Yeah Mav...gave it the Desi forum curse...couldnt resist taking it in my exotics lol...mmm....got that bad one out of the way must be a good day tomorrow...thanks for Arrowsweep to put me on top...great work by all the Racing forum tipsters!!! Cheers and good luck tomorrow!!

Wyong R1-3 Port Peru was a very impressive trialler after showing nice form last season. A definite chance here. Baez is the main danger. I also like the prospects of Wyong R4-2 Philatelist. It's form suggests that today's race will be just perfect for it. However, it could be risky taking a short price in what is just a weak staying maiden. Monte Dreamer the danger. Townsville R5-1 Dini Who is in strong consistent form with an in form jockey and trainer. Good 3rd at Mackay last Friday. Dorian is the obvious danger.

TOWNSVILLE
R5-1 DINI WHO, 2 Dorian (2,1 - 5,9,3,4)
R7-4 SEA COUNSEL, 1 Trip To Manila, 5 Gold Tusmani (4,1,5 - 10,2)
WYONG
R1-3 PORT PERU, 4 Baez, 5 Avenue Girl (3,4,5 - 9,10,2)
R4-2 PHILATELIST, 1 Monte Dreamer (2,1 - 6,7,8)
BENDIGO
R6-4 PRINCE OF SCRIBES, 3 Polish Sniper, 10 Hale 'N' Hearty (4,3,10 - 9,2,13,5)
R8-11 CAPTAIN ZERO, 10 Bono, 9 Brief Alliance (11,10,9 - 8,1,4)

I also think Wyong R6-2 Fighting Fund looks very promising and is likely to win today. However, it'll probably be very short and I don't like backing horses at their 2nd career start after an impressive first start win. A lot don't seem to go on with it for some reason. So I might just watch that race.

How right I was there!!! :o Thankfully, Monte Dreamer still won for us and the trifecta was okay.

I went okay today. 2 of my 3 best bets got up, and the danger won the other. Found the winner and trifecta in 5 of the 6 races. I'm glad I decided to leave Fighting Fund.

TOWNSVILLE
R5-1 DINI WHO $3.50, 2 Dorian (2,1 - 5,9,3,4)
R7-4 SEA COUNSEL, 1 Trip To Manila $2.20, 5 Gold Tusmani (4,1,5 - 10,2)
WYONG
R1-3 PORT PERU $3.80, 4 Baez, 5 Avenue Girl (3,4,5 - 9,10,2)
R4-2 PHILATELIST, 1 Monte Dreamer $3.50 (2,1 - 6,7,8)
BENDIGO
R6-4 PRINCE OF SCRIBES $4.60, 3 Polish Sniper, 10 Hale 'N' Hearty (4,3,10 - 9,2,13,5)
R8-11 CAPTAIN ZERO, 10 Bono, 9 Brief Alliance (11,10,9 - 8,1,4)

Hi Guys ..
firstly Thanks Sportz for Port Peru :) ..love having a great start to the day ..

Express Messenger...and Gold Tusmani ...Guess who made a stupid beginner mistake at townsville today ...yes me...i didnt realise the rail was out so far ..completely overlooked it after a late one last night ...
no way i would of backed either ...makes it a very leader bias track townsville and i'm guessing by the results it was again,,,
silly silly boy....thats $1000 bucks down the drain,,,

Monte Dreamer...easy win...i dont really know what the fuss was about with phalterist or watever ..i was real confident here and really should of had a double stake go at it,,oh well....good win and a nice tri a few times..(after Port peru in the first it makes it a winning day already.. :)

Port Peru ...finally got a tip early enough to follow..thanks mate..i owe you one.....needed the 5 to get a place for the tri 25 x ..still a nice result

Polish Sniper....what was i betting in this race for ?? my ratings were all over the place..jumpers ?? horse doubling in distance from last start...track querriess ??? should of just left it alone..another mistake today..

Ariante ,,,left this one alone...silly odds .. sounded like a weird race...

Still have one more to go soon..Don't say a word..hard to beat the hot pot but i'm confident..

Good day again..2 from 5 so far ...

but as you can see i'm alittle dirty on myself for Townsville and the Polish Sniper bet..
25% up so far ...

Should of known it would run 2nd ... but atleast it was beatn by the odds on shot so its easier to bear ....had the tri a few times so i get alittle back on the race..capped off a nice day ..

big day saturday...doing the videos and form already..

Well done Sportz, your in the zone mate, keep them winners happening:)

Yeh good work guys, Mav, just looked at the replays, really like the way Tasman Trader ran and think you were very unlucky, he goes in the book. Pretty confident on one tommorow, most likely favorite, will post shortly.

Rc 3, looks a match race between Ruby Star and Marqueeta, they both ran very well same track first up on the heavy last start. Ruby beat marqueeta that day but i think it will change tommorow. She showed plenty of potential as a 2yo and then Marqueeta ran terrificly well against the creme last spring around some of the best fillies, like her strong 5 length 7th to Mango Daiquiri and Hveger, a third to Astrodame, and a meriad of other talent she has been right there with. Ruby Star also ran well in the city, but her runs failed to stack up against that of Maqueeta, and the last run of Marqueeta although being beaten by Ruby, was at least par if not superior to that horses. Maqueeta has excellent form on the Slow/Heavy ground and if there is a margin between these two i'm confident it lies with Marqueeta.

Hore Lacy has a first starter engaged in Stormy Skies, who has won his only trial on heavy. Very happy to risk however, his time was very slow, even in comparison to the fillies in his age group, and he runs into a couple of smart mares here. Serene Sun made good ground in a decent C1 last start, lightly raced and looks a top hope for multiples, although never started on a track worse then good, the rest on their recent runs simply can't win.

Good luck tommorow all, hopefully there is some $3-4 available for Marqueeta as i have a very slow weekend.

Ipswich
*Branch ..Hawkes runner fitter for the barrier trail,,,ran some nice races last prep and looks to have it over this ordinary lot..
*Medieval Time...drawn wide but so has the other dangers in this race..lot to like about his last win and looks to have come back from a long let up feeling pretty good...would want a price here with the wide barrier ..
*AquaD'or ...should be 100/1 ,,likes the distance and track..got the good barrier,,,might be worth a little e/w ..bout time i got a longshot up..this might be my fun bet of the day...

Goulbourne..
*Unlocked.....fought on well in a harder class2 last start...should race prominent and be in it for along way..
* Petrol Head ...gets the wide barrier again..hopefully they learned there lesson from last start where they led with him and ride him quietly this time..
i think the extra distance suits and all he needs is alittle luck in the straight..
would want some sort of e/w price but fairly confident..

If you dont mind the wide barriers ..Audited in the 7th looks good,,but from barrier 20 hes hard to have for me..

only the possible 5 tomorrow ....plus Mr Eds Marqueeta ...been a winning week ..after the shocker last week ..regardless of what happens tomorrow...
if you've got a special sportz or Luv2 i'll check in if i can ..

good luck guys :)

Hey mav,
Just reading your comments on the rail position. I really don;t have much knowledge on the effects of rail movements either in or out and therefore can;t really include them as a factor to base my decisions on. Any information or knowledge of the effects of moving barriers would be pretty useful. Cheers
Also do you record all your own tapes for form analysis or use an online service.

-Matt

TS, Rail positions can be crucial, if the rail is in any one position, and they have been racing on it for a while it's starts to chop up and favours the outside horses. Most of the time when they move the rail out, or back in, it gives the rails 'virgin ground' and often you'll see a strong leader bias on these tracks. The problem is exponentially multiplied on softening ground.

I don't know about Mav, but i record all Victorian races onto DVD, it makes races alot easier to locate, and the quality of picture is in another league to that of the website.

Hi Ts ..yes i'm the same as Mr ed ,,copy to dvds ..also tvn if i have to..

nothing much happening today...felt a bit sik when Branch won ..just to short for me..but that lasted only till Medieval Time lost ..both to short ..but both real good runs..
Bad Luck Mr Ed ,,had a go at Marqueeta ,,cant win them all..
Have Petrol Head and Unlocked in Goulbourn ,,,also having a fun e/w on Aqua d'or at a million to one in the last in Ipswich..
fingers crossed :)

Yeh was a bit dissapointed Mav, thought with her good finish she was home around the bend, was just a little flat. I'd say she would have been right there with a decent barrier after jumping decently she had to shuffle back to last to come across. Still quite happy with the run and will follow her onto a heavy track again.

Havent seen the Video Ed ..but did sound promising on the turn ...check out Medieval times run ..fantastic ..also Ledger in Goulbourn looks like being something as well..a couple to book for sure..

0 for 3 today :(

Petrol head,,ridden forward again.. the early work kills this horse ..gets a barrier and it wins ,,got excited alittle when Aqua Dor looked like placing down the straight then stopped ..oh well a fun bet but still a couple of wasted slabs ...Unlocked ,,got crowded but still seemd to have time to run on...not sure will look at the video ..

have heaps of runners tomorrow ...doing my head in trying to short list them...feel very confident about a few .

A Good week guys overall,, well done ...a nice bottom line to finish with :) ...
hope the lucky run of Saturday's continue..

*sigh* back to the video ...be on later ..

Rosehill R3-6 Pendragon is a very exciting horse which looks set to have a good spring. Top run first up. This looks ideal. Dangers are Mosso and Paratroopers. It's a top race. Rosehill R6-1 Dance Hero looks the obvious way to go. If he gets a relatively easy lead, there's no reason why he can't reproduce his last start. However, if he's pressured at all, I'm giving number 6 Carry On Cutie a big chance of an upset. She's going brilliantly on the track and may have really gone on from last preparation. I'm expecting a good spring from her. Rosehill R7-3 Collate put in a terrific performance first up. Certainly looks above average and no reason why he can't win again here. Main danger is Swick. Rosehill R9-5 Appalachian is in tremendous form and looks suited again. Shows a lot of promise. Mystery City is the main danger and Impetuous Amour could be a good roughie. Newcastle R7-1 Missile Device is in tremendous form and this race suits. Pinikahari is the main danger.

ROSEHILL
R3-6 PENDRAGON, 2 Mosso, 1 Paratroopers (6,2,1 -3,4,8)
R6-1 DANCE HERO, 6 CARRY ON CUTIE (1,6,2,3)
R7-3 COLLATE, 2 Swick, 6 Forestrino (3,2,6 - 5,1)
R8-2 WILD QUEEN, 7 Mr Ubiquitous, 11 Desert Ransom (2,7,11 - 5,8,1,3)
R9-5 APPALACHIAN, 3 Mystery City, 10 Impetuous Amour (5,3,10 - 6,9,13,11)
MOONEE VALLEY
R8-14 CHITABE, 8 Mazunda, 1 Barely A Moment (14,8,1 - 3,5,4,9)
EAGLE FARM
R6-6 SHYSU, 4 Panzer, 10 Diurnal (6,4,10 - 3,7,1)
R7-5 BOHEMIAN DANCER, 4 Step Ahead, 9 Telldawn (5,4,9 - 1,6,10)
MORPHETTVILLE
R5-7 SPARKLING NOW, 6 Lady Of The Desert, 4 Lord Braemar (7,6,4 - 2,3,5)
R7-8 SUSIE MINE, 10 Pushing Daisies, 11 Leaders Pride (8,10,11 - 2,13,5,3)
NEWCASTLE
R3-6 CHEEKIES, 10 Spin Attack, 7 Del Mar (6,10,7 - 5,13,3)
R7-1 MISSILE DEVICE, 2 Pinikahari, 8 Gangleri (1,2,8 - 6,5,3)

What the...?

SHANIA DANE?????????

The ONLY horse out of the 6 I didn't consider.

I give up. :rolleyes:

Oops. I just realised I made a mistake there. That number 1 was actually supposed to be an 11. Sorry about that. :o

Had Mazunda going for an absolute stack, was very confident, great run and e/w but should've won.

Have a few tomorrow...bit lazy so i havent done my usual study..but i'll list them ..but make sure you guys have a close look at them..Really like the Sunny Coast tomorrow though...Byrne looks like having another good day,
Sunny Coast.
thebarefootbushman,Stary Bay
Kalgoolie.
She can tango, Fred Conquistrador
Casino.
Mr Monde
Flemington.
Potent Mix,Road To Athens.

do you think i backed it ??? noooooo ..was to wrapped up in Meterorite to see anything else ...horse has given back all those winnings i've won on him now..
thought Quin was to quiet on him..Coleman really shakes him up when he rides him,,,..maybe i'm expecting to much from the big fella anyway...

Yeh bad luck mate, i thought you might have had a little on it. Tommorow, i loved the last start run of Lauren Grace from Adelaide, ovverraced badly and was entitled to drop out but went strongly to the line for 3rd. Don't know much at all about the opposition but will be on Lauren anyway.

Thanks Mr Ed ..will have a look at Lauren..

like most of my stable today ...still not sure why Mr Monde is in my stable..i must of liked something about his first run ..didnt do anything in his 2nd run..
got me stuffed ..so i'll just watch him go around with just a slab on him e/w just incase ..

Thebarefootbushman looks a good thing today but he looks like being to short..

Told a friend there were 2 sure things yesterday ..Pipkin and Dakas gem ,,was just working out that it would of been better just backing these 2 yesterday and doubled my money just like he did and then some....but i crave that action ...probably be the death of me eventually...but if you dont enjoy the game i think you'd get worse at it..
thats my 10 cents worth anyway :)
Good luck today all.

I beat your effort. I missed two good ones in a row. First off, Taken At The Flood which I had also marked down as a chance, but come Saturday morning I completely forgot about it. Then worse was to come when To Be Surprised won the next. I had backed this one at it's last two starts, but went off it yesterday. :(

it happens Sportz...especially when you have heaps on..i've got post its , form guides , notes , dvds everywhere ... hmmm maybe if i was a fulltimer..

Hope you guys got Potent Mix :) what a tri ...

love being ahead early ...sit back time now and watch the footy and enjoy the day...
might have a go today on Lord Nedyim in the cup at Casino .. i dont want to curse Kaaptive Idea into 2nd again..

Wencelas Square is racing !!! best maidener in the country now that Liars won...come on guys..lets all put $1 e/w on it .. i'm chucking a slab on ..needs all the help it can get ,,,actually its not really that hard a race for it on a quick glance.

Gday Mav

a bit of joy with Potent Mix... I thought about $6.5 was a fair price... Got $10.4 NSW Tab.. but otherwise a break even kinda day so far..

As for that other horror (the horse of who we don't speak) I am going to lay it until I bleed.. and then lay it some more... I would have thought Birralee was close to a good thing in that race.. What does suprise me is that I dont have the ************** maiden on top.... It has cost me an absolute fortune.. it is the new Davidoff, promised so much delivers so little :) Good luck with it

Well done mate. You're a champion tipster!

Gday All


made one error in that race in that I backed Birralee @ $4.50... Otherwise all went as planned with laying, the horse of which we will not speak... Clawed some of the cash the ************** maiden owes me back... But I aint square with it yet. But I am determined :)

its just put in and take out with Mr Eds Tips....got to the point where i dont even look at the race beforehand..
Champion strikerate ...
Well done yet again Mr Ed

lol..X...he'll win oneday in the bush at 100/1 ..

Got 2 today..both at fantastic odds...with nice tris..
Potent Miz and Lauren Grace..

Thebushman looks to of had enough...
She can tango ..was getting there,, nice 2nd..
Road To athens...another that was close..
Fred Conquistrador...50 wide the whole way...bad ride..
Stary Bay...just not in it...think Jimmy's just won to many and hes having a rest now..

Great day,,,having a go atVolcanic Scene in the cup at Casino for a bit of fun....hard race this...if u can snag a exotic here you'll be laughing..

Kaaptive Idea ran 2nd again...not my fault this time

Gday Mav

more fool me for not throwing Kaaptive Idea in between Rowboat and Sundae Jester the tri paid a nice divvy

Gday Mav

talk about bein a goose.... have a look at how I rated Race 10 at Hobart... I thought there were on;y 3 in the race.... now have a look at the tri divvy.. makes ya weep...

bad luck X....all these hardluck stories..i liked Plural but the barrier scared me off...the tri paid $6000 ..
i just put it out of my head or else it gets you down..the bottom line is what matters in the end .and todays looks real nice..

day off tomorrow...unless someone has a special..

still feeling seedy after last night,, :) go the saints .

hey mav
 

hey all,,,hey mav i thought hillston was one of your horses a while ago...
did not catch my 20kg fish but got one at 18 kg (one day photo proof)
look forward to a new week..........cheers .gaz...go crows $20at$34......

might of been one i cursed down there in Melbourne...not in my stable though so i missed it today..only looked at the races i listed plus the Cup....was taking it nice an easy today..
Yes Gaz,,love to see some photos mate ..i'm happy to catch anything ..but then again i havent a clue what i'm doing..

Yeh, have to post my thanks Mr. Ed. Nice priced winner there, good work as always.

Kicking myself i didn;t back potent mix and satinspin.

Didn;t get to see any of the races, but i had a crack at legend of ace early in the morning, so i am not sure what price it started at. But looked up the results - second. I thought it was a moral. Anyone see the race, any excuses?

Also had a go at bella jinksy, thought the drying track and step up in distance might suit, drawn well, didn;t figure in the placings. Anyone see the run?

Thanks to Mr Ed, it was still a winning day, could have been better if i had backed potent mix which i rated very highly then saw mav put it up - what was i thinking?

I feel like a sponge using the tips on here without giving much back, but i am still very much learning the caper and i feel its better for me to not really put that much stuff up until i am really confident that i can find a fair share of winners and not lead people down the garden path.

I know people have said it many times before but the amount of time these guys put in to contributing to the board is amazing. Maverick in particular your selections always followed by some qualifying comments are so helpful for people learning like me, especially your sturday discussions (and everyone else who puts their views aswell).

Anyway cheers fellas, you are doing a great job.

-Matt

Totally agree TS...am in same boat...much appreciated guys...hopefully will be able to return in kind in future...cheers!!

Don't worry. I've been punting for ages and I still really lack confidence. I always worry about people losing money on my tips. Yesterday, there were 2 horses races at Flemington that I liked, but I didn't have the confidence to post them on here. One of them failed, but the other one was Hillston Exchange which won at fair odds. Sorry guys.