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-   -   My Selections for today. (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=9501)

Sportz 8th August 2005 12:19 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by maverick1993
Murwilimba.
* Nastia,,,have liked both her runs..runs on nicely and against this lot has a good show here..has the inside and the good jock,,very confident..


That was painless.

Sportz 8th August 2005 02:42 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr ed
She looks the horse to beat, running well against better opposition then these in Adelaide. There doesn't look a great deal of speed in the race, i expect Tanna Hero to lead quite comfortably. If you knew they would go hard you'd back her till the cows come home but with the small straight here she is a bit of a risk, as all backmarkers are.


That's exactly what happened and it just kept on going. Did you back it??? Paid $41 up here. Very nice. Thanks for your summary, even if your actual tip Miss Starnee didn't do so well.

Oh and well done to XPT for having it rated 3rd.

Mr ed 8th August 2005 03:03 PM

I didn't Sportz, i had it to beat Starnee in an exacta as a saver. Was unbelievable odds, as all winners have been right there around the turn. Really didn't do much damage at all, but i shoul've had even $10 on it, especially after Mavs great work earlier in the day, cheers mate. It's dynamite today going wide on the turn, but in saying that she was dissapointing and may be looking for a well deserved rest.

Skandia is at $8 at the moment, and i'm getting keener on her by the minute esp coming into (4) after scratchings. Never started on a good track, we could see a decent horse emerge.

Sportz 8th August 2005 03:42 PM

:D

Mr ed 8th August 2005 04:17 PM

Chew beauty, Won a stack today, thanks to Mav. Once Mav's danger was scratched i had a decent crack at Nastier at good odds. Then had a fair bit on Lady Breakfast, with 1/10th of my bet on the Lianga Bay - Lady Breakfast exacta to save, so ended up getting $1.80, not shabby. Lost a bit on Miss Starnee, the Lady 20 mins before hand, had already covered that and more. And had a red hot dip at Skandia, who was very well ridden, not quite the 8's I was optimistic about but still a terrific result. Beers are on me boys, unless Mav's already shouted.

Mr ed 8th August 2005 07:13 PM

Sportz, great to see Sonic Royal trialling excellently today at Cranbourne, he ran second to the promising Eltonjon by a neck, he's my favorite horse and i think he's in for a ripper of a campaign.

maverick1993 8th August 2005 07:49 PM

Another great day ..well done guys..
had a good go at Nastia when i heard Another Gold was out....heard the trial times i was scared of was 900m not 1000m anyway..thanks Hawkeye..

Didnt take the shorts about Lady breaky..i just never take those odds..and Lianga Bay was enough to scare me away from her..

still a good day and very happy with 300% profit :) three days in a row ..this time last week i was 1 for 10 or something like that..

funny story ..saw the that horse Blowadogoffachain racing today and had a good laugh about the name with the boys at work....we all put in $10 and had $25e/w on the thing...came in 2rd and paid a heap...goes towards the chrissie party . .. was exciting hearing the call ..we were shouting the place down..

Well done again Mr Ed..missed you tip though....what do you like tomorrow ?

maverick1993 8th August 2005 08:34 PM

a few tomorrow.

Rocky
Thats Paleface....good run last start..was ridden quietly and was very strong on the line..this is the key here in this race..theres a stack of speed but mainly 1000m speed..if Paleface can just sit off them he'll run them down..
Mr amore will try and stick on ,,,good form around the smart Cindy Kate but the 1200m should sort him out..

Regimental..never runs a bad race..drops weight..has the gun jock .. and loves the track and distance..should be fitter now 3rd run back..gets all the ticks..
Rosilee Miss at odds to place..honest mare who on her day could easily beat this lot..but doesnt seem to have that sprint she once had..

Taree
Dusty Daniel...this horse is lightly raced but seems to have got over those probs...hit the line nicely last start and will improve on it..
doesnt meet much here...
dont know what to make of Dear Swanee ..nicely bred filly wanting a good track and the distance might suit..and Silver tycoon the other danger..

just the 3 for me ..

good luck guys :)

Mr ed 8th August 2005 10:09 PM

Actually will be a very quiet week from me guys, have plenty on and won't get anytime to do tapes. Really don't want to dillute the good work being done here by just posting blackbookers w/o doing the form.

Cheers ED

luv2bet 9th August 2005 09:52 AM

WHEN YA HOT YA HOT!!!!!!!!!!
Superb effort Mav, Ed, had a very profitable day yesterday, thanks guys. Also backed fine sequal after winning on the earlier 'gifts' from the boys.
Dont mind Kai cibo in rocky today. Its form has been sensational at this track having won 5 from 8. Would want 3s at least and would think ill get it. Mydam twist looks to have bro covered and im willing to risk the toppy, and the rest dont look a chance. From a good barrier will be in a it a long way.
The other one ill have a bit e/w on is Laceline in the last, quoted at 15-1 in early markets. Has been getting closer every run and last starts close up 5th against bobs bid would put him right in this. Should be rock solid fit now and with pattillo back on board looks a genuine threat. Bello gino and bobs bid again the dangers, but no value there. Bello gino will start at 2s or 3s or something stupid and it only beat laceline home by half head last time.
Good luck on the punt today.

Stix 9th August 2005 02:48 PM

...... dare we say it.....
 
Mav

Dusty Daniel.... dare we say it..... 2nd... doh!

He had it, but great win by the winner.

Stix

maverick1993 9th August 2005 03:55 PM

Same old same old Stix ...nearly got there..

0 for 2 today ..had goes on Paleface and Dusty..left Regimental alone at those stupid odds..
cant win them all. . always tomorrow :) .still in good profit for the week ..and thats the main thing..

boxhead 9th August 2005 04:05 PM

Mav,
Please keep 'em coming. You, Ed and Sportz are a Godsend for people like me who don't have the time/ability to do the job you fellas are doing.
Thanks and cheers.

Sportz 9th August 2005 05:04 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by boxhead
Mav,
Please keep 'em coming. You, Ed and Sportz are a Godsend for people like me who don't have the time/ability to do the job you fellas are doing.


I'm afraid I haven't been able to post tips much lately. :o

I'm mainly concentrating on Saturdays and Wednesdays at the moment.

maverick1993 9th August 2005 08:58 PM

Doomben
*AintSeenNothin,,racing well..good run last start ..should of challenged the smart Winegrove ...good jockey....confident..
*Picaduke..ran well last start..battled on..nicely bred....has the inside again and scope for improvement...wont take anything to short..
*Red Pill....been a good horse for me...well placed here after taking on way harder races..not much to beat here ..
*Arrowsweep...has raced some good races against way better than this lot..scratched from Sat for this race....has weight but the good barrier and jock to offset it..

Sydney
*Bombastic..lot to like about his last win..could be something
*Blue Lyric..should be 50's ..good e/w chance though..form jock and fit..
*Dabke Dancer...gets the right distance here..could shock the toppy.
Strathalbyn
*Queen Catherine...shocking barrier but has ability this horse..good jock ..e/w
*Enter The Sandman..good strong win last start..will be improved..
*Cellay...doesnt win much.but last few runs have been good..big chance..
*Royal Opaque..made a mile of ground last start...rough show..
Melbourne
*Snappy Tom....deserves a win..been strong but found others better ...beauty world might be alittle flat ..wheres as Snappy is peaking..
*Blue Ribbons..has the blinkers..dont know what the deal is about this horse..starts short all the time..never does anything..must have something though...keep an eye on it..
*Elmatilla...just doesnt run a bad race..Moor is in form..good chance here..
*Tasman Trader..will need luck but will be flying home..Moor again..
Belmont
*City Of Ruins...huge run last start...confident..

Have alot of selections here..this is my short list.. the odds and conditions
will narrow it down..looking for value tomorrow ..Confident about most of them..especially Brissie
never confident in Melbourne though..and adealide where i'm hoping for real good odds as the barrier draws arent helping ..
Dont forget Lair ,running again tomorrow...might be short the poor thing...but has to win ..keeps atleast placing for me so i'll be supporting him again..

good luck Guys :)

Sportz 10th August 2005 11:07 AM

Not nearly as confident as I was last Wednesday. Anyway, here's some thoughts:

SR3-2 Have No Doubt really should be winning, as he was a top run behind the very smart Assertive Choice last start. However, the price is likely to be very short today. Maybe $1.40 or $1.50 or something, so perhaps you could prefer to play around with multiples. The recent Saturday form for SR6-1 Cross Bar around horses like Midnight City, Appalachian and Prince Frederik is outstanding for today's race. Get's 3kgs off and should be a top each way bet. Main dangers are 4 Noreil and 9 Dabke Dancer. MR6-8 Solaride is a top wet tracker with 4 wins and 2 placings from 7 starts on wet tracks. She's also in very good form with a strong win last start. Main dangers could be Princess Ali and Forest Dash.

CANTERBURY
R1-1 SWING SESSION, 7 Mary Marvel, 6 Serious Savings (1,7,6 - 4,10,3)
R3-2 HAVE NO DOUBT, 1 Follows Me, 8 King Of Hearts (2,1,8 - 5,4,3)
R4-1 PFENNIG, 2 Camden, 10 China Jade (1,2,10 - 7,5,8)
R6-1 CROSS BAR, 4 Noreil, 9 Dabke Dancer (1,4,9 - 2,7,8)
R7-3 STRAMOS, 6 Celtic Flash, 1 Diavolo (3,6,1 - 12,2,5,13)
SANDOWN
R4-2 WILD CLASSIC, 9 Rubijon, 10 Fastback (2,9,10 - 1,5,11)
R6-8 SOLARIDE, 1 Princess Ali, 12 Forest Dash (8,1,12 - 2,3,4)
R7-1 GHOST PARTY, 3 Bunreba, 10 Al Tharb (1,3,10 - 2,5,6,8)
DOOMBEN
R7-4 RUM DUM, 2 Abu Simbel, 13 Tsolias (2,4,13 - 8,1,3)

Svenvlad 10th August 2005 11:07 AM

Couple at Doomben today...

Race 4 - #4 Strategic Choice...has trialled well and from the good gate will be on pace.

Race 6 - #2 Naval Seal...Again, trialled well and has been to town finishing under 3 lengths from Gumnuts, good form for a race like this....

Race 7 - #13 Tsolias...Nice win 2 back, should get nice conditions here. Might be good value with Abu Simbel and Rum Dum engaged.

Good luck All

Sven

Sportz 10th August 2005 11:57 AM

Here's a few more races I might think about. Not so confident about these:

DOOMBEN
R8-4 CHASIN' TAIL, 2 A Fairy's Kiss, 1 Arrowsweep (4,2,1 - 5,7,6)
STRATHALBYN
R3-4 FIGHT SARS, 9 Sea Knight, 14 Manouvres (4,9,14 - 2,3,6,12)
R5-7 GOTTATELLYA, 3 Enter The Sandman, 2 Bellona (7,3,2 - 4,8,1,11)
R7-5 MADAM SPANK, 6 Ottobello, 9 Cellay (5,6,9 - 8,10,11)

Sportz 10th August 2005 12:15 PM

There you go, Mav. He finally won. :)

I really liked Lair today, but I didn't include him amongst my tips as I didn't want to jinx him for you. :D

Sportz 10th August 2005 12:27 PM

Hope some of you took the $12+ about King Of Hearts instead of the $1.40 about Have No Doubt. This is a good example of one horse being good value and another no value at all.

Tenacious Spirit 10th August 2005 12:37 PM

That first start win of romantic journey was pretty smart. He could be winning a few.

Sportz 10th August 2005 01:07 PM

Yeah, quite impressive.

Stix 10th August 2005 02:04 PM

Streeted Them.....
 
Not as impressive as Metallic Storm (Belmont)......

Sportz 10th August 2005 02:05 PM

Yep. Never in doubt.

Desi 10th August 2005 02:13 PM

Yes the Metal Storm horses do well out here...had a chance to purchase a Metal Storm colt (with Vern) early last year should have taken him lol...

Hopefully one of the donkeys I did purchase does well ...note Verns City of Ruins is running (ALana riding) his horses have been going great guns from all accounts so will keep you all posted regarding Western Spur and others (apparently running end of Sept) go you good thing!!!!

Tenacious Spirit 10th August 2005 02:29 PM

Not wrong there Sportz. Metallic Storm burned.

I had a shizen weeknd on the punt so i said ahh well i will take a bit of a break this week. Got a black book email, just the one runner. Don't Say Don't in the race just run at Belmont. I had backed it all prep but i said no, no i will stick to my break. The thing gets up at 15 bucks.

:(
No good on the punt, no good off it.

Sportz 10th August 2005 02:30 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
SANDOWN
R6-8 SOLARIDE, 1 Princess Ali, 12 Forest Dash (8,1,12 - 2,3,4)


I hope perhaps someone got the 8-3-2 trifecta here. Nice dividend. :)

Sportz 10th August 2005 02:34 PM

Bad luck, TS.

It's almost as if the horses know when you've backed them and when you haven't.

Stix 10th August 2005 02:42 PM

.... shoulda.... woulda.... coulda.... but didn't !!
 
Sportz

Got the exacta, didn't go the tri....!!! very very STOOPID.... as I had the 2 in the exacta !!!, still take the $68 a "few" times anyday !!

maverick1993 10th August 2005 03:43 PM

talk about a weird day..
Jumped out of the barries with Lair and Aintnothnbetter..
then a lull with Snappytom, Dabke Dancer, Elmatilla , Cellay, Red Pill all losing .
was feeling alittle downhearted after such a good start..
But along comes Arrowsweep :) woohoo ..puts me ahead for the day
with Tasman Trader, Royal Opaque and City Of ruins still left ..

would like even just one of these to win to cap a good day ..

Wasnt Lair fantastic...how good has been for me..hes never let me down ..

Agree with Romantic Journey..good win..had 3 late mails in that race..didnt know what to do..had a trifecta but missed..to hard that race..

fingers crossed ..been a good day..hard work but fun.. :)

maverick1993 10th August 2005 03:46 PM

well done Sportz..your having a cracker..wish i was on earlier to take advantage of it ..

maverick1993 10th August 2005 03:48 PM

************ 2nds again...Tasman,Snappy tom and Red Pill today ...so far .

2 more 2nds to go ;)

maverick1993 10th August 2005 03:52 PM

LMAO ....good result though

maverick1993 10th August 2005 03:53 PM

dont bet on City Of Ruins guys...he'll run 2nd for sure. :)

Stix 10th August 2005 03:59 PM

..... AGAIN !!
 
Nice divvy on Royal Opaque..... $5.30 in Vic had 1x3.... and yeta another 2nd MAV.... if you know any China Men.... you better count them to make sure you haven't run over any of them !! LOL !!

Sportz 10th August 2005 04:09 PM

Yeah, not a bad day, Mav. In all, 13 races, and I found the winner in my 3 selections in 12 of them. (9 out of 9 in the races I was most confident in) I found a number of trifectas in my tips as well. Hope someone made something out of them.

CANTERBURY
R1-1 SWING SESSION, 7 Mary Marvel $6.80, 6 Serious Savings (1,7,6 - 4,10,3)
R3-2 HAVE NO DOUBT, 1 Follows Me, 8 King Of Hearts $12.60 (2,1,8 - 5,4,3)
R4-1 PFENNIG $3.30, 2 Camden, 10 China Jade (1,2,10 - 7,5,8)
R6-1 CROSS BAR, 4 Noreil $5.40, 9 Dabke Dancer (1,4,9 - 2,7,8)
R7-3 STRAMOS, 6 Celtic Flash $6.50, 1 Diavolo (3,6,1 - 12,2,5,13)
SANDOWN
R4-2 WILD CLASSIC $3.80, 9 Rubijon, 10 Fastback (2,9,10 - 1,5,11)
R6-8 SOLARIDE $3.80, 1 Princess Ali, 12 Forest Dash (8,1,12 - 2,3,4)
R7-1 GHOST PARTY $3.50, 3 Bunreba, 10 Al Tharb (1,3,10 - 2,5,6,8)
DOOMBEN
R7-4 RUM DUM, 2 Abu Simbel $4.20, 13 Tsolias (2,4,13 - 8,1,3)

------------------------------

DOOMBEN
R8-4 CHASIN' TAIL, 2 A Fairy's Kiss, 1 Arrowsweep $4.40 (4,2,1 - 5,7,6)
STRATHALBYN
R3-4 FIGHT SARS, 9 Sea Knight $8.00, 14 Manouvres (4,9,14 - 2,3,6,12)
R5-7 GOTTATELLYA, 3 Enter The Sandman, 2 Bellona (7,3,2 - 4,8,1,11)
R7-5 MADAM SPANK, 6 Ottobello $5.70, 9 Cellay (5,6,9 - 8,10,11)

Sportz 10th August 2005 04:10 PM

Try backing them for a place, Mav. Then they'll come 4th. :D

maverick1993 10th August 2005 04:13 PM

Yep the 2nds curse again..I'm going to leave City Of Ruins alone tonight ...wont be any value anyway ..so a good chance of winning now...
I'll take the money and run ..tidy 35% profit today..a real good days work
good luck guys on City Of Ruins..
10 selections.
3 winners , 4 2nds , 3unplaced .
not bad but those 2nds of late is the difference between me going to work tomorrow and retireing .. ;)

wonder whats happening tomorrow..better get stuck in..

Sportz 10th August 2005 04:31 PM

One that I might think about tomorrow:

Wyong R1-2 Port Peru. Looked very good in a recent trial and had good form early last season. Will have to study it a bit more and look at the odds.

maverick1993 10th August 2005 11:39 PM

City Of Ruins was way unders at that price..hope you guys left it alone..every man and his dog tipped that horse..

Have a few tomorrow.

Townsville
*Gold Tsumani..good run last start ..Stanley tried to go inside and just never got a clear crack at them...liked what i saw there...harder race here but he's ready now...theres speed in this race which will suit him...so does the track,
Confident..
*Express Messenger...good horse in form..not much in this race.but might be alittle short ...

Wyong
*Ducks..this has wings at the moment..fantastic last couple of runs..Nominated for the cups so they must think something of it,,,Strategic Win looks the danger and Ducks zoomed past him last time they met..
wont be taking anything to short as the drop in distance is a querry..
*Monte Dreamer...great run last start..nothing in this race,,,confident
* Dont mind Ariante in the cup but i'd want good odds to risk the toppy..

Bendigo
*Polish Sniper ...in such good form ..might be alittle nippy the last 50m for these dour stayers....but if its a mud bath it might be be a slog fest and suit those kind of horses,,,will wait and see what the tracks like,,

Northam.
* Dont Say A Word..should of won last start...lot of speed in this race which will suit...

Possible 7 selections....been a great week so far ,,hope it continues..
will try and check out the tips on here tomorrow..

Thanks Sportz..will have a look at Port Peru ...

Good Luck Guys... :)


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