26/9/2003 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from Saturday, September 20.

Rosehill: Track Good
R1 $50,000 4YO and upwards. Open. Handicap
Distance: 2000 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Kingston Classic
Result: third
Winning/losing margin: 1.9 lengths
Starting price: $3.40
Top fluctation: $3.50
Jockey: Lenny Beasley
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Winner: Fawaz
Winning margin: nose
Starting price: $12.00
Top fluctation: $12.00
Tote dividends' range: $14.20 - $15.80
Jockey: Jim Cassidy
Trainer: Graeme Rogerson

R3 $120,000 3YO Listed. Set weights.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Hasna
Result: first
Winning/losing margin: 2 lengths
Starting price: $1.55
Top fluctation: $1.60
Tote dividends' range: $1.50 - $1.60
Jockey: Lenny Beasley
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse

R5 $140,000 Weight for Age.
Distance: 1900 metres
Number of runners: five
Favourite: Platinum Scissors
Result: second
Winning/losing margin: long head
Starting price: $2.60
Top fluctation: $2.80
Jockey: Chris Munce
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Winner: Excellerator
Winning margin: long head
Starting price: $3.10
Top fluctation: $3.30
Tote dividends' range: $3.10 - $3.20
Jockey: Jim Cassidy
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse

Sandown Hillside: Track Good
R1 $25,000 Hurdle (10 hurdles)
Distance: 3100 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: King Laka
Result: fourth
Winning/losing margin: 2.8 lengths
Starting price: $2.70
Top fluctation: $2.90
Jockey: Craig Durden
Trainer: Frances Houlahan
Winner: Mollo Mollo
Winning margin: nose
Starting price: $4.20
Top fluctation: $4.20
Tote dividends' range: $3.80 - $3.90
Jockey: Wayne Smith
Trainer: Barry Barnes
Continued next page

This edition of Punt to Win:
Horseracing betting tips
Spring Carnival horses - good runs, good betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Rosehill, Sandown betting tips from the track
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 19/9/2003
Punt to Win index

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