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well wonder no more : Good Tracks: Loss of 2.2% and 14.98% Strike Rate (16515 selections) Wet Tracks : Profit of 5.8% and 14.81% Strike Rate (7379 selections) Used Aus tracks only as Wet is very different in different countries. So there you go top weights in the wet actually produce a profit because like you most people percieve the wet track hurts them but in reality its only a 0.2% difference of 1 - 2 horses per 1000 top weights which lose compared to the dry tracks. But hey keep it a secret ... don't want others knowing these important stats. Betfair SP prices used for analysis. |
Temps Voleur looks like a qualifier
R3 Morphettville today |
Jetoomy looks like a qualifier
R8 Belmont today Same meeting,,Atlanta Blue,,equal topweight |
Royal Symphony looks like a qualifier
R2 Flemington today |
I Am a Star looks like a qualifier
R6 Flemington today |
Almandin looks like a qualifier
R8 Flemington today |
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Winner,,Jetoomy (Perth) also won And some others,,but weren't handicaps |
Winner,,Cashed (Adelaide)
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Bay Road,,winner Morphettville Sat,,looks like he qualified
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Showing a profit with a similar system but I don't bet those drawn middle to outside barriers on tracks better than dead |
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