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Couple for today in pt lincoln.
Race 3. DESHANN. Convincing win last start and can go on with it here. Only a slight rise in the wieghts and drawn the wide barrier but should be able to get accross and be too strong for them. Been placed every start so far, twice at this distance. Race 4. Yarterbury first up here could win in this field. No previous first up success but hes been racing in much stronger fields. His last two runs before the spell were a bit dissapointing but the third before that was a super run. This horse is certainly capable from the inside barrier. Race 5. WEDDING GIFT. E/W. Ran a solid 2nd to bracken star last outing before being freshened up for this. Back to his pet distance and could suprise at odds. Race 7. GUERNICA. I have followed this horse with interest as I nearly bought it 6 months or so ago. Curtis has certainly got the old fella going since his move and can make it three in a row today. Good luck for today.... |
Wow, cant believe the odds that perficio paid in race 1 at pt lincoln. Didnt post it as I thought it would be odds on.... bit of a no brainer when you look at the field.
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Deshann and yarterbury both close... terrible ride on deshann
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Not wrong, should of won easy. Then wedding gift a late scratching......
Go Guernica!!!! Eagle juan may go alright in the next |
three 2nds and a scratching, hopefully we can change that 2morrow.
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Will be all over exalted ego in race 7 at morphetville today. Theres a lot of confidence around the stable for its chances today.
In race 6 i would expect zimstar to run a good race fresh at e/w odds. Hope everyones having a win!! |
Hi Luv2 ..quiet around here ..
Have the day off tomorrow so i'll list a few in the stable Genghis Khan Kings Arch Sea Counsel WHos backing Wencelas Square ??? could he win 2 in a row ?? me thinks he can but i cant bring myself to back him...swore i never would again .. Good Luck all :) |
Mav remember our thoughts about old Civil, that win could've been just what the doctor ordered, and Road to Athens is certainly no walker. He must rate a huge chance, if he's over 4's he's value against that lot.
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PENOLA CUP
Penola Cup
Think it might be between (2) You're Joking and (4) You Go For Hugo. Might have a speccy at Boys Play (1x2) in th Cup........ also have 11-field A2 and 11-field quinella.....Anyone else? |
jamatre e/w for the cup
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Our horse noisy princess was going to run in the cup but we decided to bring it to vic park on saturday. It will be suited to the big straight drawn barrier 3 and should be very good odds. After last start win at strath baker said he still had a full horse under him, so the 1800 shouldnt be a problem. Pretty tough race but i dont think he will be disgraced by any means.
Good luck guys... |
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Jamatre pulled up during the running........
Nice A2 divvy and place..... but was only a small investment..... |
ouch :(
Knew it wasn't going to be my day today when Sea Counsel and Genghis Khan both ran 2nd .. of course Wenceslas Square would win ...probably win another 10 in a row without me on..dam horse .. rated very highly today and i shouldnt have been taking emotion into it.. still not going to back it though ..i'm a stuborn and somewhat stupid man at times :) |
Have a few in the stable for tomorrow,,,
they'll all run 2nd .. Cindy Kate (rocky) Little Black Duck (Pm) Standabove (Canberra) Another Adam (W/f) Tiz Maizing (M/v) very keen on the duck...been waiting for this one...also liked Another Adam ..better over the mile but still should run well .. running at a loss 2006 so far ..but only early days :) |
very happy with the duck :) nice trifecta to ...missed the 1st4 though ..
nice cheering the duck home at the MM sales...i remember doing that when Son Of Dane won last year at 40's...now if could only transfer that luck into one of the horses i'll be buying i'd be very happy.. standabove and Cindy kate running 3rd and left Adam alone in the wet ..will keep though.. have tiz maizing later on tonight..been a good day so far .. hopefully Tiz Maizing can make it better.. ps..got some mail about Looming at MV tonight....worth a looksy . |
not only did i stop Tiz Maizing i think i killed it...poor thing.,,
having fun doing the ratings for tomorrow at th Coast..the first 2 races are hard but there does seem to be a few specials..hoping the rain stays away.. having alittle on Looming tonight...if i dont it will win for sure... :) |
Yeah, no rain please. That will throw a spanner in the works!!! :o
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Have a few i like tomorrow..
Sydney *Crums, *For Valour Adelaide *Exalted Time, *Elmessiah Ipsiwch *Lindolme, *Auditorium Ascot *Comeback Kid Toowoomba *Show Bizz Kid, *Tuscan Jazz Nz *Orpington Werribee *Mr Ponsford wow there runniing everywhere.....confident in Sydney and Adelaide :) |
Gday all,
Well, a weee bit of confidence around today with noisy princess now that jillimarg has been scratched, one less to worry about. Baker was asked to ride both jillimarg and tiona and told them he had a better ride. Heading in there shortly for what could be a great day. Ive been playing with some new ratings with some success over the last few months and will start posting today. Good luck today guys.... GO NOISY!!!!!!! |
Good luck LUv2 ... i'll have something e/w for luck ..
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bad luck Luv2 ,,thought Noisy got alittle crowded there on the inside and lost momentum and couldnt rally .. wheres Noisy going to now ?
consistant results yesterday ..alot of frustrating placings. Have a few for today in the stable .. Sunny Coast *Val De Roi, *Medievil Time, *Like Tiffany Warrnambul *Showdown Kid (Sir FLex) Geraldton *Solar Impact Coffs Harbour *Sandikelly, *Fine Cheval Kyneton *Simply Sam Musselbrook *Dan City will be having some fun with these today ...havent rated the races but they are all still worth some thought.. good luck :) |
Here we can really test the Wencesles theory. Roccaborroca took 17 starts to win his maiden, but has ran some tremendous races against good company did the job well last start and meets a very ordinary field should really win.
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Gday Mav,
Not the best result with noisy but not too bad. It hit its hind leg coming out of the barrier and has a nice laceration from it. Baker got off the horse and said it wouldnt pick up the bit at the 350-400 only grabbed with 50 to go. Were still tossing up where it will run next, but looks like it may be going to strath over 2000. Its got a 100% record there and it took baker 600 metres to pull it up on saturday so it should get the journey. One of my new ones has just commenced training as a two year old and looks very promising. Looks a dead ringer of his old man which is kingston rule. the dam is lady flilnders by muscan lake out of bushgate. Hopefully get a run or two or a trial out of him in a couple of months. Getting right into the ownership side of racing it certainly adds to the excitement. Good luck today guys.... |
Hey mav,
You mentioned a while ago that you had a jumper down in adelaide, is that getting ready for the oakbank carnival over easter? Its a great set-up there, and theres some nice prizemoney over the jumps... |
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Ive got like thunder rated a very close second, only one that may beat it imo. Still fine tuning my ratings, but have been finding some nice divvies... |
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I think Tactical Jack has a good chance, but Roccabarocca "should" win......... |
Hi Luv2 ...I have an interest in Nassou a musgrave trained gelding...have high hopes for him come Oakbank time...have an interest in another but he has leg problems so we are looking at tassie or something.
I dont know to much about the jumpers ..but i'm learning .. Dont know much about the breeding of Lady Flinders ..but it does look a pedigree that will get over some ground ..without fear , Fappiano ...i like these types alot more fun than these speedy types that seem to break down every 5 seconds.. Lost a lazy grand yesterday on my fun bets :( not much fun really...serves me right for not doing ratings...Simply Sam would have been nice.. A not so gentle reminder for me to stick to saturdays.. |
A "lazy" grand??? :eek:
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Lazy as in "You idiot what the hell were you thinking" |
Going to put up a few to look at today.... see how we go..
**1st selection win or e/w, selections in brackets multi's) Echuca Race 1. Next party, (1,2,3,10) Race 2. Oh me oh my oh yo, (1,4,5,7) Race 3. Energised. (4,5,6,11) *not a good betting race Race 4. Cyar, (1,5,8,11) *not a good betting race Race 5. Dancha, first blood,(1,7,10) Race 6. Falloir, lucky petric, (3,5,6) Race 7. surfie pete, (3,4,6,7) Race 8. Incinerator, Favrick, (2,3,8,10) Race 9. Norhave, (2,8,9,12) Race 10. Finlayson, (3,6,8,10) Be back with more later, still fine tuning... tread with caution. |
Got some mail from a usual good source today.
Dustwind e/w at Murwillimba . .. also thought CIndy Kate would run much better today at Rocky .. both worth a look .. Good luck Luv2 with your ratings...between you Stix, Sportz, X and old Will how could anyone lose .. (Thought Finlayson looked well placed) some bright spark will be doing a 3 2 1 of all you guys and backing the high raters .. |
Hello Mav.
Lesson number 1 when we are mid-week betting. 1.For all races plus 1600 metres, look closely at the pre post odds. Then keep reminding yourself that you should never bet on a 'good thing' like Empire Rising in the first at Murwullimbah. Thankfully, UNITAB had number 6 (Silver Bonanza) as a special and it had a good record at the track...so I had a tentaive go at it. Empire Rising had Robbo in the saddle and plugged away ok. Interestingly, Empre Rising was $4 pre post, with the first seven runners all under double figure odds. What a trap race....... I am going to start keeping stats on favourites (tote pre-post and last price) in mid week races + 1660 metres. I am pretty sure that the faves win % will be pathetic, regardless of field size and location. Too many variables come into play IMO in these races......... |
Luv2.
Blew it big time on Next Party. Won it back on Miss Lyrebird. Geez that is a city runner and it kept weakening on the tote! I am on Energised in the third and a little nervous..... |
Few more
Murwillumbah Race 6 Bestlisi, (5,4,3) Race 7 Select Official, (1,4,8,10) Race 8 Danefull (1,4,6,13) Race 9 1,2,5,7,9 .. cant split em' |
Luv2.
After the last couple of races, may I suggest that you only back the nags with the better class jockeys aboard. The Unitab ratings on the last 2 were pretty compressed, which usually spells trouble. The next two races don't look any better. Can't believe I missed Reteps in the last one at Echuca. Last start winner here. Had an each way bet on Beach Cookie, who won second up last time. Oh well.... |
Easy after the fact...... Won 2 and ran second at only 3 starts at track........ blinkers on...... and wins.... with Radio Tab selections (3-4-6-8) filling the placings.... grrrrrr :mad:
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That was a killer! I back Aim so high...thought it had the best time ratings.
The joys of mid week punting! (At least I grabbed Glefti at 17 bucks fixed price on IAS)....whew. |
New Zealand System
Can't find where I originally posted the NZ system, but anyway, Today produced the following winner - Imonlythecaddy:
and yesterday produced Bold Contact @ $16.30 and 3.40 (although there were 3 qualifiers)..... amd also Sweet Caroline (14/1) @ 6.70 and $2.00..... showing a profit (12% POT) with Win SR 13.9% (av. price $8.94) and Plc SR 39% ($3.06)..... ;) |
New Zealand System Results
06 TRENTHAM STAKES
1400 Metres 11:50am WIN/PLACE 5 12.60 4.20 2.............1.60 6.............1.50 QUINELLA 35.10 EXACTA 59.20 TRIFECTA 429.40 ( 5) PENNY FLORENCE ( 2) HAGAR ( 6) ALA MOANA SCR - NIL |
New Zealand System Today
Not bad... 2/4 (50% S/R out 2 in 9.2 - 460% POT :D |
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