26/7/2002 edition

Beat the Favourite

Here are some comments about beaten favourites from last Saturday at Rosehill. If you can succesfully identify poor value favourites, then it is possible to make money backing against them. You may even consider a field versus favourite bet.

Labasa (4YO and UP H & Gs. S/C 1 win-ly. Handicap. 1400 metres.)
SP $3.50. 12 runners.
Maybe so short because Darren Beadman, chasing the Sydney jockey's premiership had the ride. The 5YO gelding was having its ninth run this campaign. Winning strike rate nothing special - only six wins from 34 starts.

Coablo (4YO and UP Mares. Open. Handicap. 1300 metres.)
SP $3.40. 12 runners.
Maybe so short because Corey Brown, chasing the Sydney jockey's premiership had the ride. This 4YO mare has proved to be a non winner and deceiver - only two wins from 20 starts. She won her last start. It might be expecting a bit much for her to put two wins together in a row. For a backmarker back in distance from 1400 metres 10 days earlier to 1300 metres was no help.

Laguna Lake (S/C 1 win-ly. Handicap. 1900 metres.)
SP $3.50. 12 runners.
A lightly raced 4YO mare, with one win and four seconds from eight starts. She was fit after two runs in and looked well placed, had a good barrier, (three), and Jim Cassidy to ride. The odds were simply too short, considering the realistic winning chances for a number of other runners. The four seconds could also be a concern and indicate a problem about her actually getting strongly to the line. She finished second again.
Continued next page

This edition of Punt to Win:
Hype horses - no value odds
Make money - beat poor betting odds favourites
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Rosehill plunge horses
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 19/7/2002
Punt to Win index

Betting packages

Back Tote Longshots?

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