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31/5/2002 edition

Horse Racing Handicapping
Betting Tips

Our horse racing forum (link in the menu on the left), is becoming very popular with punters. It is active, full of great discussion and betting tips every day. Here is some very useful advice posted on May 23 by a regular contributor, "Equine Investor".

"Here is a useful system I use for handicapping races.

Maiden
1st - three points
2nd - two points
3rd - one point

Class 1
1st - six points
2nd - four points
3rd - two points

Class 2
1st - 12 points
2nd - eight points
3rd - four points etc.

You can use this method right up to Open, Listed Races and Group Races. Run some sample results and you would be amazed how close you can get. Pick the top selection in points.

The points must only be allocated on recent last three starts and must not be used when resuming from a spell or when there is a dramatic change in track conditions....e.g. fast to slow/heavy.

Very useful when comparing horses running in say a class four race against horses going up in class and others down in class."

"Equine Investor" also gave two other handy tips:

1. "In maiden races where there is little or no exposed form, look for horses where the trainer is part owner of the horse. Often a trainer will buy shares in a horse where they consider it has some ability or bred to win. You may have to follow this horse for a few starts."

2. "When looking at place bets often you can back horses that have won by 2.5 lengths last start if they are not rising in class and they are sometimes not favourite...they start as second or third favourite. These horses have a sensational strike rate if they are not rising in class, not coming back from a spell and the track conditions and distance suit.
Happy punting. Equine Investor."

This edition of Punt to Win:
Trainer tips - insider betting
Do racecallers understand class?
Bookmaker Robbie Waterhouse Supporters Club
Horseracing handicapping betting tips
Flemington racetrack bias - your letters
Money talks - Randwick plunge horses
Money talks - Moonee Valley plunge horses
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 24/5/2002
Punt to Win index


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Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Panatani 16.70 24.50 $780
Zip Zip Aray 21.20 25.60 $440
Inkamulla 10.50 13.40 $290


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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