31/12/2013 edition

Betting Horse Racing Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in our forum over the years about horse racing favourites in small fields. So we've been monitoring horse racing favourites in small fields here. We're now looking at Saturday horse races in the three strongest horse racing cities of Melbourne, famous for the Melbourne Cup, Sydney, where the 2YO Golden Slipper Stakes grabs the horse racing headlines and Brisbane where the Doomben 10,000 is a famous feature horse race.

Most horse races in these cities have a field size of more than seven horses, so it will be interesting to see what happens when the field size is just seven or fewer horses.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

Here are the results for punters betting favourites in small horse race fields on Saturday, 30th. November, 2013.

Rosehill: Track Dead.

R1 $85,000 3YO. Rating 74. Handicap.
Distance: 1300 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Suit
Result: 5th.
Starting price: $1.70
Jockey: Kerrin McEvoy
Trainer: Peter Snowden
Winner: Forget Maybe
Starting price: $17.00
Top fluctuation: $17.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $18.50
Jockey: Peter Robl
Trainer: Anthony Cummings

Caulfield: Track Dead R1 - R4, Good R5 - R8.

R3 $80,000 3YO. Rating 78. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: By The Grace
Result: 3rd.
Starting price: $3.80
Jockey: Michelle Payne
Trainer: Andrew Noblet
Winner: Countersnip
Starting price: $5.50
Top fluctuation: $5.50
SuperTab tote dividend: $5.30
Jockey: Daniel Moor
Trainer: Mick Price

Doomben: Track Heavy.

R2 $45,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 2200 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Poste Restante
Result: lost rider
Starting price: $2.50
Jockey: Michael Cahill
Trainer: Desleigh Forster
Winner: Raeburn
Starting price: $5.00
Top fluctuation: $5.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $4.60
Jockey: Anthony Allen
Trainer: Brian Smith

This edition of Punt to Win:
How to become a winning horse racing punter
The Free "Why didn't I back it?" huge winning odds horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Group 1 horse racing results: 7/12/2013 & 23/11/2013
Free horse racing betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields: 7/12/2013
Betting favourites in small fields: 30/11/2013
Betting favourites in small fields: 23/11/2013
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 23/11/2013
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present

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