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Punt to Win |
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28/6/2002 edition Horse Racing "Big odds" - are you sure? Sky Racing host before the 1500 metres Fillies and Mares Group 3 Winter Stakes at Eagle Farm: "Paris Heartbeat - big odds considering its impressive win last week." (She was showing $11.00 for the win on the local tote.) 1. The 5YO mare won a Fillies and Mares Listed race by a half length. Following that win she rose 3kg. to 59kg. 2. There were 19 runners in Saturday's race. What value odds did the Sky Racing host think the mare should have been in a field of 19 with 59kg? No Lottery Prize The Group 3 $175,000 Handicap at Eagle Farm over 2206 metres was a 20 horse raffle. Lottery Prize was the equal favourite at the short odds of $8.00. No surprise to see a horse like Captain Test win at $21.00 (up to $26.90 on the tote.) We've seen a number of queries about Wizard formguide. Excellent information for those who like to see ratings figures for each run and a heap of other stats. But the computerised assessed odds at times need to be looked at in conjunction with all the other information they provide for the race. For that race the Wizard had 11 of the runners at 500/1 including winner Captain Test and another two horses at 100/1. Periscope sunk First up since January and having only his second race start this John Hawkes trained 3YO gelding looked a good bet in an open 3YO race over 1200 metres at Moonee Valley. At around $7.50. When he broke through the barriers just before the start and galloped 200 metres if you could have got your bet off you should have. How many horses win after that happens? To top that, Darren Gauci couldn't get in and had him wide throughout from barrier eight. He started at the skinny odds of $2.60 and finished down the track. This edition of Punt to Win: You Need Top Odds It
is just about impossible to get a high enough
strike rate backing short priced tote favourites
and the poor value tote horses to make up for
the big unders on the tote. Short
priced tote favourites
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