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31/12/2010 edition
Melbourne Cup Betting
Wager For Value
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Saturday, 4 December, 2010
We rated 14 races from Rosehill and Caulfield for seven Top Four Winners on a day where there were many unusual results, though we did manage to snare one big winner.
Here are Top Four winners with bookmaker or tote odds of $4.00 or better available. If the horse won after R4 we'll indicate with R5+, otherwise the horse won in the first four races of the day:
De Arias $19.70 at Caulfield
Head North $9.00 at Caulfield
Winning Glory $6.30 at Rosehill
Miss Octopussy $4.60 at Caulfield (R5+)
First Fours and Trifectas:
With many smallish fields and odd results it wasn't the ideal day. Here are a few possible collects:
Rosehill R5 $709.60 first four (top 5.)
Caulfield R3 $513.00 first four (top 5.)
Rosehill R3 $129.60 first four (top 4.)
Saturday, 11 December, 2010
We rated 13 races from Rosehill and Flemington for just four Top Four Winners. We got hit by six winners from around $10.00 to over $30.00 that had poor form and couldn't possibly be rated a top four chance in each of their races.
Here are Top Four winners with bookmaker or tote odds of $4.00 or better available. If the horse won after R4 we'll indicate with R5+, otherwise the horse won in the first four races of the day:
Altier $7.50 at Rosehill (R5+)
Geared Up $6.40 at Rosehill (R5+)
Avenue $4.60 at Sandown
Macedonian $4.20 at Sandown
First Fours and Trifectas:
Not the best of days, though race selection is important such as checking the odds of the rated horses and not automatically wagering in every race.
Sandown R5 $432.40 trifecta (top 5) offered some value.
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Horse racing news index
Please note:
We also provide guidelines to new members on using our betting information for first fours and trifecta betting.
In our newsletters here we have at times indicated how some first fours and trifectas could have been obtained. However on racedays some judgement and skill are needed for this.
For example the same betting method will not work each race, such as boxing selections, or taking the top horse as a standout to win. Some races will also need to be avoided because the odds are not there.
Even with good information playing trifectas and first fours is not a licence to print money. Intelligent use of the information and a lot of discipline is required.
While there can be substantial collects for relatively small outlays there can also be long runs of outs with various betting methods used.
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