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11/7/2015
edition
Betting Horse Racing Favourites
in
Small Fields
There has been quite a lot of discussion in our forum over the years about
horse racing favourites in small fields. So we've been monitoring
horse racing favourites in small fields here. We're now looking at Saturday horse races in the three strongest horse racing cities of Melbourne, famous for the Melbourne Cup, Sydney, where the 2YO Golden Slipper Stakes grabs the horse racing headlines and
Brisbane where the Doomben 10,000 is a famous feature horse race.
Most horse races in these cities have a field size of more than seven horses, so it will be interesting to see what happens when the field size is just seven or fewer horses.
When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details
of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example
if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer
odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than
they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate
on favourites in small fields? And so on.
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Here are the results from Randwick for punters betting favourites in small horse race fields on Saturday, 20th. June, 2015.
Randwick:
Track Heavy.
R1 $85,000 2YO. Set weights and penalties.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Backstab
Result: 1st
Starting price: 2.90
Top fluctuation: $3.30
Tote dividend: $2.30
Jockey: Joshua Parr
Trainer: Gerald Ryan
R2 $85,000 3YO & UP. Rating 85. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: God's In Him
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $2.05
Top fluctuation: $2.05
Tote dividend: $1.80
Jockey: Sam Clipperton
Trainer: Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes
R3 $85,000 3YO & UP. Rating 75. Handicap.
Distance: 2600 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Mister Impatience
Result: 4th.
Starting price: $3.00
Jockey: Brodie Loy
Trainer: Michael Moroney
Winner: Soviet Courage
Starting price: $3.70
Top fluctuation: $4.20
Tote dividend: $3.20
Jockey: Glyn Schofield
Trainer: Chris Waller
R6 $85,000 3YO & UP. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Wouldn't It Be Nice
Result: 5th.
Starting price: $2.50
Jockey: Thomas Huet
Trainer: Paul Perry
Winner: Timeless Prince
Starting price: $8.00
Top fluctuation: $9.00
Tote dividend: $7.20
Jockey: Winona Costin
Trainer: Tony Newing
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This edition of Punt to Win:
Everything you need to know about horse racing betting systems
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horse racing winners with Australia's most powerful horse racing
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William
Hill Australia: Receive up to $700 in BONUS BETS!
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$200
First Bet Refund: Bet them to win - lay them to lose at Betfair!
The Professional
Punter's horse racing news
Join Ladbrokes click here- & click here for fantastic betting offers
Horse racing
form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting
system - future winners
Group 1 horse
racing results: Stradbroke Handicap & Queensland Derby - 6/6/2015
Group 1 horse
racing results: Queensland Oaks & Doomben 10,000 - 30/5/2015 & 23/5/2015
Free horse racing Top Four Ratings & betting tips membership
package!
Get those betting
odds
Betting horse
racing favourites in small fields: 13/6/2015 & 6/6/2015
Betting horse
racing favourites in small fields: 30/5/2015
Betting horse
racing favourites in small fields: 23/5/2015
Best
odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting
top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 23/5/2015
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present
Top Live Betting Odds
Horse racing and sports betting online.
Bet them to win, Lay them to lose!
Choose your own odds.
Place bets on the phone 24/7.
You
Need Top Odds
It's unlikely you'll get a high enough
strike rate backing short priced tote favourites
and poor value tote horses to make up for
big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.
If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.
It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short
priced tote favourites.
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