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26/9/2003
edition
Horse Racing
Betting Tips
Here are plenty of useful betting tips we have taken from
the forum thread "Share Your Info" at http://www.propun.com.au/forums/viewtopic.php?topic=4269&forum=2&17
Thanks to the contributors:
Don't bet horses that have a series of failures. Don't look
for reversals from this.
Good horses fresh and a reasonable price.
Most horses probably only have one or two good seasons. The further away
from that good season the less likely the horse is to win.
(Betting tips from topsy99.)
I look for the horse that have done well recently but might
have finished out of a place last start and therefor be at decent odds.
Young horses have the freshest legs.
(Betting tips from Dale.)
Don't chase the big odds runners unless you know what you
are doing.
Don't dismiss short odds chances - there is more "value" there than you
think.
In my experience it takes a lot less work (and a lot less stress) to make
a profit out of horses under $3.00 than the ones over that price! It certainly
is possible to make money out of the longer odds horses - but I have found
it much easier and less stressful to concentrate on the favourites. You
still need to do your analysis and work but it is easier to find the value.
Also a 60% strike rate is better for the heart than a 15% strike rate!
Never rely on a loss chasing staking plan to make a profit.
Unless you have insider information (direct from a stable,
not from some joker on Sky Racing!) then you have to assume that the market
as a whole has much better information than you as an individual so if
the market is pricing your selection at double your price then the market
probably knows something you don't!
Making a profit out of horse racing takes a lot of time and work - if
you aren't willing to put the work in then either accept that you will
probably lose money or only break even OR don't bet at all! (Alternatively
pay someone to do the work for you BUT be very careful about who you pay!)
And above all remember: "Be careful whose advice you buy, but be patient
with those who supply it. Advice is a form of nostalgia. Dispensing it
is a way of fishing the past from the disposal, wiping it off, painting
over the ugly parts and recycling it for more than it's worth." Mary Schmich
- from the song Everybody's Free to Wear Sunscreen (some very good advice
in that song!)
(Betting tips from becareful.)
Continued
next page
This edition of Punt to Win:
Horse Racing
betting tips
Spring Carnival horses - good runs, good betting odds
Betting
favourites in small fields
Money
talks - Rosehill, Sandown betting tips from the track
Handicapping
tips - weight and class
Future
winners - unlucky horses
Punt
to Win 19/9/2003
Punt to Win
index
Betting
packages
Back Tote Longshots?
Horse
|
Get
these prices? |
Or
these prices!! |
Extra
Profit $100 bet |
Grumans |
15.40 |
36.80 |
$2140 |
Touchy
Subject |
22.50 |
35.80 |
$1430 |
Rupanyup |
12.30 |
22.80 |
$1050 |
Proudly
Aggro |
29.40 |
38.90 |
$950 |
Silver
Canon |
30.90 |
39.90 |
$900 |
Sure
Bet |
15.50 |
23.90 |
$840 |
Starbucks |
11.80 |
20.10 |
$830 |
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