had to work hard ...i liked the run of pluto pup who stuck on well.
waste of $5 wasn't it..

But unlike Damaze, this was a maiden up against maidens, and it's last run was very good. I ended up backing it because I really did think it was just too good for them. A bit of a struggle but it got there.

The less said about these two races the better!!! :o

Blow out..... and I don't think we are on our Pat Malone.... !!

wrong order !!
 

Don't worry Sportz..... I actually had both of them..... FOR THIRD !!!!!! lol......

A few from the stable running tomorrow

Canterbury
*Port Peru, *Paper Blonde, *StyxnDaggers
peru with the blinkers should get the lead and be to speedy,
thought i'd take on the Biscuit and Chut first up..Paper Blonde is in form and a fit..ands should get the gun run just off Ambiose..would want e/w odds
Styx is a an improving stayer..this race doesnt look to tough for him and he's been solid around some good horses
NZ
*Text Message, *Godzilla, *Mybigfatgreekhorse
I'm still playing around with my ratings for Nz but i'm doing ok ...havent got jockeys yet but i'm fairly confident with these..
Balaklava
*Rotoga,
Liked his trial and his last run..good jock , ordinary field.
Eagle Farm
*Racer's rocket/*Taxable Income, *Big Mick ,
Couldnt split the the 2 in the 3rd..both improving stayers..like the jockey change of Jolly for Taxable Income,,Racers Rocket was unlucky last start and should get the gun run..will look at backing both and working the mulits around them..
Big Mick is in a tuff race in the last..heaps of chances with Tea Biacuit , Laras Way ect ..hard to rate the race with alot of runners jumping up or down and mixing form...Big micks last run was huge and the track should suit..should be nice e/w odds.
also like Pure dancer in the 1st..just havent a jockey yet..dont really rate Gay so i'm hoping a better jock jumps on..

Good Luck :)

Mooney Valley:
Race 5: 4 Graphical (4,2,1,8)
Race 6: 3 Gothic Lord (3,1,2,7)

Canterbury:
Race 4: 1 Aemilee(1,5,2,10)
Race 6: 2 Bentley Biscuit (2,1,7,8)
Race 7: 6 Infusion (6,1,5,7)

Eagle Farm:
Race 3: 1 Big Bedourie (1,12,5,8)
Race 6: 6 Obliviator (6,5,3,2)
Race 7: 3 Viscay Star (3,5,1,8)
Race 8: 1 Kings Cartier (1,4,7,3)

Balaklava:
Race 6: 3 Huzzah (3,1,5,6)

Good Luck..go the biscuit!

Moonee Valley
 

R1 – 1 Matras* / 2 Regal Summer / 4 Redeploy – 11,9,6
R2 – 3 Saddlers Brigg* / 1 Marjour – 5, 4
R3 – 3 Surrounder / 6 Going Dutch – 2,1,5
R4 – 2 Shan Dian* / 1 Jester Smoothie – 6,5
R5 – 2 Middlemarch* / 4 Graphical / 6 Madezvous – 3,1
R6 – 7 Murcielago / 1 Cargo Cult - 2,11,3,6
R7 – 2 Arunee / 3 Pompous / 9 Steptoe - 4,10,6,5
R8 – 1 Clearly Unique / 4 Aliandra / 8 Fabiarna – 7,5,9

Best Bets
R1 – 1 Matras*
R2 – 3 Saddlers Brigg *
R4 – 2 Shan Dian *
R6 – 7 Murcielago

Best Eachway
R3 – 3 Surrounder
R5 – 2 Middlemarch *
R7 – 2 Arunee

Best Roughie
R8 – 1 Clearly Unique

(* = confidence ..... others just for fun.....)

Good Luck..... Giddy Up

Stix

Elsewhere
 

Canterbury
R2-3 Reverenza
R7-4 Katz Kid

Eagle Farm
R2-1 Minoa
R4-4 Snow Destiny
R8-4 It's All A Game

Good Luck.... Giddy Up...

Stix

E.FM R3 - 8 TAXABLE INCOME, 5 Hot Air, 3 Fine Weather (8,5,3,7,12)
E.FM R4 - 2 MISS MATAYA, 5 Secret Donna (2,5,1,4 - 9,8)
E.FM R7 - 3 VISCAY STAR & 5 DIURNAL (3,5,1 - 6,9,2)

CANT R2 - 1 PORT PERU, 3 Reverenza, 6 Sugarbomb (1,3,6,2,4)
CANT R3 - 3 COMMANDING VICTORY (EW), 2 Sumac, 8 The Jackal (3,2,8 - 1,5,4,7)
CANT R4 - 2 LADY FRISCO, 1 Aimilee, 5 Tercesa (2,1,5,10,4)
CANT R7 - 5 STOP THE TRAFFIC*, 1 Al's Flyer, 7 Styx 'N' Daggers (5,1,7 - 2,4,6,12)

MVAL R6 - 7 MURCIELAGO, 1 Cargo Cult, 2 Polish Clown (7,1,2,4,11)
MVAL R7 - 2 ARUNEE & 10 BIG POPPA PUMP (2,10,8,6 - 9,4)
MVAL R8 - 8 FABIARNA*, 1 Clearly Unique, 9 Funny Design (8,1,9,7 - 4,2,3)

NORT R6 - 11 REAL SPECIAL, 7 Superscenic, 8 Top Drive
NORT R7 - 9 WHAT A BLONDE (Longshot), 3 Run Benny Run, 8 Regal Bay
NORT R8 - 1 ATTADALE & 5 LARAJABER

Hmmm, I had a brain explosion and went against my own system here which picked Sugarbomb. :rolleyes:

Well, no worries. It was a handy trifecta.

looks like Port Peru will be one of those trial horses....always looks a superstar till when it counts..
To short for me anyway.
having no luck today..mybigfatgreekhorse and Racers Rocket both have noses that are to short..
would of been nice...
Godzilla and text message went shockingly..
hope i dont have to wait for the last race like yetserday to get a winner..

Mav,

They just said that Port Peru bled.

Don't know why I went off Spyzaim today!!! :( :(

thats a shame..the break will do her good though..

If in future you ever see that I've tipped in a race shorter than 1200m, please just totally ignore it!!!

One of these days, I'll learn. :rolleyes:

nice to see the young rider Matty Palmer get his first city winner...even nicer to see it on a horse thats been good to Me and Luv2bet ..
look at the tri...???? and all i had on it was $10 e/w and noooo tri :(

Damn Sportz...looked at your LFrisco but went with Gais Tercesa...not sure why lol!:(....good work anyway mate!

Nice
 

Nice work Sportz..... Lady Frisco did it for you !! :)

Yeah, nice win and trifecta. :)

EEKK!!! Spun Glass was removed from my BB of horses after failing to fire last run (with PJ on board) must have been the firm ground and 100m shorter...thems the breaks lol:)

Can only get better from here!

Yeah, I backed it last start too. (just like Spyzaim)

Thankfully, I didn't bet on something else in Spunglass's race though, or I would have been really upset!

The price on Graphical actually wasn't too bad in the end!!! :) I didn't include it in the tips as I thought it would be $1.30 or something, but it was simply not going to lose.

Where Did Cut A Caper come from ?......... Grrrrrr....

Looks a bit tough now as the track is favouring horses up in the lead. Think Steptoe and Tom Coureuse both have a chance in this now.

Sorry I didn't post that a bit earlier. :o

1ST Selection results:
 

Mooney Valley:
Race 5: 4 Graphical - 1st $1.60 & $1.00
Race 6: 3 Gothic Lord - 3rd $5.00

Canterbury:
Race 4: 1 Aemilee - 3rd $1.20
Race 6: 2 Bentley Biscuit - 1st $1.50 & $1.10
Race 7: 6 Infusion - X

Eagle Farm:
Race 3: 1 Big Bedourie - 3rd $4.20
Race 6: 6 Obliviator - 2nd $1.30
Race 7: 3 Viscay Star - 1st $4.40 & $1.70
Race 8: 1 Kings Cartier - 3rd $1.10

Balaklava:
Race 6: 3 Huzzah - X

A few good tris in there as well so a good day all up!

Stop The Traffic was ridiculous odds. I was hoping for at least $2.50. Al's Flyer was good though and a nice trifecta as well.

Same sort of problem with Fabiarna. Looks like it'll probably be stupid odds as well. :o

Have absolutely no idea why I didn't include Chilli Cool in those tips for you.

Again, Fabiarna was a shorter price than I was looking for.

The story.........
 

R1 – 1 Matras* / 2 Regal Summer / 4 Redeploy – 11,9,6
10-2-12
2-$1.90

R2 – 3 Saddlers Brigg* / 1 Marjour – 5, 4
1-3-7
1-$2.3 $1.6
3-$1.70
QN $3.7 EX $5.8

R3 – 3 Surrounder / 6 Going Dutch – 2,1,5
2-6-4
QN $10.90
EX $40.20

R4 – 2 Shan Dian* / 1 Jester Smoothie – 6,5
2-1-4
2-$2.4 $1.8
1-$1.2
QN $2.3 EX $4.1

R5 – 2 Middlemarch* / 4 Graphical / 6 Madezvous – 3,1
4-1-6
4-$1.6 $1.0
6-$4.00
QN $3.9 EX 5.1 TR $29.30

R6 – 7 Murcielago / 1 Cargo Cult - 2,11,3,6
2-1-3
1-$1.40
TR $198.90

R7 – 2 Arunee / 3 Pompous / 9 Steptoe - 4,10,6,5
9-4-10
9-$4.5 $1.8
QN $19.10 EX $41.40 TR $161

R8 – 1 Clearly Unique / 4 Aliandra / 8 Fabiarna – 7,5,9
5-7-8
8-$1.40
QN $31.5 EX $51.1 TRI $139.1


Best Bets
R1 – 1 Matras* SCR
R2 – 3 Saddlers Brigg * 2ND $1.70
R4 – 2 Shan Dian * WON $2.40 $1.80
R6 – 7 Murcielago .............No Cigar

Best Eachway
R3 – 3 Surrounder ........ No Cigar
R5 – 2 Middlemarch * ........ No Cigar
R7 – 2 Arunee ........ No Cigar

Best Roughie
R8 – 1 Clearly Unique ........ No Cigar

Hope you did OK !

The next Story......
 

Canterbury
R2-3 Reverenza ..... No Cigar :(
R7-4 Katz Kid ..... No Cigar :(

Eagle Farm
R2-1 Minoa WON $2.3 $1.6
R4-4 Snow Destiny ..... No Cigar :(
R8-4 It's All A Game..... No Cigar:(

Hmmm, tough day. Never mind Stix.

What a crap day :( .. made more with my past the time play bets than i did with me system bets, ...
alot of close calls at good odds ...frustrating day..

Seamer has seemed to of lost form..maybe has lost alittle strength because of the break he had..but he doesnt seem to have that urgency or confidence..one of my favourite riders and i'm sure he'll come back..
good to see Palmer with a double ..we'll be seeing alot of the young fellow in town..Triechel who's another coast rider that wont be far behind him...

Hope you guys had a win or few ...
Good to see Sporty is still as consistent as ever..

Isnt Saturday looking like a huge day...i'll be there in the thick of it in Sydney ..hopefully i wont be so drunk that i'll remember it ....
Going to be a huge GF aswell,,, i'll need the week off to get over the hangover and we always end up at some dingy hole (excuse the pun) at the Cross at 3 in the morning ..where they charge $10 for the one beer they have that comes from some ?? actually i dont know where it comes from...tastes like poluted creek water,,,
always a great time.. :)

bad luck stix.
we'll get them back.. cant keep a good man down and all that..
good thing about racing is theres always tomorrow :)

Gday Sportz...

Stop the Traffic was miles ahead of the rest of the field on ratings... miles.. so I think $1.9 was about a fair price.. not ridiculous... What do you base that on? (the ridiculous price comment) I have often said on this forum, odds on horses, even those that deserve to be odds on DO get beaten at times.. this was one of those times

I agree (sort of) about Fabiarna.. but it would only have been about half a point under a fair price.. Again it was clearly the best rated horse in the field, altho not as clear as STT, and deserved favourtism.... tho $2.4 was a bit short, IMHO a fair price was about $3

XPT,

This is what I was referring to.

I'm certain that one of the main reasons behind the short price was that every man and his dog seemed to tip those horses today. Actually, that really should have been a good enough reason to leave them alone, as those over-tipped horses so often lose.

That's what I meant by a ridiculous price. I'm certain Stop The Traffic would have been at least $2.50 if it hadn't been so heavily tipped today. And likewise Fabiarna would have been $3.

By the way, all things are relative. I personally thought Graphical would have and should have been around $1.30, so despite being shorter than either of those other two horses I mentioned, I thought it was actually a pretty generous price!

Gday Sportz,

thats the nature of the para mutuel markets... I am not sure about the tipping being the main cause , but I wont argue that..., I will say however that my priceline was 1.9$ STT... thats why I questioned your reasoning, because u are usually close enough to the mark... the weight of money from punters had STT at tomato sauce odds, and you are right, that is the signal to move on... As you know I dont take odds on.. even if they deserve to be odds on... they don't win often enough long term to make a profit.. I am sure someone wll either shoot that down or suppport it..

The last in mel, Fabiarna was a lil bit short but not by a whole lot, again it was no bet because of the short price

I think that these 2 favs going under make the case for setting a floor price for what punters will accept as fair risk... I think a min of $4 is a good starting point maybe even 5 or 6... What do others think? backing those shorties, when they fall over is a short cut to the poorhouse.. and they fall over often enough
Just my opinion

gday Sportz,

you rated Graphical a lot stronger than I did... I still had it on top from Benevole.. but not at 3's on... not with my money Again IMHO that horse was pretty short and didn not deserve to be that short... so I lost on that race... But Hell, thats racing we all have differing views and thats what keeps me interested

Race 5
4 86 Graphical
1 69 Benevole
2 69 Middlemarch
8 48 Indicates
6 44 Mandezvous

I agree with alot you've said X .. I'll take a horse at 2.40 but it would need to rate a good deal higher than the next horse in the race..
Scenic Assault and Daka's Gem both Wa horses that usually start at very low odds have been good to me....I trust the shorter priced favourite over there and Sa as the pool of horses are smaller and the form is alittle more true..easy to rate the race aswell..
I think the key word is value....and as Sportz said Graphical at 1.60 was probably just that..
Personally i love the short priced horses running around..it helps with the odds on my selection..i dont have any fears taking on Shorties that i dont think deserve to be...

Have a couple running around tomorrow.
Gosford
*Walarah Boy (good track)
Ipswich
*Moonbi Nymph, *Aretino
NZ
*Jezadane

Confident about Moonbi ..will be my first full stake selection for a week and a half....should of won last start but got smashed..has been scratched from SC to target this race ...was close up to Natural Blitz in a barrier trial not to long ago..Katsidis knows the track well...others are ordinary..

Good Luck All :)

Keep an sneaky eye out today for

NR5 Bella Senora