There is a potential selection tomorrow:

Pinjarra
R 7
# 4
CHOCOLATE MOON

Chocolate Moon won as favourite.

Well done another winner! CP thanks for sharing the idea of looking at something different and a winner it looks.

I have been following these horses - but not betting on them! Ahhhh....

CP
Are there other tracks in Oz which display the same characteristics?

Not until you dig deeper Speedy.
Bunbury is a standout performer over all distances.
If you break down tracks by distance and class, then there are other good performers.

This system I have provided is a free forum system and not one of the systems that come with the database, it's purely a demonstration of using the database uncnventionally can return some hidden gems.
It's also really meant to be something to incorporate into existing strategies as a side earner because it's a longshot system primarily.

Got some potential bets for Wednesday and Thursday at this stage:

30/04/2014 (WED) PINJARRA
R 5 # 3 APACHE ROCKET
R 7 # 1 ANGEL WING
R 7 # 5 ZERO TO SIXTY

01/05/2014 (THU) BUNBURY
R 5 # 4 ELITE FLIGHT
R 5 # 7 STAR OF HUSSON
R 6 # 6 STRING OF SMILES
R 8 # 9 TATOLI

I'll give just one example of many of how this information can be used for success, i.e. thinking outside the square.

Take Perth metro tracks, Ascot and Belmont.

Each track has it's own quirks, and therefore horses that win at Ascot are not the same as horses that win at Belmont.
Horses that are able to reel off fast final sectionals at Ascot are far superior to similar horses at Belmont.
That theory being true and correct should be played out in the stats.

Taking final race sectionals for 1200m races at both venues and looking at the horses next starts we come up with this...

Last start winners over 1200m racing again within 30 days AND sectional times less than 35 seconds....

Belmont
553 selections
132 winners
23.87% Strike Rate
-12.28% POT

Ascot
397 selections
121 winners
30.48% Strike Rate
13.44% POT

We haven't even looked at track going, or class.
This is bare bones stats only for 1200m races.

Armed with this information we can come up with horses to lay and horses to back and a pretty comprehensive package of stats and selections when applied to all tracks that record race sectionals over various distances and going.

Hopefully that's just a small demonstration of digging a little bit deeper.

Good stuff, CP. There's always an angle if you're prepared to look. For those same two tracks using the same criteria, there is a very overlooked factor, and that's whether it's the LSW's Home track today?

SR for not Home track is 17.6%, and for Home track 9.5%. The opposite to what you'd think!

30/04/2014 (WED) PINJARRA
R 5 # 3 APACHE ROCKET unplaced
R 7 # 1 ANGEL WING $6.60 Best Tote
R 7 # 5 ZERO TO SIXTY unplaced

The bonanza continues :D

You beauty CP!

Another great result

Thanks Twodogs, I have to err on caution side though.
For anyone following this system, it's hit a real purple patch recently and is bound to hit the skids until an overlay pops up, so please be cautious as it really is a longshot system.

The last meeting at Bunbury is Thursday before they take a break so only 30 days before the system goes into recess I guess.

This system has to fall in a hole, doesn't it? The S/R should stay the same but surely the POT will drop as a result of this exposure ..... surely!, or are all punters as dumb as me and continue to look a gift horse fair and square in the molars?!?!

I'm confident it won't fall in a hole longterm given the makeup of the dividends / overlays. I'm sure we are due for a run of outs, but am really enjoying the "purple patch".
Ironically the shorter end selections have been getting up lately, just biding my time for an outsider, as we are overdue for a bobber.

01/05/2014 (THU) BUNBURY
R 5 # 4 ELITE FLIGHT 3RD $2.80
R 5 # 7 STAR OF HUSSON WON $1.80 Best Tote
R 6 # 6 STRING OF SMILES 3RD $1.80
R 8 # 9 TATOLI 5th

A monster of a run from Tatoli, drew barrier 19, was last of 15 on the turn and rattled home for 5th. Doesn't make a difference, but he sure had the motor.

Still not a bad strike rate, especially for the place. Great little system.

A runner on Saturday...
10/05/2014 (SAT) BELMONT
R 5 #10 WAYSIDE

4th :(

Two contenders tomorrow:
BELMONT
R 3 # 3 SENOR HURACAN
R 3 # 6 STAR OF HUSSON

BELMONT
R 3 # 3 SENOR HURACAN unplaced
R 3 # 6 STAR OF HUSSON WON $2.60 Best Tote

'Star' won in a canter! 'Senor' not so good...

Selections Thursday...
NORTHAM
R 7 # 3 HEEZ OUR WALLY
R 8 # 3 MEDIA MAK

NORTHAM
R 7 # 3 HEEZ OUR WALLY unplaced
R 8 # 3 MEDIA MAK 3rd $2.50 best tote

Wednesday BB selections:
21/05/2014 (WED) BELMONT
R 3 # 8 SHALO
R 6 # 9 PINOT REILLY

R 3 # 8 SHALO 3RD $2.00 Best Tote
R 6 # 9 PINOT REILLY Scratched

Next selection runs Saturday at Belmont:
24/05/2014 BELMONT
R 6 # 9 CHERIE AMOUR

So far this year, we have yet to have a big winner, however, it's running at a very nice place return using just one tote dividend...

PLACE
Races Bet: 97
Races Won: 53
S.R./Race: 54.60%
Outlay($): $117.00
Return : $131.20
$ Profit : $14.20
% P.O.T. : 12.10%

R 6 # 9 CHERIE AMOUR unplaced

Pinot Reilly ran in Race 3 today - but didn't place.

It wasn't a selection because it was outside the month break cutoff.

Having Bunbury withdrawals, come on Bunbury, get your meeting on!
Next meeting it seems is not until October 19th. Bah Humbug.

Gee, that's ages in the future...I don't think addicted (opps sorry) determined punters can wait that long!

Here's a WA system that has been flying of late. Back any No 1 in WA city or prov races which is a last start winner on a different track. No first uppers. Lots of good prices.
I have no long term data for this so caveat emptor.

Shall check this out!

Not good overall Speedy.
-24.50% longterm.

However, "flying of late" is an understatement :D

207.50% POT for May!
72% POT for April.
68.52% POT for 2014
-55.94% Loss for 2013.

************. I did a spot check of 2013 and it didn't look so hot. I should have sold it via PPM based on 2014 results.

Anyone keep this little gem in their vault?
Since racing returned to Bunbury these are the results.


Using only TAB prices!

Looking good CP but how do you find if a horse was a LSW at Bunbury without trawling through every LSW results throughout Australia - or is it only for WA races next start?

Usually only WA races, but I also subscribe to form and run it through a database to find selections easier.