27/1/2007 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from Saturday, 20th. January.

Randwick: Track Good

R1 $65,000 2YO. 3YO Fillies. Class 3. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Royal Lineup
Result: first
Starting price: $1.65
Top fluctuation: $1.65
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.60
Jockey: Darren Beadman
Trainer: John Hawkes

R2 $65,000 3YO and upward. Welter. Handicap.
Distance: 1600 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Mystery City
Result: first
Starting price: $3.30
Top fluctuation: $3.30
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.90
Jockey: Chris Munce
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse

R5 $65,000 3YO and upward. Fillies & Mares. 0 - 93 Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: six
Favourite: Tin Pan
Result: first
Starting price: $3.10
Top fluctuation: $3.30
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.30
Jockey: Darren Beadman
Trainer: John Hawkes

Sandown Lakeside: Track Good

R1 $45,000 2YO. Open. Set weights with penalties.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: five
Favourite: Chinamora
Result: fourth
Starting price: $1.75
Top fluctuation: $1.80
Jockey: Craig Williams
Trainer: David Hayes
Winner: Diplomatic Force
Starting price: $9.00
Top fluctuation: $9.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $10.50
Jockey: Jason Benbow
Trainer: Wayne Nichols

Victoria Park: Track Dead R1 - R4; Slow R5 - R8

R1 $15,000 3YO. Class 1. Handicap.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Blackstone Rose
Result: first
Starting price: $2.25
Top fluctuation: $2.25
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.30
Jockey: Dwayne Dunn
Trainer: David Jolly

R3 $30,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: six
Favourite: Allstar
Result: fifth
Starting price: $3.70
Top fluctuation: $3.70
Jockey: Troy Baker
Trainer: Paul Seater
Winner: Dollydeva
Starting price: $5.00
Top fluctuation: $6.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $5.30
Jockey: Clare Lindop
Trainer: Andrew Gluyas

R6 $20,000 3YO and upward. Rs2ly. Handicap.
Distance: 1250 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Chilli Stoush
Result: first
Starting price: $2.80
Top fluctuation: $2.80
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.10
Jockey: Dean Holland
Trainer: Dion Koch

This edition of Punt to Win:
Be a winning punter
The best horse racing tipping service on the internet
Get those betting odds
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small fields
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting tips from the track: Randwick & Sandown Lakeside
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 20/1/2007
Punt to Win index

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