|
IRB 7s
Portugal v Hong Kong |
IRB 7s
Spain v Tunisia |
IRB 7s
New Zealand v USA |
IRB 7s
Fiji v Wales |
IRB 7s
Australia v France |
IRB 7s
New Zealand v Wales |
Super 15 week 19 from Ray
1 Attachment(s)
Hi to all,
I previously thought I would not be able to give you any more predictions as I was to be away at sports conferences for a month. I forgot about the break so here are my predictions for week 19. The computer had 12 of the last 13 correct, head-to-head. I ran the games I'd missed. These were actual predictions since the computer cannot look ahead to see who won. Good luck, Ray Stefani |
S15
Crusaders up against Chiefs Taking Crusaders |
S15
Crusaders up against Chiefs Taking Chiefs +12.5 handicap |
3rd Test
Australia up against British & Irish Lions Taking British & Irish Lions +7.5 pyol |
Super Rugby week 19
Hurricanes v Highlanders |
Quote:
Winner |
Quote:
Winner |
Super 15 week 20
1 Attachment(s)
Hello again,
Just one last week before the playoffs. I had 4 from 5 winners in week 19. The sole upset was just fine because suporting the Highlanders made for a value bet that paid 3.30. I have picked 16 head-to-head winners in the last 18 matches. Good luck in week 20. Ray Stefani |
S15
Crusaders up against Hurricanes Taking Crusaders |
S15
Crusaders up against Hurricanes Taking Crusaders -8.5 pyol |
S15
Rebels up against Highlanders Taking Highlanders +12.5 handicap |
h2h / pyol
Super Rugby week 20
Crusaders v Hurricanes Crusaders v Hurricanes +27.5 |
pyol
Super Rugby week 20
Rebels +8.5 v Highlanders Rebels v Highlanders +8.5 |
h2h / pyol
Super Rugby week 20
Blues v Chiefs Blues +15.5 v Chiefs |
pyol
Super Rugby week 20
Waratahs +6.5 v Reds Waratahs v Reds +11.5 |
margin
Super Rugby week 20
Sharks 13+ v Kings |
Super 15 Playoffs week 1
1 Attachment(s)
It's been a good year so far. The Western Force rewarded supporters with a value bet in week 20. Profit on turnover is 23% so far.
The Crusaders ended the home-away season with the highest rating. I favour both home teams this week. Good luck, Ray Stefani |
h2h / pyol
Super Rugby Qualifier
Crusaders v Reds Crusaders v Reds +19.5 |
h2h / pyol
Super Rugby Qualifier
Brumbies v Cheetahs Brumbies v Cheetahs +16.5 |
Super 15 Semifinals
1 Attachment(s)
The Crusaders and Bulls have been the top two teams for the last part of the season. It looks like they will meet for the final. I'll probably favour the Bulls on home advantage. We should probably play the semifinals first though.
Good luck, Ray |
pyol
Super Rugby Semi Final
Chiefs v Crusaders +3.5 Chiefs +9.5 v Crusaders |
h2h / pyol
Super Rugby Semi Final
Bulls v Brumbies Bulls v Brumbies +17.5 |
h2h / handicap
Super Rugby promotion-relegation
Kings v Lions Kings v Lions +12.5 |
Super 15 finals
1 Attachment(s)
I was off for a month and I re-started predictions again on week 19. I’ve been surprised since then (in a good way). Only 5 of the last 16 games have been value bets, all supporting the dogs h2h. Four of the five dogs paid off, which is unusually high (good for us). On week 19, the Highlanders paid h2h decimal odds of 3.30. On week 20, the Western Force paid 3.75 (but the Blues lost at 2.80). I had said the most likely winners last week were the Crusaders and Bulls but the bookmakers favoured the Crusaders by 4.5 compared to my 1 and the Bulls by 8.5 compared to my 6, making the dogs attractive as value bets. In the semifinals, the Chiefs paid 2.45 and Brumbies paid 4.00. The year’s profit on turnover is an unusually high 35% compared to a 19 season average of 12%. That’s great because there was a 10% loss last season. The last two-season average POT is just right.
The Brumbies have a higher rating than the Chiefs but I favour the Chiefs by 4 points based on home advantage. I hope the final is as good as the semifinals. See you next year! Ray Stefani |
Quote:
Posted back in Jan 2013,,much better odds then ;) |
Nice one, kiwiz
|
2013 The Rugby Championship, bet New Zealand
|
h2h / pyol
Super Rugby Final
Chiefs v Brumbies Chiefs v Brumbies +16.5 |
Super 15 wrap up
Great set of playoff matches! I predicted that the Chiefs would win the final 26-22 and they won 27-22. That's a great way to end the season.
For the season, using the Kelly betting methods I suggest with my weekly predictions, profit on turnover was 30% and return on investment was 105%. That higher than normal, so let's keep it up next season. Good luck, Ray Stefani |
Thanks for a great season of tips, Ray. I took the Brumbies as a 'value bet' based on your fair odds, and they weren't that far away from pinching it - might just have done it without all the travel?
All the best to you. Wish you were covering more than just the one market on here ! Cheers LG PS with your POT and ROI stats above, did you base this one on tipped winners and/or where there was also a value bet?? |
Quote:
Tournament was won by the Chiefs |
Quote:
Tournament was won by the Chiefs (NZ) |
Quote:
Chiefs - 1st; Crusaders 2nd |
Quote:
Chiefs - 1st; Crusaders 4th; Reds 5th |
| All times are GMT +10. The time now is 10:32 PM. |
Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.