31/8/2013 edition

Betting Horse Racing Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in our forum over the years about favourites in small fields. So we've been monitoring favourites in small fields here. We're now looking at Saturday races in the three strongest horse racing cities of Melbourne, famous for the Melbourne Cup, Sydney, where the 2YO Golden Slipper Stakes grabs the racing headlines and Brisbane where the Doomben 10,000 is a famous feature horse race.

Most races in these cities have a field size of more than seven horses, so it will be interesting to see what happens when the field size is just seven or fewer horses.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

Here are the results for punters betting favourites in small horse race fields on Saturday, 24th. August, 2013.

Warwick Farm: Track Good.

R1 $85,000 3YO & UP. Rating 90. Handicap.
Distance: 2200 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Travolta
Result: 2nd.
Starting price: $2.70
Jockey: Tommy Berry
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Winner: Lucripetous
Starting price: $4.80
Top fluctuation: $4.80
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.80
Jockey: Nash Rawiller
Trainer: Chris Waller

R4 $175,000 3YO. Fillies. Group 2. Silver Shadow Stakes. Set weights and penalties.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Sweet Idea
Result: 2nd.
Starting price: $2.60
Jockey: Tommy Berry
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Winner: Thump
Starting price: $9.00
Top fluctuation: $11.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $8.00
Jockey: Jim Cassidy
Trainer: John P. Thompson

Moonee Valley: Track Dead R1 - R5, Good R6 - R8.

R1 $80,000 3YO. Fillies. Set weights and penalties.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Gregers
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $1.35
Top fluctuation: $1.40
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.20
Jockey: Chad Schofield
Trainer: David Hayes

Eagle Farm: Track Good.

R2 $45,000 4YO &UP. Class 6. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Pure Purrfection
Result: 2nd.
Starting price: $2.60
Jockey: Ryan Wiggins
Trainer: Tony Gollan
Winner: Bribie
Starting price: $3.80
Top fluctuation: $4.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.80
Jockey: Geoffrey Goold
Trainer: Robert Heathcote

This edition of Punt to Win:
Trifecta horse racing wagering and betting tips
The Free New Jockey horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Free horse racing betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields: 24/8/2013
Betting favourites in small fields: 17/8/2013
Betting favourites in small fields: 10/8/2013
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 10/8/2013
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present

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