25/4/2009 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

Here are the horse racing results from Saturday, 18th. April, 2009, the day the $2,000,000 Group 1 Doncaster Handicap was run at Randwick horse racing track.

Randwick: Track Dead

R2 $125,000 3YO. Group 3. Set weights with penalties.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Fravashi
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $3.00
Top fluctuation: $3.40
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.30
Jockey: Kerrin McEvoy
Trainer: Peter Snowden

R6 $500,000 Group 1. Weight for Age.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Apache Cat
Result: 3rd.
Starting price: $3.00
Jockey: Damien Oliver
Trainer: Greg Eurell
Winner: Takeover Target
Starting price: $5.50
Top fluctuation: $6.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $5.00
Jockey: Nash Rawiller
Trainer: Joe Janiak

Flemington: Track R1-2 Dead, R3-8 Good.

R1 $75,000 2YO Fillies. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Europa Point
Result: 5th.
Starting price: $3.00
Jockey: Jarrad Noske
Trainer: Lee Freedman
Winner: Absolute Faith
Starting price: $5.50
Top fluctuation: $5.50
SuperTab tote dividend: $7.10
Jockey: Logan McGill
Trainer: John McArdle

R3 $75,000 2YO Fillies. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1600 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Marveen
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $2.70
Top fluctuation: $2.70
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.20
Jockey: Ibrahim Gundogdu
Trainer: Robert Smerdon

Morphettville: Track R1-2 Dead, R3-8 Good.

R1 $25,500 2YO. Rs1mw. Handicap.
Distance: 1100 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Gibraltar Moon
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $2.50
Top fluctuation: $2.50
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.20
Jockey: Dwayne Dunn
Trainer: Lee Freedman

R3 $25,500 Fillies & Mares. Rst94. Handicap.
Distance: 1100 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Queen's Kiss
Result: 6th.
Starting price: $3.00
Jockey: Simon Price
Trainer: Mark Kavanagh
Winner: Macchia
Starting price: $5.50
Top fluctuation: $5.50
SuperTab tote dividend: $11.10
Jockey: Dwayne Dunn
Trainer: David Baylis

There were no horse racing fields of seven or fewer runners on Saturday, 11th. April.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Wet track horse racing betting tips
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Special offer: Free racing betting package membership!
Free sports betting packages
Get those betting odds
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 18/4/2009
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 11/4/2009
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 4/4/2009
The "Why Didn't I Back It" Massive Winning Odds horse racing betting system
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small fields: Doncaster Handicap Day - 18/4/2009
Betting favourites in small fields: Golden Slipper Day - 4/4/2009
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 4/4/2009
Punt to Win index

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