Stinking moral was a joke, but i'm pretty confident these horses will run well,

Adelaide Rc 1 - Dzerzhinsky, this exvictorian is a quality galloper who has put together 4 very good efforts in his 4 start career, his first start he was trapped 3 wide searching for the lead the whole way over 1400 for a very close up 3rd behind the smart Kelmania, gee it was a good debut. Jumped at a short quote at his second start when dropping back to 1100, and ran a gallant although little dissapointing 2nd. Since heading up to Adelaide, he's really going well, his first start was a very strong maiden win at Cheltenham, when did plenty of work but was far superior to rivals. His starting price that day was $1.70, though it paid $3.30 on supertab, this was due to a treble before hand that day of Ex Smerdon gallopers entering Jolly's stable, and Dzerz made it a quartet. His last run was probably his best, in a very good field he finished 2.4 lengths behind Aerated who has since won stylishly again. He overraced badly however this day and looked gone 300 out, but really knuckled down nicely and finished the race off well, in the fashion of an above average galloper. He has a year and/or a ********** over most of his rivals here and looks well in after Leckey's all important 2kg claim. @ first starters who have trialled well are Perigule and Tirdlettar, i don't like trial form all that much but to be safe will be having Dzerzhinsky to run second to these 2 gallopers in exactas, the bunch to have raced don't appear good enough.

In race 6 i can't go past Civil, mav has mentioned my only 2 worries in the consistent Maui Boy and Pushing Daisies who was a little unlucky last start and should be suited by extra distance. I will be taking Civil to run second to them 2 as savers as well. I don't think i'll need them however, Civil, looks classes above this field, he has always promised so much and i really think tommorow he'll deliver. Just a little trip down memory lane, about this time last year Civil ran a very unlucky neck 2nd at Mooney Valley to the average sprinter Dandy Kid, that form kills this race and i think he's going better now.

Dzerzhinsky wants it good, Civil wants it slow, but both can adapt well, dead would be perfect.

Anyway i'll be having a red hot crack at these two, so may well need all of your sound advice, if and when they happen to lose.

What a difference a good ride can make, the first race Leckey rode Dzerz wonderfully settling back in the small field, and he won well. Civil on the other he had up sitting three wide in the breeze the whole way, went for home far too early and got pipped near the line. The result cost me many a many slabs, still a fantastic result getting $4.80 for Dzerz, but i have an empty feeling of what should have been. I had Civil at Top flux, he was backed from $3.80 into $2.40 and clearly should have won. Next start he'll be odds on, so we've essentially missed the boat. $500 on the all up and $500 on Dzerz, was going to have another $500 if Dzerz lost but it didn't so i had Civil going to win a little more then $9,000. That's a lot of coin for a barman/uni student.

G'day Ed,
One out of two isn't bad by any means-thank you.
Will give Pushing Daisies two more before wondering.
cheers

Well done Mr ed with Dzir ..i agree completely about Civil ,,saved his worst ride for that one....i had a blowout down there ..shocker :(

Have a few running tomorrow,..i'll list them in case i dont have time to get on..
Maewest , mahwangsa, Polish Prince in Kalgoolie
Mr Kiseki, Regal Secret in Sunny Coast
Never Sad in Musselbrook..

havent studied the races yet ..but have a look at them .. if i have time i'll get back to you with alitle more detail..
last Sunday i just had Win bets an tris with the field on all of them..was real lazy and lost ...will be alittle more careful this time.

forgot to mention the "Merlot Now fan club Tips" result ..
well the result was bad ..very bad..the boys are very dissapointed..
told them you cant win every week ,,,we've won so much and been so lucky that they should'nt worry about one losing day..theres always next week,,
...with Nessuno's race this was my pick but i wanted to back both Words and Nessuno but they outvoted me on it ..and i had to chose between them..
they all knew i was on Words aswell and when he won at those odds i could tell they were alittle chuffed....not my fault ,,
we'll bounce back ,,,
the local cricket club are getting shirts this year from us ..they'll have "Merlot Now Fan Club" on their sleeves...
just like the under 14's footy club had this year on their footy club jackets..always gives you the warm an fuzzies when you do something nice like that,,

Merlot Now has a bit to live up to this Spring...poor thing :)

Rc6 Oakpark Shannon drops back from 1200 to 1000 meters tommorow but with plenty of speed in the race she should take a sit and prove very hard to hold out down the Ballarat hill. Her last three runs have been full of merit, and in fairness against better horses then she faces tommorow. She was ridden upside down last start when attempting to lead all the way, she was gassed by pressure but stuck on really well for a close up third. Drawn (6) tommorow with D Moor on she should take a sit as she has a powerful sprint, i think she'll put up a great show at around the e/w mark.

well done Mav and Ed, another winning day by the looks of it. First saturday in probablt 10 years I havent had a bet. Mate rang me with ************ all notice had spare ticket Lunch, corperate box at the crows. Worst game of footy Ive ever seen, wouldve had a decent go on media....oh well..
So close with that all up Ed, you wouldve been pretty confidentcoming into civils race, unlucky mate, todays a new day.

Sunshine Coast picks based on jockeys the idea works good on slow and heavy tracks.This is the first time I have tried it on good.

R 1 Boxing Day, Overtothee

R 2 King Cartier

R 3 Cawdor Bullet

R 4 Aladdins Lion, Cotopaxi

R 5 Aleysa kan

R 6 Memphis Tennessee

R 7 Beale Street, Planagram, Row Boat

R 8 Spirit Of Thong, Heir To The Crown, Zeang

Have a couple of interest running today.
Muswellbrook.
Race 4 no 1 Eagle hill. Had a very easy win two starts back, then wasnt disgraced in the city last start a close up 4th behind force zulu. Will definately find it easier here against a much weaker opposition. Last start it beat seaforth home and that won yesterday as Mav would know!! Although it hasnt been spelled it has had a freshen up and its first up form is terrific. Its last start was almost 2 months ago. If 3s are about im on.

Sunshine coast.
Race 7 no 2 CLANGER. Made up a lot of ground last start in dying stages behind cut a caper. Prince of ashes looks to be the danger to me after a nice run behind lord nedym. Barrier shouldnt be a problem as he should take a sit somewhere in the running anyway. He drops a couple of kilos from his last run as well as another couple from the claim of hull and id expect him to be flying home.
Good luck to all on the punt today!

I forgot one of interest.
BALLARAT 7 GORGEOUS DANCER. I am interested to see how the form in adelaide stacks up against this lot. Its last couple of runs have been super and can go on with it here. This horse cost me a many slabs as THEY say when he beat yarterbery home two starts back. Only beaten by a great run from Fall of rome last start. With dunn on board and the 2kg claim I think it can match this lot. Time will tell.