well done with Regal Rapt Luv2bet,,

Express Messenger just scraped home (phew) ..
was dissapointed listening to the race with Grand Merlot...he sounded like he was alot more forward than usual and started his run very early...will check out the video but it doesnt sound like he was ridden that well considering there was a good tempo set..

oh well nice odds about Express Messenger who i thought would be around 2.50..
made up for a crap day Wednsday..
weird day Wed..had a look at the video and was happy with all the bookers..who all ran very well..a day where with a bit of luck they might of all saluted....
Lord erin's run was weird aswell...not sure why the jock took off so early..not Lord erins usual style..maybe the connections are just fed up with him running good 3rds and 4ths and wanted him atleast in the firing line..

Delta Devil is running around in Adelaide tomorrow....is in good form ..just untried at this distance...has been finishing off his races and it could be what he needs..owes me for 2 starts now so i'll give him one more chance..

Moorings Strategy at Bathurst....this horse is in good form in the maidens..saluted last time over this distance..looks right in this race ..

looking for some value in these 2 runners ..otherwise save alittle extra for Saturday ..
good luck :)

Delta Devil is racing against my mates horse, going to strath for a look tomorrow probably leave that race alone. Dont mind one in the 6th race there golden classic. Been sniiffin out a win lately, looks the goods 2morow. I like seagura in gold coast. Hopefully its not to short its run last start was impressive can go on with it here. Ill have a go on cahuita in wangaratta. Great run third behind oamaru storm last start and I think its much better suited to the 1600.
Good luck...

couple of others today I like that I didnt put in tipping comp. In belmont our grey halo is running. This horse has been very good for me although he has to run a bad race sooner or later I think it will be later. I like live in vain in melbourne, pretty open race but had a couple of great runs recently and can go on with it here. The only other horse ill look at is in rosehill run rita run. He should enjoy the extra trip here and should go well

two around the mark and one very nice priced winner in live in vain. very impressive win that, he will stay under notice. Great ruun also by willie command, hope you UNLOADED on him Mr Ed, overall a good day of racing

Hope you got on maewest in kalgoolie Mav, was my only bet for the day thanks for pointing him out.

Thanks mate..yep got on and was happy with the divie...gave alot of it back on Statice and Paris Flyer..but ahead for the day so have to be happy about that..
have a good record with my Wa stable..of Maewest ,Caulfield Jim , Grand Merlot and Ja rule...well in the red anyway :)

Dam Wilie Comand ..had a couple of phone calls congradulating me on his win...they both got a good laugh when i said i wasnt on...
lost 2 big ones in Melbourne yesterday which made them laugh even more.
great friends hey...
though i had the last laugh after informing of my bottom line overall.. :)

Your not an accountant are you Mav?

lol...wouldn't be a very good one if i was....you should see my figures over the last year,...all over the place..but i'm slowly geting there.....
now i can access results for individual horses, tracks ,days , trifectas , trebles , 1st4's

Where Melbourne is the only red blemish on my records...usually go way better during the spring though..

Fingers crossed for a black year Mr Ed :)

One in the gold coast tomorow that may be worth a look at e/w odds. Race 7 suubird. Bit dissapointing last couple of runs but take on merit from the run before that. Been all over the place as far as distance goes and looks suited to the 1200 now. May need some luck drawing a barrier in the carpark but I will not be suprised to see him in the finish.
Good luck to all.

Hey Luv2bet..

I tipped Suubird the other day in eagle farm but jumped off at the odds of 5.50....thought a bit of a risk at 1200m ..and still do.
maybe against these horses though..hmmmm
intersted in Princess Margret..won well last start and is moving through the grades nicely..
Star Boulavard is racing tomorrow..this horse got me out of trouble the other day and is in good form..has a show in this race..
Parameter is another stable horse thats running ..i like him but think Danefull will get the lead in front of him..and usually if he doesnt lead he doesnt win..
he won well here last start against a better field and maizy may was pressuring him..should be a nice tempo set that will set it up for Latin Lover..might have something on him and parameter..just depends on the odds...good trifecta and 1st 4 race..

Raffin Glow looks good tomorrow...and check out Blue Ribbons. this horse interests me,,has had a weird prep in the past which means shes has her fair share of probs..must have ability or Mick wouldnt be persisting with her...
was close up to show barry and bojack around this time last year..
should be huge odds and worth maybe a e/w for interests sake..

Gud Luck guys... and good luck Luv2..if suubirds going to win over this distance you'd think it would be against this field..the toppy has a huge weight the rest are average and you have just 1 improving type..
had some good judges on it at Ef..so cant be hopeless..

Crappy day today had a go at Star Boulevard and Latin Lover....
wondering why latin Lover was 5th on the inside one second and then last the next ??
to wet for Raffin Glow and why the hell Blue Ribbons was almost fav confuses the heck out of me..thought she'd be 20's..will be one of those horses that'll never win but will always be short for reasons nobody knows..

Great win by Princess Margret..this horse has ability..the way she spaced them was impressive..probably lucky Suubird was scratched Luv2 ..
the 2,80 was to short for me ..but with all the scratchings was a probably the right odds..

I see Suubird is racing tomorrow Luv2 ...harder race over even longer..the trainer must think she can do it though..she's fit enough..should be nice e/w odds but who knows ?? last time i tipped her she ran favourite when i thought she'd be 15's..

have a few bookers running tomorrow..
Nuts about Jugah *, Delta Devil , Mystikos , Rogan's Gem , General Conclusion ,

Startled Hunter is racing tomorrow in a tuff 2yo race..impressed me though last start ..and might be a nice e/w

Encosta Rocket is another booker who ran a nice place for me last start but in this race Mr Hornblower looks to good for him...
but it would be nice to see the girls win it....

Shanteruse was scratched on Saturday ..probably the track ..if its dry i thought she had a chance ..

Good Luck Guys.. :) some nice races around ..

Yeah some nice races around 2morow , Im not too sure about suubird, Ive been on the toppy not a blunder its last 2 starts and will be hard to bet against it, its got a big finish in it that horse could be hard to beat. Mav, I noticed ja rule didnt get a mention in your bookers, has it been dropped or missed, just curious. I like eastwest success at randwick, had a nice run last time behind for valour and loves this track not sure about the odds though. Another I like but may be short is lesvos lady in strath. Right in the finish last time in the city behind written habit, this looks a little easier good barrier good jockey should go alright. Havent had a real good look through the fields yet but looks like a good dayy for a bet.
Good luck with opio miss Ed, hope he brings home the bacon!
Good luck to all.

Oh I forgot Mav, Your right lucky suubird was scratched because I had a good crack at princess margret, and it does look to have potential, easy win.

Very impressive win wasnt it...didnt beat to much though...but has done everything right so far..

I forgot about Jarule ..always seem to forget about Wa .. he has a good chance on a dry track the 2 above him look the dangers...noble Park ran good time on the slow last start ..if its wet might be worth following him..

good luck ..and well done backing Princess Margret,,i didnt have enough balls to take the odds on offer but i'm glad someone was on her..

confident about Nuts about Jugah :)

Very good run last time Mav, looks a top hope. Can't underestimate the class of Dea and Trattoria is a good mare when right.

Opio Miss will start from the outside barrier and go back tommorow, usually a recipe for disaster, but this horse has not been given a chance to show how good she is this prep through poor riding. Last start was a farce with young benbow getting lost she was 5 and 6 wide the last 600 - 800 but still ran on gamely. There will be better speed here from mainly Ski for Kings who with the claim looks tough to beat. Spirit of Marscay has run seconds to Great Sandy, Senor De Lago, and Willie Command recently and would have to start close to favorite. Some good runs from others in the field but don't really rate them. Have no doubt Opio holds a class edge and is the 'best' horse, it will be good to see what she can do when saved for one last crack at them at this more suitable venue.

Having a shocker today...0 from 3 ..
Rogams Gem tried hard..
Mystikos....thought i had it there,,would of been a real nice result.
Delta Devil...did nothing..ran wide but is relegated to the scrap heap now..

General ran well..bit short i thought but proved he's up to it,,
A friend has tipped me Shellshocked in the last today...i'm not totaly convinced but this guy is a good judge..he has inside ?? knowledge apparently...so i'll have to have something on it..who knows might make it out ahead today yet..

having a fun bet tonight ,,nutley mom at 51/1 and nsw by 13 at about the same..
also Lockyer first tryscorer at 17's ..he's won this for me before..

Good luck Mr Ed on Opio Miss..the run on horses are right in it today ..
will have a saver on it just in case..

Good luck and go the mighty queenslanders :)

(and yes i bet with my head not my heart)

shellshocked just broke through the barriers, sure he hasn't pumped it up so much it just wants to run without all the expectation?

today was a punters nightmare bar the certainty of the day automaton.

Whatever they gave it ,,it still wasnt enough.. :)
the 3 i gave chances in that race came 4th 5th and 6th ..lol one of those days..
I reckon Qld are certanties tonight..jump on..

and just incase i get toooo ********ed tonight..the 3 nominated losers for tomorrow are
Grand Merlot , Rebelete and Solomons seal...but beware the weekday run of outs continue....the best thing i've done lately is scale down my midweek betting ..keep chipping away like this though and i'll have nothing left to bet with come Saturdays...

its seems my betting account has a withdraw only option...

Dirty on myself in the first at Sydney...i backed Blue Lyric last start at 50's and was a nice place result..today i thought Yareven was to good especially the way he went right past him last start even though the distance suited Blue Lyric more today..so i just forgot about the race and concentrated on the others where in actual fact Yareven rated so highly and was probably the best bet of the day...and he won like it to..
frustrating..

Bad luck Mav. Thought the General did a great job, weight just told in the end.

Opio ran her usual unlucky fast finishing race and is starting to get expensive, don't know if she would've won but she would've been right there today with a better run. That's what you get for betting on flashy finishers instead of one paced tough horses like Ski for Kings.

A win today !! wooohoo :)

Solomons Seal saluted..broke the dreaded run of outs..
Grand Merlot ..dissapointing again..is better than these last 2 runs..will wait till he hits 2000m on a good track,,
Rebelete was never going to be good enough in this race a win though targeting Sir Dan, Umatrick and alitle on rebelete just incase..

still experimenting with this Target beting ..have used it with great affect in races where i think theres 2 or 3 standouts..especially in the bigger races where theres value...

still behind for the week but catching up..

Lair is racing tomorrow...needs our help to finally break through..has his chance tomorrow against a bunch of donkeys..
this is the horse that tested Startcraft once early in his career..
will be having a sympathy e/w on him for fun...

Rose of Kwilla is a booker running tomorrow..got smashed against the rail last start and should of won..is better over alittle more ground but against this lot has a big show..the barrier is the only concern she gets back anyway so it shouldnt worry her to much...

King Of Illawara (dry) and Cellay are in the book as well..

Go Lair :)

The Merlot Now fan club is having token bets on the Nows at Murray Bridge tomorrow ..we've been on a roll lately and we'll need all the luck we can get.

good luck all

What are you doing exactly???

Today i like:

Murray Bridge 3-2 Some Kinda Storm.... The ONLY horse in the race who has shown any glimpse of good form, quite a good 3rd last start. Should beat this bunch

Seymour 2-11 Radiant Charm.... Returns here after a few good placings. Consistent type for a maiden. Lovanip the danger

I've been looking at Connoly's plan Mav, and have tested it using my Read bets over the last twelve months, including the favorite or second favorite if my selection was favorite. It's showing a 2 % POT over 300 races (not enough i know) this figure is conservative however as i was working only off Unitab prices and even using Superprice this could be considerably higher, not to mention clauses for odds on favorites, or my judgement in the second horse selection. Looks a good safe way of intermingling form study, punting thrill, and hopefully making a quid.

King of Ilawarra won like pharlap today...i only had 1 unit on for the win as i was worried about him handling the track.. how stupid was i..would of been nicely cashed up for tomorrow..
Cellay nearly got there but still a nice collect on the place..

and poor old Lair ...didn't mind the way he eventually finished off..looking like a mile and a half or more will suit..

The nows didn't win for the Tipping Club..but we jumped on the 8.50 about Consular tomorrow...fingers crossed :)

Sportz...with the target betting ..i'm just targeting a specific amount to win...
yesterday approx 1000 units...Sir dan 400 , Umitrick 400 .rebellete 100 ..
for 900 invested ..ateast a 2000 return and some change..
i did this with that Vitese Dane win..also had cinque centro and irish darling..
also that Admiral spy race ..his first win..when i had him and 2 others..

i do this when i have 2 or 3 standouts that i cant seperate..i had sir Dan and Umitrick evenly rated ..way above the nearest which was Rebelette...and they both started at 5's and 6's....the same with Viteses danes race ..she when they were all 7's or higher..

i might have a go at it again tomorrow..still doing the form..

Been busy of late dont mind a few tomorrow.
Ipswich race 4 No 6 AZZASON.
Forgive last start had everything go wrong, has a great winning strike rate and could go close in this field. In a pretty open race there might be some value.

Ballerat race 7 no 1 DONDOBINE.
I think this horse has a class edge over others here. He has beaten better horses home than the ones hes up against here. Bust up won today and didnt run a place to him a few starts ago, should be in the finish. Danger here would be regal rapt, had a big win on him recently with a huge run.

A couple I also will look at will be grafton 3 Lawlini, like the way it has been going, tougher here but should be nice odds, and ballarat 9 pumkin jack, winning form is good form, conditions shouldnt be a problem, like his chances but normally dont like 400m either side of last run.

Hope we find a winner.
LUV2BET

Just might add to that. I dont know if anyone seen race 4 in Darwin today but would be interested in peoples views. I know someone involved in the winner there today and that horse was not supposed to win.... say no more.. One for the blackbook peoples, wait til it really RUNS.

Bad luck with Dunbodine L2B, weight just told, i trust you still made a profit with your staking plan.

One i really liked the last run of tommorow is In Hot Pursuit Morn Rc 2 No.3. I've been having a great time with these distance maidens and his run when 9 lengths behind Filly of Choice was plenty good enough for this. Dun Mears ran second in that race and has trumped the form with a huge win on sunday when three and four wide in a showcase maiden. Jygah looks an obvious danger, with a good fifth in a hot form race behind Penhale, but hasn't run in a long time now and has been scratched from a couple of heavy tracks recently so am happy to risk. The rest of the field is very weak. In Hot Pursuit looks a special on it's last run, only downer is his exposed second up form.

Cheers ED

Had an average day yesterday see if we can make amends,
Rockhampton race 6 no 1 STARTACUS.
Hes been racing superbly of late in a lower class but I believe he can go on with it here. Loves this distance, drawn a good barrier, and with the weight he carried last time for a win couldnt of been easy, you dont see to many horses winning carrying 63kg. 4.5 kg lighter today. Danger here would be bro, was only a few lengths behind princess margarat last time and we all know that horse is capable of.
Good luck with In hot pursuit Ed, might have a go myself..

Not a bad result there Mr Ed, never really going to win but still picked up a decent collect all the same. Lets hope Strartacus gets up. Just noticed one in race 3 mornington turtons track. Its paying $90 for the win, might have a little go on him. Probably at this price for good reason but times it has been running dont justify those odds.
Look forward to 2morow.

Well done L2B and got exacta....

Back in the winners circle.
Great run by startacus, bro had me worried for a minute but the toppy found plenty in the last 200. Had a LARGE go on him, happy days!!!
Bring on saturday!!

well done Luv2 ..some nice tipping there :)

For Sunday:
 

Sandown 7-1 Le Bucheron

Just as a bit of interest and to keep track of how these tips are going Im going to start with a $500 bank and keep a running tally of selections using unitab prices. Lets see what we can turn this into. (hopefully not zero)

TODAYS BETS.
Sandown Race 3 no 4. PRAIRIE ROSE. $10w $40p
Form has been rock solid, aliandra the only danger here looks to have the others covered. $8 in the paper but I dont think we will get those odds somehow.

Grafton race 4 no 2. ONE POUND SIX. $10w $40p
Extra trip here shouldnt be a problem, had a bit left in the tank its last start over 1400 so should be running on. Pretty ordinary bunch running around here, stands as a clear top pick.

Good luck all.

If anyone else wants to set themselves up for a big cropper like myself, feel free to have a go.

I'll try the same thing, but varying the bet size

So the selections for today are:

Sandown 7-1 Le Bucheron - $10 Win, $30 Place

Sandown 4-2 Nedrullah - $10 Win , $20 Place

Sandown 5-1 Pugnacious - $10 Win, $20 Place

Grafton 8-7 That's My Mum - $10 Win, $30 Place

Sunshine Coast 4-6 Drop Of Hennessey - $10 Win, $30 Place

well the heavy track brought me undone at Sandown today. Luckily we each had a third which adds a trace of respectability to the balance!