28/5/2004 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from Saturday, May 15.

Randwick: Track Good
R1 $45,000 4YO & UP. Rest. 1Metro. Win. Handicap.
Distance: 1600 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Fastways
Result: second
Starting price: $2.90
Top fluctuation: $2.90
Jockey: Darryl McLellan
Trainer: Marc Conners
Winner: Heraklid
Starting price: $4.00
Top fluctuation: $4.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.40
Jockey: Brent Stanley
Trainer: Syd Brown

R2 $45,000 2YO. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Shilo
Result: third
Starting price: $2.70
Top fluctuation: $2.70
Jockey: Rod Quinn
Trainer: John Hawkes
Winner: Outback Prince
Starting price: $3.30
Top fluctuation: $3.30
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.80
Jockey: Jay Ford
Trainer: Anthony Cummings

R3 $45,000 3YO. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1600 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Our Jin Mah
Result: fourth
Starting price: $2.70
Top fluctuation: $2.70
Jockey: Mitchell Bell
Trainer: Patrick Webster
Winner: Fictitious Lady
Starting price: $9.50
Top fluctuation: $12.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $13.00
Jockey: Jay Ford
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse

Morphettville: Track Good
R2 $20,000 3YO Fillies. Rest. 1Metro. Win. Handicap.
Distance: 1050 metres
Number of runners: six
Favourite: Bang Goes Lang
Result: first
Starting price: $1.80
Top fluctuation: $1.80
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.80
Jockey: Chad Lever
Trainer: Stuart Gower

R3 $125,000 2YO. Group 3. Set weights.
Distance: 1600 metres
Number of runners: six
Favourite: Ulysses
Result: third
Starting price: $2.00
Top fluctuation: $2.20
Jockey: Aaron Spiteri
Trainer: Tony McEvoy
Winner: Calorific
Starting price: $26.00
Top fluctuation: $26.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $26.80
Jockey: Craig Newitt
Trainer: Michael Moroney

Here are the results from Saturday, May 8.

Rosehill: Track Good
R2 $50,000 3YO. Colts & Geldings. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: six
Favourite: Hipwell
Result: sixth
Starting price: $2.90
Top fluctuation: $3.20
Jockey: Mitchell Bell
Trainer: Neil Godbolt
Winner: Sunset Run
Starting price: $7.50
Top fluctuation: $8.50
SuperTab tote dividend: $7.00
Jockey: Larry Cassidy
Trainer: Graeme Rogerson

R3 $50,000 2YO. Colts & Geldings. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Brains Trust
Result: second
Starting price: $1.90
Top fluctuation: $2.00
Jockey: Darryl McLellan
Trainer: Clarry Conners
Winner: Impunity
Starting price: $41.00
Top fluctuation: $41.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $22.60
Jockey: Danny Beasley
Trainer: Jack Denham

R5 $70,000 3YO and upward. Listed. Handicap.
Distance: 2400 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: National Treasure
Result: fifth
Starting price: $3.60
Top fluctuation: $3.60
Jockey: Danny Beasley
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Winner: Stoway
Starting price: $6.00
Top fluctuation: $6.50
SuperTab tote dividend: $7.00
Jockey: Darryl McLellan
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse

Morphettville: Track Good
R1 $20,000 3YO and upward. Rst. 2 Met. Win-ly. Handicap.
Distance: 2530 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Jeune's Reign
Result: second
Starting price: $2.10
Top fluctuation: $2.10
Jockey: Dwayne Dunn
Trainer: Tony McEvoy
Winner: C'mon Mate
Starting price: $6.00
Top fluctuation: $7.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $5.10
Jockey: Luke Currie
Trainer: Bevan Laming

This edition of Punt to Win:
Brisbane winter carnival betting tips
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields, 22 May, 2004
Betting favourites in small fields, 15 May, 2004
Money talks - Rosehill, Sandown, betting tips from the track
Money talks - betting tips from the track, 15 May, 2004
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 7/5/2004
Punt to Win index

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