here in this race which i think is easier ...Collless is in good form ...he'll get him home..

These are my three for the day .

Go Umatrick :)

Good move as he never got into it...he seems to attract support does old Harry....one of those types who just needs to much luck in running ...heartbreakers they are,,,,but when they do win its usually at nice odds and they do it easy...hard to catch though..

Legends of Ace looked real good..thought the 4.20 was huge value ..

always another though ..

I know exactly what you mean Mav. St Basil is a perfect example, there runs always look to be fantastic because they are flashing home, but a horse who's done plenty of work and works to the line nicely is what i prefer. I get caught out a bit, like with Miss Starnee and Opio Miss, a couple from this thread. But there is nothing better then being on them when they are winding up and you know how strong they can finish.

Don't forget concular also. Backed him two starts back when he came from the back of the field to score paying 6 dollars. Then last start beaten by the narrowest of margins by Terrace, would have payed the same dough. Plus poetic papal on the weekend which gave me the quinella, 3.80 the place. Someone please explain to me how that horse started at over $10..??

Cheers

Well done yesterday Ed, It was my only bet for the day, been flat out. Didnt even see or hear the race but was nice to see the account balance last night.
Thanks again Ed.

I was on Poetic Papal as well TS ,,and Consular..
i thought the same as you with Poetic.. he must of lost a leg or something...great run in the ramornie . weird how it goes...thought the $5 about dance hero on the weekend was incredible overs as well..

Umatrick scratched again ?? wonder whats going on ..anyone know ??

Strategic plan at odds on...ridiculous for horse who just battles away and is up in grade ,,saved my cash there..

Have Langfibian in the next ...postcard bandit has the support but he just finds it tough to win..hopefully they keep coming for him and Langfibian gets to 6's maybe..
Sarah Covet is a roughie i liked in umatricks race ...i see that Radio Tab has put the kiss of death on it though....Mr tibula is also out ...which should make it easier for Sarah Covet who likes the track and the firmer surface suits.....worth an e/w if the odds are good..
also was on Shady henrietta last start but is alittle sus at the distance but worked home well last start and with no weight and a good run could win this...
I dont really rate Elite ted ..but i see he might run favourite which is good..
will back Sarah covet e/w at nice odds and Shady for the win ..
and go wide with the tri and 1st4...


fingers crossed :)

Yeh i snapped up those 5's for dance hero - couldn't believe it. Wanted to back racing to win but was just too short, so i backed mosso instead...i don;t know why though.

thought it was a good run though by mosso ...made alot of ground with that weight....stathi has recomended blinkers to spark it up out of the barriers..
he recomended the same with Sparky ....not sure about blinkers with Sparky..nothing was catching Dance hero that day..

woohhoo :) bout time

As well as backing Langfibian for the win, I also took an any2 bet with it and the field, so I effectively got $2.80 for the place about it.

I realise that's not nearly as exciting or rewarding as your trifecta would have been, but I don't have the guts to take a trifecta with a banker and the field.

Nice work Mav...hope you made a good profit!!

Many thanks to you and all the other contributors...been a hard day at the office today (with my ratings system) but getting better! Keep up the great tips...really like the comments from all the posters...using a numerical system means that you cant rationalise the selections other than they fulfil your individual system criteria...

Thanks guys..really needed that after a couple of bad days..
fingers crossed with Shady in the next ...would be better if Sahara gets up but the dead track migtnt suit...doesnt look a bad dead though so im hoping for the best..

Mav is back!! 1 bet today for 1 win. Only 2 bets in last two days for 2 wins....... and havent even picked one myself. well done guys.
Cheers Mav, hopefully be able to give you 1 or 2 back tomorrow.

Just having a look at the last in coffs harbour. there is the $4 fav Lady nediym who ran 2nd behind irish player last start and secret money who was close up third. Secret money is double the odds of lady and having colless on board this time has to be worth a few lengths. Although drawn 16 it might take every bit of his ability. Worth a go at value.

Nice to double your money for the day..
thought Shady did the best she could...the difference was the jockeys..you could bet your life that theres no way if colless was on Shady that he would of let Elite ted out of that pocket and would of made him go around not opened it up for him....lesson learnt for little Poulus ..great ride by Colless hes in a nice purple patch of form..
Still got work to do to catch up from the last 2 days but i'm going in the right direction ..
Last Wednesday was huge ..hopefully tomorrow will be the same,,,
a few nice betting races around..

You beauty Mav, like you L2B, only bet of the day a winner.

Thanks again champ.

See Civil is nominated again next Saturday, can't wait.

Hi Mr ed ...watched the replay of Civils race and you're right he was unlucky Leckey just had nowhere to go....thought the run of Nedrullah also stood out .. if you've still got the replay check it out ..

Mr Ed,

I like to follow your tips, but Civil has won 2 of his 24 starts. Not exactly the sort of strike rate I'm too keen on!!! I admit he's been very consistent lately, but he's let punters down quite a few times in the past. Are you really confident???

..sometimes with those sort of horses they get that winning feeling and put a few wins together... you'll see a trainer start his horse out in the sticks in a easy race just to get some confidence for them,, usually that horse carries the grandstand but usually wins..
its a mental thing obviously with Civil as he doesnt often run a bad race..his last win was fantastic and the 2 runs prior were good also (beat Wise as an owl in one of them who won well the other day) he's full of confidence now.
I'd be keeping an eye on him..

another one like this i've been watching is Taken at The flood ..this horse had huge wraps on it and he recentlly ran in a class1 the other day..winning of course,,he then went to town last week end and ran on fairly well from a bad barrier and tempo..he seems to of regained that something that was missing and might win a few this prep..

Have a few tomorrow.
Sandown
* Super Mario...i liked the way this horse finished off last start..he really knucked down afer missing the start...with the claim and in the hope he jumps well ..he'll be hard to hold out..first time over the 1200m and i think being an Octagonal it suits him down to the ground...doesnt seem to be much in the race but these types of races are usually fairly hard...hopefully i get nice e/w odds because there are a few here they might spec.
* Johny Be Good,,,beat Madison lane easily last start,,and thats good form..i think the drop back in distance is good also..not conviced this horse is a stayer..if he leads here and dictates he'll be hard to catch..he has a problem settling in his races but the from the inside he might be able to just roll along..
*Stratagee Gee ... this horse is a speedy type with good 2nd up form ..although not in this class...but her run last start was strong and she should lead or possie up nicely here..might be a bit short for me ..but if i get some sort of price i'll be on...

Sydney
*Delta Eagle...going through the grades nicely..harder here but hes flying ...likes to get back and run on ..and theres some speed in this race..
should be nice e/w odds..as the toppy has class and they might go for it..
*Olympic James...not a world beater but the tempo set up by Gloire should suit him...he'll get the nice run and if gets clear could surprise at odds..
nice last run from a mile back against the tempo...Publicity Stunt is another that will be running on hard..
*Skittles...i love this horse...not just because he has a good record but by the way he fights in his races..he's been good to me,,and its a tough race so i might get some odds about him..little Fuji has been flying..

Brissie
* Papunya and Scared the 2 hawkes runners look good here...wish i could be on track to see them ..Papunya's last run was fantastic but scareds only run was good also..trialled only average but Hawkes never works them in those things anyway...the tote will lead me into one of these..

Adelaide
* Gorilla Biscuit ..go to far back last start..bungled the start...has a nice barrier and should be close to the lead..the distance will suit and the way he finished off last start looks pretty handy....Leckey is always a plus..
* Brakenbury Bill...this horse has been real good to me in the past...needs it longer but usually sprints well fresh..if theres alot of speed on could run over the top of these..
* Claretoum,,,won nicely last start..Micks got this horse flying ..like to follow mares in form..
* Lair .. poor old Lair ..he deserves a win ..great run last start from the bad barrier..hopefully gets a better run here even though he has the bad barrier again....i said i'd stick with the poor thing till he wins..so im suporting him out of pity...this is a harder race than last time ,,but you just never know..

Hopefully i'll get some value here...fingers crossed .. :)
good luck all

some good racers around 2morrow and im going in with confidence. Rain is expected in adelaide, storms, possible hail etc so I should get rained off at work and head to gawler. Doomben race 5 Not a blunder gets his chance here. Im going to give him 1 more shot. Ive been on him his last 4 or 5 starts and always get your moneys worth, he looks well suited in this field and there should be a bit of speed on early which will only help his chances. Ive got no doubt at all he will be flashing home late and providing he is ridden well should be around the mark at the post. Im still spewin he lost that photo 5 runs back paying over $100. Should be still in peak fitness and Ill just about make this my bet of the day.
Looks like I may be leaving melbourne alone at the moment, although have had a couple of winners there of late. A couple i will be looking at is Huck finn in race 6, hes had a bit of a freshen up after two solid wins over this distance. Bit harder here but should give it a shake. Serene prince looks ready to win race 5, hes had a couple of handy runs his last couple against some quality horses (wouldve give ed a scare last run) has been placed over this distance at every attempt and looks a good thing.
Moving on to adelaide, and the weather may play a part so beware of the stinkers. Im not a real big fan of the gawler racecourse, but will have a go anyway. I like double spirits in race 7. Hes up to his preferred distance and his latest runs would suggest hes getting closer and closer to a win. Has won 2 from 4 attempts over this journey, got johnson on board with the claim and has drawn well. Only concern for me would be the weather. If it really comes in Ill maybe have a couple of savers on jazzy gina and cryans colleen.
In race 8 I really like a couple here, maybe a target bet could be on the cards. Bellanto ran a good race last start not that far behind general conclusion and beat next now the start before that. Going on those two runs alone is enough to put it right in amongst it here in this much weaker field. The other one is covet in gold and there should be a bit of value. A good friend is involved in this horse and smith is pretty happy with the way hes going. He needs to race with a bit of cover, and if he is ridden to instructions should be right in it. Loftily looks well placed in sydney, boss has got the ride and should once again be there-abouts. Wont be taking anything too short though.
Hope we all line our pockets to prepare for what looks like being a great spring carnival.

I love them.

As you may be aware i am a big fan of maiden races, ussually their winning strikerate is not that flash either! Mav hit the nail on the head in his assesment, this horse is full of confidence and absolutely flying, haven't studied the race to much yet but it will take a good horse to beat him, especially if the track is wet. He didn't escape the handicapper, but that probably speaks volumes of the class of race he's in. Did like Nedrullah's run Mav, he may need a confidence booster himself however, been very costly to punters this prep.

Good luck getting off work tommorow L2B, what trade you in mate? My brothers a roof tiler absolutely loves heavy tracks.

I'll leave the races alone tommorow, not to keen at all. Melbourne metro races are really boring me of late, i love me provincials, and Adelaide is good.

Clean'em up tommorow gents,

Im a roof plumber Mr Ed. I can have an exuse for anything. Too wet, too windy, too hot, or sometimes just too hard.... I love my job...

Note Stix has picked Serene Prince also Luv2Bet...it's Nash's only ride at Sandown...which may enhance his rating as favourite...thanks all for the selections...

Also note that PJ i sback with ony the one ride at Belmont-R3 Foxy Date for what its worth...

Got these three in my blackbook. Havn't had a chance to check what opposition they are up against but thought i may aswell put them up anyway, i must have black booked them for some reason.

Belmont Race 1 - #6 Don;t say don't
Doomben Race 4 - #2 Satisfying
Doomben Race 6 - #7 Welsh Dragon

Cheers,

Matt

Some of my thoughts:

From Sydney race 5, Collate has been going great in trackwork and he had solid form in good races during the Autumn including finishing within 4 lengths of Dance Hero. Stayer High Cee could also run a good race first up at odds. In race 7, Loftily has Superior consistent Saturday form and a good record at track and distance. Main danger is probably Skittles. In Melbourne race 2, Strategee Gee had a good win first up and a fair performance in a stronger Saturday class race behind I Want You Back. Majestic Point possibly the danger.

CANTERBURY
R1-1 SPEEDY DUKE, 3 Longhorn, 9 Primus (1,3,9 - 5,4)
R5-1 COLLATE, 2 High Cee, 8 Regal Express (1,2,8 - 6,7)
R7-2 LOFTILY, 4 Skittles, 10 Force Zulu (2,4,10 - 5,1,8,13)
SANDOWN
R2-3 STRATEGEE GEE, 8 Majestic Point, 4 Dan's Princess (3,8,4 - 1,9,5)
R4-8 TOMMIFRANKS, 1 Scopari, 3 The Bighearted (8,1,3 - 2,4)
R6-1 Aquiline & 8 Thomas Henry (each way)
R7-7 JOHNNY BE GOOD, 9 Huckleberry Finn, 10 Fall Of Rome (7,9,10 - 2,1,3)
R8-3 COMPOSURE, 9 Dream Lass, 4 Escolta (3,9,4 - 7,14,1,2)

Forgot a couple:
SANDOWN
R3-3 Amerryking & 10 Montoux (each way)

Stratagee gee too good.... but ************ Southern Bound !!!!

Yep. Should have included that one somewhere.

bl**dy Irish !!!

Thanx Mav
 

Mav


Had Toms Vision from Lair in the exacta paid $14.80.... so not bad. Thanks for your thoughs, because I wasn't goint to include him.

Stix

Like Pinakahari in race 5 @ CAnterbury...