31/12/2013 edition

Betting Horse Racing Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in our forum over the years about favourites in small fields. So we've been monitoring favourites in small fields here. We're now looking at Saturday races in the three strongest horse racing cities of Melbourne, famous for the Melbourne Cup, Sydney, where the 2YO Golden Slipper Stakes grabs the racing headlines and Brisbane where the Doomben 10,000 is a famous feature horse race.

Most races in these cities have a field size of more than seven horses, so it will be interesting to see what happens when the field size is just seven or fewer horses.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

Here are the results for punters betting favourites in small horse race fields on Saturday, 7th. December, 2013.

Randwick Kensington: Track Good.

R1 $85,000 3YO. Rating 72. Handicap.
Distance: 1550 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Sinjoren
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $3.20
Top fluctuation: $3.20
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.70
Jockey: Kerrin McEvoy
Trainer: Peter Snowden

R3 $85,000 3YO & UP. Rating 78. Handicap.
Distance: 2500 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Tenacitus
Result: 2nd.
Starting price: $3.00
Jockey: Blake Shinn
Trainer: John O'Shea
Winner: Viking Legend
Starting price: $31.00
Top fluctuation: $31.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $28.40
Jockey: Damien Thornton
Trainer: Ross Simpson & Tracey Barnes

Caulfield: Track Dead.

R1 $80,000 3YO. Rating 78. Handicap.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Lord Of The Sky
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $1.45
Top fluctuation: $1.45
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.40
Jockey: Jake Duffy
Trainer: Robbie Laing

Doomben: Track Good.

R1 $50,000 2YO. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Stroak
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $1.85
Top fluctuation: $1.95
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.60
Jockey: Michael Cahill
Trainer: Bryan Guy

R2 $45,000 Rating 90. Handicap.
Distance: 1020 metres
Number of runners: 7
Equal Favourite: Rocky King
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $3.30
Top fluctuation: $3.30
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.10
Jockey: Anthony Allen
Trainer: Tom Bourke
Equal Favourite: General Exhibit
Result: 2nd.
Starting price: $3.30
Jockey: Larry Cassidy
Trainer: Helen Page

This edition of Punt to Win:
How to become a winning horse racing punter
The Free "Why didn't I back it?" huge winning odds horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Group 1 horse racing results: 7/12/2013 & 23/11/2013
Free horse racing betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields: 7/12/2013
Betting favourites in small fields: 30/11/2013
Betting favourites in small fields: 23/11/2013
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 23/11/2013
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present

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