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26/6/2010
edition
Win Betting
Horse Racing Favourites
Do horse racing favourites win when the money is on? Do favourites lose when they ease in the betting? Are favourites more successful over longer distances than 1000 metres? Do favourites lose on wet tracks? Do favourites lose when first up from a spell? Are horse racing favourites worse bets in large fields?
These questions and more will be answered on a regular basis as we update the results of horse racing favourites on
a regular basis.
We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Melbourne. These results over the long term should be comparable with results of Sydney, Brisbane, Perth and Adelaide races on Saturdays.
Here are the results from the horse racing meeting held at Sandown Lakeside horse racing track on Saturday, 19th. June, 2010.
Sandown Lakeside
Track: Heavy.
Rail: True position.
Penetrometer: 6.41
R1 $70,000 3YO. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: 8
Favourite: Conquering Journey
Days since last start: 17
Distance last start: 1200
Result last start: 1-11
Result this start: 1st.
Starting price: $3.20
Top fluctuation: $3.20
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.90
Jockey: Dwayne Dunn
Trainer: Peter G. Moody
R2 $70,000 2YO. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 9
Favourite: Trudeau
Days since last start: 19
Distance last start: 1200
Result last start: 1-9
Result this start: 3rd.
Starting price: $2.10
Top fluctuation: $2.10
SuperTab tote dividend: ---
Jockey: Jason Maskiell
Trainer: Lee Freedman
R3 $100,000 The Australian Steeplechase. Handicap.
Distance: 3900 metres
Number of runners: 9
Favourite: Mazzacano
Days since last start: 14
Distance last start: 2500
Result last start: 14-15
Result this start: Pulled up.
Starting price: $3.50
Top fluctuation: $3.60
SuperTab tote dividend: ---
Jockey: Steven Pateman
Trainer: Robbie Laing
R4 $100,000 The Australian Hurdle. Handicap.
Distance: 3400 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Black And Bent
Days since last start: 14
Distance last start: 2500
Result last start: 1-15
Result this start: 1st.
Starting price: $1.75
Top fluctuation: $1.80
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.70
Jockey: Steven Pateman
Trainer: Robert Smerdon
R5 $70,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 2400 metres
Number of runners: 10
Equal Favourite: Oak Heart
Days since last start: 14
Distance last start: 2500
Result last start: 4-15
Result this start: 1st.
Starting price: $4.20
Top fluctuation: $4.20
SuperTab tote dividend: $4.00
Jockey: Steven King
Trainer: Darren Weir
Equal Favourite: Rowland
Days since last start: 10
Distance last start: 2400
Result last start: 1-5
Result this start: 3rd.
Starting price: $4.20
Top fluctuation: $5.00
SuperTab tote dividend: ---
Jockey: Jake Noonan
Trainer: Robbie Laing
R6 $70,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 9
Favourite: Arch Symbol
Days since last start: 14
Distance last start: 1200
Result last start: 4-9
Result this start: 5th.
Starting price: $4.20
Top fluctuation: $4.20
SuperTab tote dividend: ---
Jockey: Jake Noonan
Trainer: Bill & Symon Wilde
R7 $70,000 Mares. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: 10
Favourite: Ghostmilk
Days since last start: 10
Distance last start: 1400
Result last start: 1-11
Result this start: 1st.
Starting price: $1.80
Top fluctuation: $2.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.70
Jockey: Taylor Lovelock-Wiggins
Trainer: Peter G. Moody
R8 $70,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1600 metres
Number of runners: 10
Favourite: Jungle Ruler
Days since last start: 7
Distance last start: 1400
Result last start: 1-10
Result this start: 2nd.
Starting price: $2.40
Top fluctuation: $2.60
SuperTab tote dividend: ---
Jockey: Darren Gauci
Trainer: Peter White
Comments:
Favourites punters had a winning day with four winners from the nine favourites. Three of the winning favourites were last start winners, while in R4 winning equal favourite Oak Heart finished fourth at its last start. One other favourite, Arch Symbol in R6, also finished fourth at its previous start. On Saturday Arch Symbol finished fifth. In R3 Mazzacano was the favourite in The Australian Steeplechase following finishing well down the track over the flat two weeks earlier. Mazzacano ran a poor race and was pulled up. Contrast to Black And Bent, the favourite in The Australian Hurdle after winning over the flat two weeks earlier. Black And Bent won again.
This edition of Punt to Win:
Dobbin's Golden Treasure Chest horse racing betting software scam
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
The Tipster Longshot horse racing betting system
Horse racing betting facts, tips & odds
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Free horse racing betting tips package membership!
Free sports betting package
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 19/6/2010
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 12/6/2010
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 5/6/2010
Get those betting odds
Future winners - unlucky horses
Betting favourites in small fields: 19/6/2010
Betting favourites in small fields: 12/6/2010
Betting favourites in small fields: 5/6/2010
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Punt to Win 5/6/2010
Punt to Win index
You
Need Top Odds
It's unlikely you'll get a high enough
strike rate backing short priced tote favourites
and poor value tote horses to make up for
big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.
If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.
It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short
priced tote favourites.
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