lays
 

Hi UB, didn't check the last lot but I suspect 100% SR? what I might humbly suggest an additional filter, i.e. take that last one that I actually backed it finished .8 of a length from the winner last start, I think that I would be a brave man to lay it next start, not that I mean it is going to win but just that I wouldn't lay it at whatever it was (at least 200-1 I suspect) just a thought maybe add a filter say, delete if finished within say, 2 lengths of the winner last start? don't really know if that would eliminate enough to make a difference , but maybe?

PP yes 100% success strike rate for Sunday.

These tips are not automated so they are all an assessment for the race. There are no rules as such but just guidelines of which all can be broken :)

Got it!
 

Hi UB, yes I realise where you're at and of course you must be doing something right as I certainly couldn't get to the level of turnover that you do.

My PPM system (daft as it is) pinpointed several winners that were quoted at 1000-1 on bet fair, the thought of laying them brings on convulsions, I couldn't handle it at all.
All the best!

Todays selections : https://youtu.be/-OZyKzIV3ms

Record to date is 1 loss in 213 selections.

24/08/24 Randwick 3 4
24/08/24 Randwick 8 1
24/08/24 Randwick 8 4
24/08/24 Mooney Valley 1 6
24/08/24 Mooney Valley 1 9
24/08/24 Mooney Valley 3 7
24/08/24 Mooney Valley 3 9
24/08/24 Morphettville 1 18
24/08/24 Morphettville 3 7
24/08/24 Morphettville 5 13
24/08/24 Belmont 5 8
24/08/24 Belmont 8 7
24/08/24 Newcastle 1 2
24/08/24 Newcastle 1 3
24/08/24 Newcastle 1 9
24/08/24 Newcastle 1 11
24/08/24 Newcastle 5 12
24/08/24 Tuncurry 2 3
24/08/24 Tuncurry 4 9
24/08/24 Wangaratta 1 8
24/08/24 Wangaratta 2 15
24/08/24 Wangaratta 2 18
24/08/24 Wangaratta 3 17
24/08/24 Wangaratta 4 16
24/08/24 Wangaratta 6 14
24/08/24 Wangaratta 9 6
24/08/24 Gold Coast 1 14
24/08/24 Gold Coast 7 9
24/08/24 Broome 4 5
24/08/24 Cairns 1 8
24/08/24 Cairns 1 12
24/08/24 Cairns 1 14
24/08/24 Cairns 3 10
24/08/24 Cairns 3 12
24/08/24 Cairns 8 11
24/08/24 Cairns 8 12
24/08/24 Toowoomba 3 11
24/08/24 Toowoomba 6 9
24/08/24 Toowoomba 7 7


The video goes into why each one was a selection if you want more information.

all good
 

No need UB, you have demonstrated that you are doing everything correctly. After a few too many Chardonnay's , I attempted to mix what you are doing and what I am doing "dumb", as I am looking for winners while you are looking for losers.

Not a good day for me today, far too many favs winning, .... but there's always tomorrow!

Todays video on the selections https://youtu.be/ixu_kNSAc4c

I talk through each of the reasons for the lays and provide some insights towards the end of the video on what i am looking at when I five into the form.

Yesterdays results were 39 successful lays from 39 selections.

Todays:

25/08/24 Goulburn 2 1
25/08/24 Narromine 2 2
25/08/24 Narromine 4 11
25/08/24 Narromine 4 14
25/08/24 Narromine 8 16
25/08/24 Ballarat 2 10
25/08/24 Ballarat 4 8
25/08/24 Pakenham 1 8
25/08/24 Pakenham 1 1
25/08/24 Pakenham 2 12
25/08/24 Pakenham 2 7
25/08/24 Pakenham 2 1
25/08/24 Pakenham 6 12
25/08/24 Kilcoy 3 12
25/08/24 Port Augusta 2 1
25/08/24 Port Augusta 2 6
25/08/24 Port Augusta 4 14
25/08/24 Port Augusta 6 12
25/08/24 Kalgoorlie 7 10
25/08/24 Hobart 2 11

Latest Video for Saturday 31st August.

Current record: 263 tips 262 right, 1 wrong.

Check the video for comments and current results update. Also I am tipping in the pros vs bookies competition on betfair as a pro for the spring so you can find my lay on Wednesday on the app and website. I also post my contenders in a post on youtube for those following.

https://youtu.be/Tw0sqWoS2D4

31/08/24 Rosehill 6 8
31/08/24 Doomben 4 8
31/08/24 Doomben 9 3
31/08/24 Morphettville 1 11
31/08/24 Morphettville 3 12
31/08/24 Morphettville 4 11
31/08/24 Morphettville 4 12
31/08/24 Morphettville 4 13
31/08/24 Morphettville 8 18
31/08/24 Morphettville 9 12
31/08/24 Belmont 8 7
31/08/24 Kembla Grange 1 5
31/08/24 Kembla Grange 2 9
31/08/24 Kembla Grange 7 11
31/08/24 Kembla Grange 8 12
31/08/24 Grafton 2 18
31/08/24 Grafton 4 13
31/08/24 Grafton 5 13
31/08/24 Grafton 6 13
31/08/24 Gold Coast 1 7
31/08/24 Gold Coast 3 7
31/08/24 Gold Coast 5 11
31/08/24 Gold Coast 8 9
31/08/24 Toowoomba 6 12
31/08/24 Toowoomba 7 9
31/08/24 Warracknabeal 1 14
31/08/24 Warracknabeal 2 1
31/08/24 Warracknabeal 2 5
31/08/24 Warracknabeal 2 4
31/08/24 Warracknabeal 5 13

Looks like a great day of racing.

30 successful lays from 30 selections yesterday.

Record 293 with only 1 unsuccessful lay

Here is todays video: https://youtu.be/4kvfZcjcpY8

01/09/24 Wyong 4 12
01/09/24 Wyong 4 15
01/09/24 Moree 1 5
01/09/24 Moree 2 11
01/09/24 Moree 3 13
01/09/24 Moree 4 13
01/09/24 Geelong 4 2
01/09/24 Sunshine Coast 1 12
01/09/24 Sunshine Coast 2 10
01/09/24 Sunshine Coast 4 11
01/09/24 Sunshine Coast 7 14
01/09/24 Port Augusta 2 1
01/09/24 Port Augusta 2 6
01/09/24 Port Augusta 3 12
01/09/24 Port Augusta 6 13
01/09/24 Hobart 1 14
01/09/24 Hobart 3 9
01/09/24 Hobart 5 12
01/09/24 Hobart 8 13
01/09/24 Casterton 1 4
01/09/24 Casterton 2 9
01/09/24 Casterton 4 13
01/09/24 Carnarvon 1 7
01/09/24 Carnarvon 2 9
01/09/24 Carnarvon 5 9
01/09/24 Carnarvon 6 9


See the video for a google sheet of results and why I have chosen each selection.

I have now put up 315 tips over the last few months and only lost on 1 race.

https://youtu.be/2vZGqpfiejs

See the video for commentary

07/09/24 Randwick 6 13
07/09/24 Randwick 9 13
07/09/24 Mooney Valley 8 13
07/09/24 Doomben 6 10
07/09/24 Doomben 7 14
07/09/24 Doomben 7 11
07/09/24 Morphettville 1 6
07/09/24 Morphettville 2 10
07/09/24 Morphettville 4 10
07/09/24 Morphettville 5 12
07/09/24 Morphettville 9 16
07/09/24 Belmont 3 10
07/09/24 Belmont 3 5
07/09/24 Belmont 6 8
07/09/24 Hawksberry 1 5
07/09/24 Hawksberry 2 1
07/09/24 Hawksberry 4 10
07/09/24 Hawksberry 5 5
07/09/24 Orange 1 3
07/09/24 Orange 1 5
07/09/24 Orange 1 7
07/09/24 Orange 4 9
07/09/24 Orange 4 10
07/09/24 Mildura 2 8
07/09/24 Mildura 2 3
07/09/24 Mildura 3 7
07/09/24 Mildura 7 15
07/09/24 Junction 3 8
07/09/24 Junction 5 9
07/09/24 Toowoomba 1 11
07/09/24 Toowoomba 3 15
07/09/24 Toowoomba 3 19
07/09/24 Toowoomba 4 8
07/09/24 Toowoomba 5 8
07/09/24 Toowoomba 7 1

Another successful day with 31 successful lays.

See the video for commentary. I provide a few insights in this video on strategies for finding easy lays.

Sundays selections : https://youtu.be/Oe3de251KHM

08/09/24 Bendigo 1 14
08/09/24 Bendigo 3 6
08/09/24 Bendigo 4 2
08/09/24 Bendigo 5 13
08/09/24 Bendigo 5 12
08/09/24 Gundagai 1 13
08/09/24 Gundagai 2 7
08/09/24 Gundagai 2 13
08/09/24 Gundagai 3 14
08/09/24 Gundagai 4 16
08/09/24 Gundagai 5 17
08/09/24 Gundagai 5 9
08/09/24 Gundagai 5 2
08/09/24 Gundagai 6 15
08/09/24 Mudgee 3 11
08/09/24 Mudgee 4 12
08/09/24 Mudgee 6 17
08/09/24 Alice Springs 1 4
08/09/24 Alice Springs 1 5
08/09/24 Alice Springs 2 9
08/09/24 Alice Springs 3 9
08/09/24 Sunshine Coast 4 10
08/09/24 Sunshine Coast 7 16
08/09/24 Kalgoorlie 1 5
08/09/24 Kalgoorlie 2 10