29/9/2012 edition

Handicapping Tips
Weight and Class

We're all used to hearing "The horse has the class," to justify why a horse handicapped with a high weight should win. Similarly we're told "It's a 54 minimum. So the horse is only six kilos above the minimum."

Those sort of comments do not show an understanding of how handicaps affect most horses. The more weight, the less class a horse will have. Give a horse enough weight and it will have no class.

In a handicap, by the time horses are handicapped with 60kg. (61kg. with the safety vest), many become very dubious betting propositions at short odds. Similarly with jumpers - 70kg. (71 with the safety vest) is a very tough proposition.

This table below shows how horses that carried 60kg. or more in a handicap and were supported in the bookmakers' betting ring market - with a bookmaker starting price of $10.00 or shorter - recently fared. (The safety vest is not included in the weight.) We have eliminated any races where more than three horses carried at least 60kg. with a starting price of $10.00 or shorter. We're updating each week. It's certainly worth looking at this information over the long term.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Betting tips wagering horses ridden by apprentice jockeys
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
The Big Four free horse racing betting system
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Group 1 horse racing results: 22/9/2012, 15/9/2012 & 8/9/2012
Free horse racing betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields: 22/9/2012 & 15/9/2012
Betting favourites in small fields: 8/9/2012
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 8/9/2012
Punt to Win index

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