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26/1/2001 edition
How to Bet Trifectas
It is possible to make money playing trifectas. But you need:
1. Good information.
2. To play smart.
Totes take much more money out of trifecta pools than they do for the win
pools as the dollar trifecta dividends are higher than win dividends.
Because trifecta payouts are a significantly smaller percentage payout of the
tote pool compared to tote win payouts you have to go for value.
1.You must play trifectas differently to the rest of the tote punters.
2.You must never box short priced favourites.
3.You must avoid having poor value combinations.
4.Long term it is better to miss out on the occasional collect than
include poor value combinations in your trifectas.
Here is an example of how to play trifectas in practice.
Here are the horses and their tote prices for the third race at Eagle
Farm last Saturday.
|
TAB Number
|
Tote Price
|
TAB Number
|
Tote Price
|
| 1 |
1.90 |
7 |
51.70 |
| 2 |
3.30 |
8 |
20.60 |
| 3 |
16.60 |
9 |
105.00 |
| 4 |
22.60 |
10 |
19.50 |
| 5 |
11.10 |
11 |
78.70 |
| 6 |
38.20 |
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Our ratings in order for the race were:
1 2 4 5 8 10
Quite clearly it is seen as a two horse race by tote punters. There is no
value taking 1 to win in any realistic combination with 2. Just about every tote
punter will have 1 and 2 boxed. Using the ratings the only possible chance of
obtaining any value by taking 1 to win is 1 x 4, 5, 8, 10 x 4, 5, 8, 10. With
dollar units it will cost $12 or $6 with 50 cents units. However as too many
punters will have taken 1 as their trifecta standout to win, the odds are you
will still get poor value. Probably better to leave it alone.
However taking 2 to win in a 2 x 4, 5, 8, 10 x 4, 5, 8, 10 trifecta makes
a lot of sense. At only $12 for dollar units it promises a payout way over the
odds should the popular, odds on favourite, number 1 fail to run a place.
You might also consider taking third rated 4 to win because it is $22.60!! Use
the combinations of 4 x 2, 5, 8, 10 x 2, 5, 8, 10. If you want to take 1 for
third do so but take a separate trifecta 4 x 5, 8, 10, x 1. Do not waste your
money having a combination of 4 x 2 x 1. There is no value having a $3.30 horse
for second with a $1.90 horse for third.
The result of the race:
2 - 8 - 4
The trifecta paid $671 on the New South Wales tote.
Combining our ratings with intelligent punting and a big collect for a small
outlay was possible. It means you can have many outs and still finish
in front. That's what punting is all about.
Have good information and bet smart.
Number one was our top rated horse because it had the best chances of
winning. But at $1.90 we would never recommend any of our members back it for
the win. It simply offered no value. You either back against it or leave the
race alone. You either take trifecta combinations against it or leave the race
alone.
Some of the best value trifectas for punters are when odds on tote favourites
fail to run a place. So I know what I'd be doing. What about you?
Next: Punt
to Win 19/1/2001
Copyright ©1998-present. OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights
reserved.
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