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Near pinched the race as well ... *phew* |
What The...... ???
didn'tGRANDILOQUENT run and win yesterday @ Wyong ??? !!! :eek:
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I missed it when I was putting my bets on... penny only dropped when the caller mentioned it... I wonder how many form guides are that up to date I did the ratings for today on Wednesday, so my form sure didnt show it winning yesterday :) |
X-cellent....!!!
5/6 at PortM
:D :D :D |
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Good Onya XPT, your having a big one at Port. Put this one in your "black book", my brother put me onto it, all you do is back horse 14 but must start from barrier 14 as per the lists. Check the result on race 3 at Twonsville. I think this is the 3rd long price winner with that system in the last 7 days. I had a very small bet on it 2 x 3 collect over $100 Good luck to all. |
Langfibian $12 at IAS fixed for those interested. Much shorter on TAB $4.
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Nice... $2.90 $1.90 :D |
Another good day :)
Strategic Prince was way overs imo...Matador was nice Swarthy continues to dissapoint ,, and thought LAngfibian ran well,.,,, Captian Wheland as i stated is something special...bit to short for me to back but when he comes to town he'll be winning.. 2 from 4 today to finish the week strong... seems theres a few winners around of late on the thread,,keep up the good work guys,, :) |
Looks a great day of racing tomorrow,,
Melbourne *Vengo, *Joi More, *Air Cooled, *Hugs Dancer, *Beautiful Gem hoping Ryan has good day tomorrow.. confident about Beautiful Gem and Air cooled.. Sydney *Innings, *Anabatik Adelaide *Waverfont, *Sparkling Now Gold Coast *Catfish, *Divine Etiole, *Chevron Island, *Wrong Doing, Kembla *The Hungry Mile, had a loss last Saturday ..so i've worked alittle harder this week,(no cricket) and have hopefully found some value.. Good Luck All :) |
Hey guys, it's been a while have been flat out with work. Looks as if you've all been backing plenty of winners, good to see.
Just remembered the forum last night after seeing my girl OPIO MISS finally starting to fulfil some of her potential and thought i'd get on and have a dip. Anyway today at Mornington there's a maiden a think can win, Rc 2 No 11 Inchcape has been racing quite well in harder races then this, is much fitter now for two runs in and looks perfectly suited by the barrier. I think she looks an outstanding e/w hope. Good luck today guys, hope we all can out with plenty. Sportz you'll be glad to know i've backed BLUE COLLAR JACK every start this prep, gee he's racing well, must be a small chance aswell today you'd think. Cheers ED |
Good to see ya back Ed, certainly could of done with some of your thoughts in melbourne through the carnival, had a shocker there....
Goin through a few more races will post shortly, keen on a few today. |
My thoughts around adelaide.
Race 1- Not a good race for a bet. If meriwether is right should bolt it in, but the odds are ridiculous. Chilli stoush is the one that could win but wouldnt be prepared to bet against the toppy with lecky on board and the claim. Race 2- Ill be looking for some value here and going for wyndam power. Can race very well fresh and hayes would have him ready. There looks to be no value around the top 2, so hopefully they come for these and we get nice e/w odds. Starhere is a master over this distance and will be hard to beat. Race 3- Ill be all over thorton here. A lot to like about his last run where he was doing the best work at the line, extra 100m here suits. Good trifecta race here, ill include wavefront, who was beaten that far last start when the rider lost his whip, arondan, who got in all sorts of trouble in the same race and elmessiah who mixes form but certainly is capable. Race 4- Going with charmed indeed and ubetibite here. Pretty open race with a lot of chance so should get some value. Charmed was finishing strongly over 1200 behind tivation so should thrive on the 1400 while ubetibite made a lot of ground in the same race. will work around these 2. Race 5- Will have a crack at reannag here. Has first up form, has been racing in better company, and if he is right will give this a good shake at e/w odds. Dangers would be umaquest and pranceloit. Race 6- prepared to risk the toppy here and going with leaders pride. Pretty keen here in what is a tough race. Forget its last run never in it, back to a more suitable distance today and should race well Race 7-confident of open cut continuing on its winning ways here. Barrier shouoldnt bother it too much and will be hard to beat . Include Rosden, rally and nikalapko for the multiples. Race 8- Will be sticking with major league here, was on him last start and no reason to be jumping off now. Last 2 runs have been very good should be hard to run down Good luck to all 2day... |
SAND Race 3
Top pick - 10 VENGO Dangers - 8 Blue Collar Jack, 3 Helium (10,8,3,6 - 7,12,1) SAND Race 4 Top pick - 2 CIANARA Dangers - 5 Strata Title, 1 Crevette (2,5,1,6 - 8,4,3) SAND Race 8 Top pick - 3 RAID THE ROYALS & 10 ZANKEL Dangers - 2 Beautiful Gem, 5 Botero (3,10,2,5 - 9,11,13) SAND Race 9 Top pick - 8 PIN UP* Dangers - 4 Vintner, 1 Irongail, 6 Talons Shown (8,4,1,6 - 11,14,10) ROSE Race 2 Top pick - 1 INNINGS Dangers - 2 Falaise, 4 Ollie Vollie (1,4,2,6 - 7,5) ROSE Race 3 Top pick - 1 LORD OF THE LAND* Dangers - 5 Flying Nikita, 2 Evasion (1,5,2,4 - 6) ROSE Race 4 Top pick - 1 PURPLE DANE Dangers - 2 The Hammer, 8 Count Of Eight (1,2,8,4 - 3,6) ROSE Race 5 Top pick - 7 CHATOYANT Dangers - 1 Star Mystic, 4 Champagnat, 2 Enjoin (7,1,4,2 - 3,5,9) ROSE Race 6 Top pick - 7 DRESS SUIT Dangers - 4 Our Apache, 9 Tactfully, 5 Bipolar (7,4,9,5 - 6,2,1) ROSE Race 7 Top pick - 8 RESISTOR Dangers - 3 Proprietor, 14 Viovode, 10 Mukareena ROSE Race 8 Top pick - 6 LEADING BID Dangers - 14 Sob Story, 13 Sky Right, 2 Ashkabar (6,14,13,2 - 1,8,3) DOOM Race 3 Top pick - 7 LA BELLA MER DOOM Race 4 Top pick - 9 RADAR O'REILLY Dangers - 2 Succeeding, 1 Nick 'n' John DOOM Race 5 Top pick - 2 PERSUADES & 3 LOVE AND MONEY Dangers - 1 Canadian Shuffle, 5 Frisco Agogo (2,3,1,5 - 4,6,8) ASCOT Race 4 Top pick - 5 ATTADALE & 8 AIR TRAVELLER ASCOT race 5 Top pick - 3 MISS ANDRETTI Dangers - 1 Arctic Park, 11 O'Flirty (3,1,11,6 - 7,10) ASCOT Race 7 Top pick - 17 MODANEY & 9 WILD TARGET Dangers - 8 Wire Detonator, 6 Changing Lanes (17,9,8,6 - 11,1,5) ASCOT Race 8 Top pick - 5 MASTER MINX & 14 KIM INVADER Danger - 7 Seneca K.GRANGE Race 2 Top pick - 2 LARK IN THE DARK Danger - 1 Ultra Sight K.GRANGE Race 6 Top pick - 6 TRACK WIZ Danger - 11 Pride Of Pins |
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What a shocker!!! Should have just backed good old Jack each way. |
Starhere is a master over this distance and will be hard to beat.
Sometimes is doesnt pay to look for value, had enough on starhere to cover my bet........ Kickin myself I didnt go all out on it. |
That extra work has paid off already Mav.... Top effort... Great win by catfish in double figure odds, no doubt you cleaned up... I did.
Cheers, hope it continues for ya. |
Meanwhile, I'm having a ********** day with my top picks. :o
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Left the dangers and multi selections off my post. Sorry about that. |
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Plenty of time to make amends sportz.... Cant keep a good man down for long!!!! |
I don't know about that. Look at Race 5 in Sydney. What the hell is going on??? :(
Meanwhile, Mav is killing them. The way he bets, he'll win a million today. |
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Out of all the races today, this was probably the one that I was keenest on. I was very confident of getting the trifecta and first 4. Anyway, it makes me wonder why I couldn't just cut out all the other losing bets that i'm not so confident about and simply back this one. Stupid really. I'm going to end up betting on about 15 races today when I probably should have cut it down much more than that. How many races do you guys bet on? |
Know the feeling Sportz, apart from The Jonker during the week i have been flittering it all away on stupid bets. Was on Leading Bid so i am ahead today - just. Should stop now. Like Attadale in the next at Ascot so i might have a go on that, see what happens.
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Geez it's been a difficult day in Melbourne .... till the last
But I will take 21.6 the place for my 2nd rater in the last :) I think I was close to backing a 100/1 winner there (no TVN so not sure) How the hell did they let that go off at 144/1 (NSW TAB) .. Having said that Zigotto wasnt all bad either |
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Gday Sportz Now you have confused me.. I always throw the horses that U bold into my betting.. they seem to go pretty well .. I was sure that u said the bolding ( and I think some even get an * ) implied good thing sort of rating (my words not yours) Am I wrong? Or have U changed the way you do things? |
XPT,
Sorry for the confusion. The ones in bold are the single horses (or in some races 2 horses) that are my best win or each way bets. What I was talking about was that this race as a whole was the one where I was most confident about getting the quinella, any2, trifecta, first4 etc. In other words, I was VERY confident that one of my top 4 selections would win the race and that I'd have the first 4 placings in my selections. In any case, I should have made things clearer which races I was most confident about. In future, I'll mark them very clearly. |
Just a real tough day out there today, you get that. Only other runner i had today that was worth a damn was the Hammer. Guess what? I missed the race!
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Gday Sportz
no probs.... I live in a slightly confused state LOL |
Same here. It's called Queensland.
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Shocking day here sportz. 13bets 2 wins 11 losses suffered from a complete loss of rationality and chassed a couple of losses. Must have left the brain in bed i think, the two wins only paid $1.85 and one was 100e/w on a country girl which paid $2 the place.
I guess u can only learn from these types of day. |
Bad luck mate. That doesn't sound good. There were some funny results today. It's not like that every week.
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Sure was it seemed a day for people that go with the names or there fav numbers. I had 4 2nds and 2 3rds so im not too dissapointed as im still consistantly there abouts in the placings. With a lil bit of luck it would have been a much more profitable day but thats racing. Now i just have too keep reminding myself to increase the amount i bet on the dogs as i have much more luck with them. Sometimes having streaks of up to 8 wins on the trot which has never ever happended with the horses. Why is it though i wont sneeze at putting up to 300 on a horse but poo myself having 50 on a dog???? Doesnt make sense but after the last few days i think things will change. I noticed you were also thereabouts with your selections and with a bit of luck it would have been a different story completely. Best of luck tomorrow everbody!!!!!! |
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Yep. Even today's 3rd was a good run. He puts in every time. |
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XPT, Here's an example of what I'm talking about. These were the races that I considered the best betting races today ("A" races): ROSE R2, R3, R6 & R8, SAND R4 & R9, ASCOT R5 & R7, And these were the races I classed as next best ("B" races): ROSE R4, R5 & R7, SAND R3 & R8, DOOM R5, ASCOT R4 & R8. Now, as it is, I concentrate most of my betting on the "A" races, but if I had simply ignored the other races completely, I would have finished comfortably in front today. It's much easier said than done though to cut your betting down to just 8 races on a Saturday. How on earth do you manage betting on so many races??? Anyway, as I write, I've just picked up a nice little result at Ascot, so after a poor start, things are looking okay. :) |
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I liked Wire Detonator at Perth... ah well... It was at E/W odds so no damage done As for cutting down.. you know my theory... Ya need to have a paddle in the water to do any good... I will come out in front today, but Melbourne was pretty damn hard... A couple of nice place getters helped out there along with a couple of winners... but we were heading out backwards prior to the last... that is what I mean by a paddle in the water.. I managed to jag 20/1 the place to save the day... My Thornbird in Perth helped later on as well... I know that it is conventional wisdom/thinking to have as few bets as possible, it's just I'm not conventional.... I missed your q about betting so many races... I am no snob... if the value is there I will have a dip ... the 100 ya might win on a maiden at Albury buys the same as the 100 you might win on a Cox Plate... |
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??? |
But you must be so damn busy of a Saturday afternoon with races going off so often and having to keep such a close eye on so many different sets of odds at different tracks.
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Good old Paul Harvey!!! Wednesday's poor result was obviously just a one off. :D
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Nah not really Betfair only bets on the Metros and a couple of others, plus NSW TAB.. surprisingly with the longer priced horses you are better off (on the whole) with the TABS.. ( it is easier to place a bet with the TAB (E/W) as well) I bet under 5$ (4/1) WIN only (10 Units).. and if they are E/W odds i bet 4 units win and 6 units place ( a unit is dependant on the size of the bank :) so that varies).. the place bet becomes the main bet I guess.. For me to back horses under 4/1 I have to be pretty sure about them, otherwise I leave em alone... So I am not as busy as you would imagine... |
Am I right that you don't take quinellas, trifectas, first 4s, etc. That probably makes it much easier to keep track of all the races and not go completely mad. :)
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