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moeee 27th August 2011 08:08 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by woof43
What about I'm a fencer in the 7th can you see that winning?

Yes I can.
Or it runs second to Strappers Boy.
A Box Trifecta with Mamies Bale will also go mighty close to a collect.

lomaca 27th August 2011 08:13 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by woof43
What about I'm a fencer in the 7th can you see that winning?
can't see it losing so I go for #2 for the place @$20

woof43 27th August 2011 08:14 PM

Race 7
 
Box 1st Split Rating Rank
1 $4.79 3
2 $3.84 2
3 $22.42 6
4 $18.94 5
5 $219.78 8
6 $6.99 4
7 $161.29 7
8 $3.58 1
70% of it's races it misses the kick, when it's won its just about led all the way.
1 5.188
2 5.154
3 5.157
4 5.141
5 5.275
6 5.126
7 5.253
8 5.092
there's a big variance in it's split times (std dev) but it can run a good split when it feels like it
yes I like the #8,5 1,2

lomaca 27th August 2011 08:19 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by lomaca
can't see it losing so I go for #2 for the place @$20
missed it by that " " much

moeee 27th August 2011 08:30 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by lomaca
missed it by that " " much

Actually was a fair margin behind the 3rd placegetter , but was a nice pick all the same.
I figured it as being way out of its class and gave it little chance.
Ran very well.

woof43 28th August 2011 03:01 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
This is a terrible way to analyze races.
The #7 will drift in with the #8 and no harm will be done.

Except the #6 dog was a rock solid wide/centre runner.

moeee 28th August 2011 05:03 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by woof43
Except the #6 dog was a rock solid wide/centre runner.


I messed up on this Race.
But trying to presume and anticipate what will happen at the start of a Race is very very difficult talent to acquire.
There are many other Factors that are easier to assess , and that have greater bearing on the result.


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