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Got some mail from a usual good source today.
Dustwind e/w at Murwillimba . .. also thought CIndy Kate would run much better today at Rocky .. both worth a look .. Good luck Luv2 with your ratings...between you Stix, Sportz, X and old Will how could anyone lose .. (Thought Finlayson looked well placed) some bright spark will be doing a 3 2 1 of all you guys and backing the high raters .. |
Hello Mav.
Lesson number 1 when we are mid-week betting. 1.For all races plus 1600 metres, look closely at the pre post odds. Then keep reminding yourself that you should never bet on a 'good thing' like Empire Rising in the first at Murwullimbah. Thankfully, UNITAB had number 6 (Silver Bonanza) as a special and it had a good record at the track...so I had a tentaive go at it. Empire Rising had Robbo in the saddle and plugged away ok. Interestingly, Empre Rising was $4 pre post, with the first seven runners all under double figure odds. What a trap race....... I am going to start keeping stats on favourites (tote pre-post and last price) in mid week races + 1660 metres. I am pretty sure that the faves win % will be pathetic, regardless of field size and location. Too many variables come into play IMO in these races......... |
Luv2.
Blew it big time on Next Party. Won it back on Miss Lyrebird. Geez that is a city runner and it kept weakening on the tote! I am on Energised in the third and a little nervous..... |
Few more
Murwillumbah Race 6 Bestlisi, (5,4,3) Race 7 Select Official, (1,4,8,10) Race 8 Danefull (1,4,6,13) Race 9 1,2,5,7,9 .. cant split em' |
Luv2.
After the last couple of races, may I suggest that you only back the nags with the better class jockeys aboard. The Unitab ratings on the last 2 were pretty compressed, which usually spells trouble. The next two races don't look any better. Can't believe I missed Reteps in the last one at Echuca. Last start winner here. Had an each way bet on Beach Cookie, who won second up last time. Oh well.... |
Easy after the fact...... Won 2 and ran second at only 3 starts at track........ blinkers on...... and wins.... with Radio Tab selections (3-4-6-8) filling the placings.... grrrrrr :mad:
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That was a killer! I back Aim so high...thought it had the best time ratings.
The joys of mid week punting! (At least I grabbed Glefti at 17 bucks fixed price on IAS)....whew. |
New Zealand System
Can't find where I originally posted the NZ system, but anyway, Today produced the following winner - Imonlythecaddy:
and yesterday produced Bold Contact @ $16.30 and 3.40 (although there were 3 qualifiers)..... amd also Sweet Caroline (14/1) @ 6.70 and $2.00..... showing a profit (12% POT) with Win SR 13.9% (av. price $8.94) and Plc SR 39% ($3.06)..... ;) |
New Zealand System Results
06 TRENTHAM STAKES
1400 Metres 11:50am WIN/PLACE 5 12.60 4.20 2.............1.60 6.............1.50 QUINELLA 35.10 EXACTA 59.20 TRIFECTA 429.40 ( 5) PENNY FLORENCE ( 2) HAGAR ( 6) ALA MOANA SCR - NIL |
New Zealand System Today
Not bad... 2/4 (50% S/R out 2 in 9.2 - 460% POT :D |
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