Well #11 came 1st @ 5.10, 2.10

SO thats alright. Puts me in front so far today at $1 E/W bets.
Still 2 to go though.

Wow "Quick Knock". Plc for 6.30 at QTab...

$6.10 a place on Stab. A nice little grab in the last at Pakenham.

Well done. CENTRALIZER. I was on it as well...

Hehe yeh two place getters in a row. Enjoyed that one. That puts me in front for today. Which is a shock since i only grabbed a $5 winner.

But it did well today with those two placegetters.

I am going for No 6 for Cessnock R9.

Mavs selection 'Indrani' saved my bacon today, thank you Mav.

Looked a tough day, Magique Mine is a useless SOB - LOL.

Hope you guys and gals jagged a couple.

Can I be 3rd time lucky?

Bah went to put something on it and race is closed, i got #12

Nope. Came close though.

Mixed bag...
 

Pakenham
R6 - 1 Aqua Velva* / 2 Jeunique - 3,4,6 3-1-2
R7 - 2 Maggie's Mate / 1 Coup D'eclat / 4 Tanjil Mist - 5,8,9 2*-10-9
R9 - 2 Hoplite / 4 Radial / 5 Dandy Scene - 3,7,11 2*-3-14
(R8 Quaddie #'s - 1,3,5,10) 10-9-4
Quaddie 3-2-2-10 $367.4

Cessnock
R4 1 Criticism / 3 Khargosh - 13,12,2,7 12-7-13
R5 6 Fuselage* / 1 Brookfield Boy - 11,2,3 6*-5-8
R6 3 Racy Affair* / 2 Prince Nimrod -1,6,8 2-5-1
R9 7 High in the Sky / 1 Golders Road - 3,8,4,2 3-17-1

Murwillumbah
R5 1 Maique Mine* / 3 Cor Caroli - 2,4,7,10 7-4-5

Mixed bag........

Hi Mad ..glad u jumped aboard :)

Nice winner..trifecta was good to 1and 1/2 times....Stupid thing is i never had a 1st4 on...would of easily got it..with the outside and inside barriers getting placings..paid $6700 up here..
just forgot about it....had heaps on today..
left Cathy's Gold alone at that ridiculous price....thought timesto was good value ..

So far with my new approach 4 days with only 1 losing day which was yesterday....no beans for me tonight :)

Nothing for me tomorrow...
I have Halt ...Grafton sprint..in the stable..just dont like the barrier and i'm not sure about Sircolo with the distance drop..Excellent Anne has some class but first up and with the weight ??
hard race..
might have a lazy $20 on Halt and a play with the trifecta..

Good luck :)

Dont have them above the text box Sportz...(ahhh, which is the text box lol!!!)

Stix Tips Tuesdee 11-10
 

Hamilton
R1 - 7 Bluescope / 3 Hug's Lane - 3,4,2,6

BEFORE they jump.... :)

Stix Tips Tuesdee 11-10 Part Dux
 

Hamilton
R6 - 1 Scenic Garden* / 5 Hearbreak Hotel / 10 Spinning Red / - 6,8,11
R7 - 8 Zendin' An Angel / 1 I'm Bluey / 2 Wit and Wisdom* - 6,5,3,4
R8 - 4 Grainger / 2 Vanity Quay / 3 Rip and Roar* - 6,5,1

Grafton
R1 - 1 Strategic Star* / 3 King Kp - 2,6,5
R7 - 1 Excellent Ann / 2 Sircolo* - 3,4,7,8
R8 - 4 Axial / 2 Kaoru Square / 7 Merlean's Magic* - 5,1,3

Good Luck !

7-3-8
7 - $3.8 $1.4
3 - $1.2
QN $3.7
EX $6.8

..... in front so far.... :)

6-4-2
...... No Cigar..... (had the outsider in the multi, but not the 4 ! :( )

Only one race today

Grafton Race 6) #16,19

8-6-9 :(

Hamilton
R7 - 2

3-1-2 Tri ! :)

Hey Stix, i like your multi selections, but how do you go about boxing your trifecta's.

Grafton R7-4

2-3-6-1
2* - $3.6 $1.5
3 - $1.6
QN $8.6
EX $14.7
TR $440.4 (I took Field last leg) got 1/2
F4 $1225.6 (I took Field/Filed last 2 legs) got 1/4

:)

Yeah, I wouldn't have claimed a trifecta win there. The 3 was rated 6th. So unless you had the 1 or 2 as roving bankers or something, it's a bit hard to work out how you could get that tri. If you boxed them, it would be too expensive to even make a profit on the race. :o

For $40 you can do: 1,2/1,2,3,4,5,6/1,2,3,4,5,6 that would be my guess its only $40.

Sometimes:

1,2,3/1,2,3,4,5,6,7/1,2,3,4,5,6,7 that is $90

on the basis of 50c bets, its relatively cheap for those who back more than $10 a race (not me).

Hmm might just have a look and see. But i would realy only be looking at backing those selections which are written out for win in the trifecta.

Ow well, nice to see you are winning Stix.

Ok here we go, on the basis of selecting those names written out in full as the winners only:

Hamilton R6) Trifecta cost $ 60 LOST
R7) Cost $90 LOST
R8) Cost $60 WON $110.90

Grafton: R1) Cost $24 LOST
R7) Cost $40 LOST
R8) pending.. ill edit this later

Outlay: $274
Return: $110.90

Now lets have a look at exacta's. Just once again using those selections written out for the win/second, and the rest of the selections for second.

Hamilton R6) Cost $15 LOST
R7) Cost $18 LOST
R8) Cost $15 WON $32

Grafton R1) Cost $8 LOST
R7) Cost $10 WON $24.80
R8) Pending.... ill edit this later


Outlay: $64
Return: $56.80

That's what I meant. In the race in question, Stix had the winner rated 6th, not one of the winning tips for the race.

My explaination....
 

Sportz/Oak

I appreciate what you are getting at fellas

Yes I did have it rated 6th..... BUT..... My bets ended up being:

16:35 BET MR07TT (FLX) 1, 2, 8 / 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8 / 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8 $20.00-
FOR 20.00 = 22.22% (DIV)
16:35 BET MR07TT (FLX) 3, 4, / 1, 2, 8 / 1, 2, 8 $20.00-
FOR 20.00 = 166.66% (DIV)

Bet 1 (20.00)
Bet 2 158.97 (1.66 * $95.6)
Profit 138.97

Granted a little unorthodox..... BUT..... every now and then that lower rated runner brings u undone.... but I was happy it worked out !..... it's my little bit of insurance.... Hope this makes sense :)

By the way Stix, not having a go at you or anything. :o

Of course not. I noticed that a lot of his selections seem to make in the multi's, and was seeing whether there is a profit involved here. Ill see how many tips i can back track for you Stix, dependant upon the time i have available.

Ahh ok i get ya now Stix with the insurance tip. Nice back-up system.

I only claimed the tri Oak/Sportz........ I did have something on my * bet aswell 1x3, so lost money on that...

I thought the Dr P was back on the forum there for a minute... (LOL) .... I remember him having a go @ X !

Hope I'm in the clear now ! :(

Nah dont take it like im having a go at all, im just curious. Sorry if i caused any problems.

The final mess.......
 

R8 - 4 Grainger / 2 Vanity Quay / 3 Rip and Roar* - 6,5,1
2-1-3
2 - $3.4 $1.2
3* - $1.90
QN - $24.1
EX - $21.4
TR - $108.1

R8 - 4 Axial / 2 Kaoru Square / 7 Merlean's Magic* - 5,1,3
2-1-3
2 - $4.4 2.2
7* - .......No Cigar
QN - $7.3 :(
EX - $16.9 :(
TR - $62.7 :(

.......loss..... but a collect

Good day of racing tomorrow..have a few racing but i'm trying to narrow it down..
*Marnier ..Doomben r5,, This horse has been hanging out for this distance..has no weight and races against alot of these that are unproven at the distance or out of form..Plumb's in good form...should get some odds here as he his stepping up in grade..

as for my second pick i'm going to wait and see what sort of odds i can get..and also the weather..
I'm leaning towards Captious who raced well last start,,races better 2nd up and up to a distance that suits..also i dont mind Rotoga in Adelaide..it is a maiden but that hasnt scared me away in the past..great run last start and will of improved a stack from it..

Melbourne
*Graphical, *Forest Spy, *Cayambe, *Astrodame, *Captious..
Sydney
*Don Ciccio, *Styn Daggers
Adelaide
*Rotoga

Fun times...good luck all :)

Yes there is a good day's betting tommorow thats for sure.

Race 1) Bingham has beaten the $1.2 million yearling sale horse Watsons Bay in a recent trial on the 26/9 on slow ground.

Even though i probably wont touch the race #1 seems the way to go, but would not be surprised at all if one gets up at odds, they usually do on these kind of days.

In the second race) #2 Line Account goes well at Caufield and has beaten Apache Cat two starts back and with an 80% strike rate looks to be one for the multi's for sure along with the added advantage of being trained on the track.

#3 Fallnoir has won both starts this preperation with a maiden and a C1 wins by a few lengths each time. Should be one of the leaders, but whether can withstand the pace is one thing.

#4 Clems Hope has been running good sectional times and should be thereabouts.


#5 Joie More has been racing all over the place in her two starts, but has come away for two wins, obviously we are yet to see the best out of this horse.

#6 Lancet umm not to sure about this horse really couldn't do anything when they hit the hard line in last start, and was then spelled after that race.

Im just thinking as im typing, so dont be alarmed at the waffle.

Anyways, Race 2) Im going to go with #8, #2, #7 whcih should provide some value. These horses are still getting into the racing business and some can only improve on their past runs.

Caulfield:

Race 4) #10,11
Race 5) #17,19
Race 6) #5,7
Race 7) #18,19
Race 8) #12,13

CAULFIELD

Race 1 - Well, as per normal with Melbourne 2yo races, we know ************ all about most of the runners, but if you really want to bet, I think you could do worse than 2 MENTALITY. I was very keen on him prior to his first start. He was a bit disappointing, but willing to give him another chance. Obviously 1 BINGHAM is a chance as well, and as for the unraced, who knows? Possibly 5, 8, 10, 12 or 15 ???

Race 3 - Possibly a little each way on 4 FABIARNA & 9 MAJORCA here.

Race 4 - Well, I've been waiting for 10 CORRECT AMOONDO and here he is. But unfortunately for him, 5 GRAPHICAL is also in the race and it's very hard to see him being beaten. He's absolutely flying. If you don't like taking the short odds on Graphical, perhaps back Correct Amoondo each way and play around with the multis.
(5,10 - 8,4,6,1,11)

Race 5 - Not confident. Looking for a bit of value in a VERY tough race, perhaps 19 CALLER ONE & 1 PRESENTLY. Also good chances to 9, 14 & 16 though.

Race 6 - 3 of my blackbook runners in the one race, but 11 REWAAYA has to be the top pick. Despite the unusual leadup, she just looks to be something special, and I really think she should be winning. I'm also keen on 7 BEAUTY WATCH though, and she's 2nd pick. Perhaps 1600m may be a touch short right now, but I expect her to be storming home. Another one of my blackbookers is 9 EMPRESS LILY and perhaps she could be a nice longshot. Again, may be a touch short, but expect to see her running on.
(11,7,1,3 - 8,4,13)

Race 7 - Well, one time Caulfield Cup hope 12 MATRAS goes around here. Purely on ability, she looks the winner, but there must be some doubt about her after playing up in the barriers and being a late scratching a couple of weeks ago. Away from Matras, I think 4 UMBER, 8 BALLYBLEUE & 5 ASTRODAME all have winning chances.
(12,4,8,5 - 6,16)

Race 8 - I like the chances of 8 CAPTIOUS here. Good effort last start, okay 2nd up and at 1600 and Beadman jumps on. Main dangers are 6 HELIUM, 4 ULYSSES & 10 YOUTH'S EDGE.
(8,6,4,10 - 13,5,1)

WARWICK FARM

Race 4 - I like 5 CINNAMIC here. Nice effort last start and this race appears to suit. 7 ENDEARMENT ran quite well at his first start and he's certainly the danger.
(5,7,4,2 - 6,1)

Race 7 - 3 main chances here. I'm quite keen on 4 FLYING NIKITA which has been racing well, but 5 STYX 'N' DAGGERS & 3 CLONTAAGO are definite dangers.
(4,5,3,1 - 2,10,11)

Didn't end up betting, and I don't think I will bet on any Melbourne 2yo race for a few months. Just too difficult to work them out. Amazing to see a Hawkes 2yo win at such big odds.