25/6/2004 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from last Saturday, June 19.

Rosehill: Track Good
R5 $70,000 3YO and upward. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Dane Fever
Result: fifth
Starting price: $2.80
Top fluctuation: $3.20
Jockey: Darren Beadman
Trainer: John Hawkes
Winner: Santissima
Starting price: $12.00
Top fluctuation: $12.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $7.70
Jockey: Todd Pannell
Trainer: John Hawkes

Ipswich: Track Good
R4 $50,000 3YO Open. Handicap..
Distance: 1350 metres
Number of runners: six
Favourite: Power And Gold
Result: first
Starting price: $1.65
Top fluctuation: $1.80
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.70
Jockey: Jim Byrne
Trainer: Maryann Brosnan

Cheltenham: Track Slow
R3 $24,000 3YO Open. Handicap..
Distance: 1258 metres
Number of runners: six
Favourite: Tulum
Result: second
Starting price: $2.70
Top fluctuation: $2.80
Jockey: Paul Gatt
Trainer: Richard Jolly
Winner: Navy Shaker
Starting price: $3.20
Top fluctuation: $4.20
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.20
Jockey: Dwayne Dunn
Trainer: Gordon Richards

R4 $20,000 Rs2mw. Handicap..
Distance: 1808 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Ista Kareem
Result: first
Starting price: $1.90
Top fluctuation: $2.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.00
Jockey: Holly McKechnie
Trainer: Jeremy Gask

R6 $26,000 Open. Handicap..
Distance: 1808 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: None For The Road
Result: fifth
Starting price: $3.20
Top fluctuation: $3.80
Jockey: Chris Bryant
Trainer: Kim Harrison
Winner: Running Game
Starting price: $4.60
Top fluctuation: $4.60
SuperTab tote dividend: $5.20
Jockey: Joe Bowditch
Trainer: Gary Kennewell

This edition of Punt to Win:
Betting tips and strategies - Sandown Hillside Heavy track
Betting tips and strategies - false favourites and short odds
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Rosehill, Sandown Hillside betting tips from the track
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 18/6/2004
Punt to Win index

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