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24/10/2003 edition

Gai Waterhouse's Caulfield Cup Day

Gai Waterhouse had three runners in the Caulfield Cup field of 18. Here are the results.

Platinum Scissors
Starting price $13.00
Finish 13th.

Grand Armee
Starting price $15.00
Finish 16th.

Sunday Joy
Starting price $41.00
Finish 18th.

You can't do much worse than that. The previous Wednesday in the $500,000 Group 1 Thousand Guineas 3YO filly Shamekha was sent out at $5.00, raced erratically, weakened and finished tenth of the 11 runners. The filly was found to be suffering from thumps, but that's hardly any comfort to all the punters who backed the filly only to be beaten out of sight.

Gai Waterhouse may have an outstanding strike rate in Sydney, but when she brings horses to Melbourne there has just been one flop after another. She seems to be reduced from a super trainer in Sydney to the ranks of a battling trainer in Melbourne and most of her horses race accordingly.

Gai Waterhouse did have one very big hard luck story on Saturday. In the Group 3 Coongy Handicap her $6.00 second favourite So Assertive looked like it would have won with a clear run in the straight. But then there were also numerous other hard luck stories in that race like C'Est Le Reve, Irish Crusader and the $5.00 favourite, Legible.

Until Gai Waterhouse shows she can bring horses to Melbourne for Carnival racing and start winning with some reasonable level of consistency it is probably best to steer well clear of her horses. Murphy's Law seems to apply when Gai Waterhouse brings horses to Melbourne. Whatever can go wrong usually does go wrong.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Caulfield Cup Day/Melbourne Cup betting tips
Gai Waterhouse and Caulfield Cup Day
Betting tips and gambling strategy
Spring Carnival horses - good runs, good betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Randwick, Caulfield betting tips from the track
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 17/10/2003
Punt to Win index

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Horse

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Grumans 15.40 36.80 $2140
Touchy Subject 22.50 35.80 $1430
Rupanyup 12.30 22.80 $1050
Proudly Aggro 29.40 38.90 $950
Silver Canon 30.90 39.90 $900
Sure Bet 15.50 23.90 $840
Starbucks 11.80 20.10 $830

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