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27/6/2009
edition
Win Betting
Horse Racing Favourites
Do horse racing favourites win when the money is on? Do favourites lose when they ease in the betting? Are favourites more successful over longer distances than 1000 metres? Do favourites lose on wet tracks? Do favourites lose when first up from a spell? Are horse racing favourites worse bets in large fields?
These questions and more will be answered on a regular basis as we update the results of horse racing favourites on
a regular basis.
We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Melbourne. These results over the long term should be comparable with results of Sydney, Brisbane, Perth and Adelaide races on Saturdays.
Here are the horse racing favourites' results from the meeting held at Flemington horse racing track on Saturday, 6th. June, 2009.
Flemington
Track: Good
Rail: Out 6 metres.
Penetrometer: 4.67
R1 $70,000 2YO Fillies. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: 11
Favourite: Gibralter Moon
Days since last start: 17
Distance last start: 1000
Result last start: 1-9
Result this start: 1st.
Starting price: $3.30
Top fluctuation: $3.30
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.50
Jockey: Ibrahim Gundogdu
Trainer: Lee Freedman
R2 $75,000 3YO Fillies. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: 8
Favourite: Status Symbol
Days since last start: 6
Distance last start: 1300
Result last start: 2-10
Result this start: 4th.
Starting price: $3.80
Top fluctuation: $4.60
SuperTab tote dividend: ---
Jockey: Ben Melham
Trainer: Ken Keys
R3 $70,000 2YO. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: 12
Equal Favourite: Kidnapped
Days since last start: 10
Distance last start: 1400
Result last start: 3-12
Result this start: 1st.
Starting price: $4.60
Top fluctuation: $5.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $5.10
Jockey: Mark Zahra
Trainer: Peter Snowden
Equal Favourite: Ocean Dream
Days since last start: 14
Distance last start: 1200
Result last start: 5-10
Result this start: 6th.
Starting price: $4.60
Top fluctuation: $5.50
SuperTab tote dividend: ---
Jockey: Aaron Spiteri
Trainer: Peter G. Moody
R4 $75,000 3YO. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 2000 metres
Number of runners: 11
Favourite: Awimoweh
Days since last start: 14
Distance last start: 2000
Result last start: 2-15
Result this start: 3rd.
Starting price: $3.60
Top fluctuation: $3.60
SuperTab tote dividend: ---
Jockey: Dean Holland
Trainer: Robbie Laing
R5 $100,000 3YO. Listed. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 9
Favourite: Glam Slam
Days since last start: 7
Distance last start: 1200
Result last start: 2-9
Result this start: 1st.
Starting price: $4.60
Top fluctuation: $5.50
SuperTab tote dividend: $4.50
Jockey: Stephen Baster
Trainer: Danny O'Brien
R6 $75,000 3YO and upward. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: 14
Favourite: Testimonial
Days since last start: 17
Distance last start: 1300
Result last start: 3-9
Result this start: 12th.
Starting price: $4.60
Top fluctuation: $4.60
SuperTab tote dividend: ---
Jockey: Mark Zahra
Trainer: Peter Snowden
R7 $75,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1700 metres
Number of runners: 11
Favourite: Makeadreamcometrue
Days since last start: 14
Distance last start: 1600
Result last start: 1-6
Result this start: 1st.
Starting price: $1.90
Top fluctuation: $2.05
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.00
Jockey: Mark Zahra
Trainer: Robert Smerdon
R8 $75,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 2000 metres
Number of runners: 9
Favourite: Moment In Time
Days since last start: 14
Distance last start: 1600
Result last start: 2-7
Result this start: 4th.
Starting price: $2.45
Top fluctuation: $2.50
SuperTab tote dividend: ---
Jockey: Ibrahim Gundogdu
Trainer: Mick Huxtable
Comments:
A big winning day for favourites' punters with four favourites finishing first. Two of the winning favourites won their previous start; the other two were placed. Of the favourites that did not win, in R3 Ocean Dream ran unplaced at its previous start.
This edition of Punt to Win:
Making money betting wide barrier horses
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Special offer: Free racing betting package membership!
Free sports betting packages
Get those betting odds
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 20/6/2009
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 13/6/2009
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 6/6/2009
The New Jockey horse racing betting system
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small fields: 20/6/2009
Betting favourites in small fields: 13/6/2009 & 6/6/2009
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 6/6/2009
Punt to Win index
You
Need Top Odds
It's unlikely you'll get a high enough
strike rate backing short priced tote favourites
and poor value tote horses to make up for
big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.
If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.
It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short
priced tote favourites.
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