27/8/2004 edition

Gai Waterhouse

Betting Gai Waterhouse trained "good things"

Punters need to be very wary when betting Gai Waterhouse trained horses that are short priced favourites. Have a look at how the two Gai Waterhouse trained "good things" went last Saturday at Warwick Farm.

Dance Hero:
$1.75 favourite in a $150,000 3YO Colts & Geldings Group 2 set weights race.
Finished fourth of the four runners, beaten by over four lengths.

Wager:
Heavily backed $2.60 favourite in a $150,000 3YO Fillies Group 2 set weights race.
Led coming into the straight, was given every chance and finished second.

Gai Waterhouse trained "good things" on Saturdays are heavily talked up in the racing media, with just about every tipster saying they "should win". That means they are usually well below their true winning odds.

We suggest you have a look over a period of time and see how Gai Waterhouse trained "good things" go. Then decide whether there is too big a risk of form reversals or things going wrong - bad luck - for Gai Waterhouse trained "good things" to be worthwhile bets.

Alinghi - brilliant win
What an outstanding first up win at Caulfield last Saturday. The champion Lee Freedman trained filly was slow to begin, was well back last on the home turn badly held up, had to shift out wide to get a run and then stormed home over the top of the 12 other fillies. Alinghi looks set for a huge Spring Carnival.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Betting Gai Waterhouse trained "good things"
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Warwick Farm, Caulfield betting tips from the track
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 20/8/2004
Punt to Win index

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