24/6/2006 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from Saturday, 17th. June.

Cheltenham: Track Good

R2 $24,000 3YO Fillies. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1410 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: One Of A Kind
Result: fifth
Starting price: $3.40
Top fluctuation: $1.70
Jockey: Jason Lyon
Trainer: Richard Jolly
Winner: Zerprisal
Starting price: $4.00
Top fluctuation: $4.20
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.50
Jockey: Shayne Cahill
Trainer: Mick Huxtable

Here are the results from Saturday, 10th. June.

Randwick: Track Heavy

R1 $55,000 2YO. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: six
Favourite: Ulladulla
Result: third
Starting price: $1.70
Top fluctuation: $1.70
Jockey: Larry Cassidy
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Winner: Shy Baldy
Starting price: $11.00
Top fluctuation: $13.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $11.80
Jockey: Andrew Gibbons
Trainer: Charlie Porter

R2 $55,000 3YO and upward. Class 6. Handicap.
Distance: 2400 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Mr Collins
Result: first
Starting price: $2.70
Top fluctuation: $2.70
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.40
Jockey: James Innes
Trainer: Paul Cave

Flemington: Track Slow

R2 $100,000 3YO. Listed. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: seven
Equal Favourite: Town Of Dragon
Result: fourth
Starting price: $3.70
Top fluctuation: $5.00
Jockey: Steven Arnold
Trainer: Danny O'Brien
Equal Favourite: Jennings
Result: fifth
Starting price: $3.70
Top fluctuation: $3.70
Jockey: Greg Childs
Trainer: Michael Moroney
Winner: Examination
Starting price: $71.00
Top fluctuation: $71.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $88.10
Jockey: Dale Chipman
Trainer: Tom Hughes

Morphettville: Track Good

R2 $22,000 2YO. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1050 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Idalou
Result: first
Starting price: $1.60
Top fluctuation: $1.60
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.60
Jockey: Jason Lyon
Trainer: Trevor Dansie

R4 $20,000 Class 6. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Hezabout
Result: second
Starting price: $3.00
Top fluctuation: $3.50
Jockey: David Tootell
Trainer: Trevour Simounds
Winner: Subella
Starting price: $3.20
Top fluctuation: $3.20
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.90
Jockey: Shayne Cahill
Trainer: Stuart Gower

This edition of Punt to Win:
Make money betting horses at double figure dollar odds
The best horse racing tipping service on the internet
Get those betting odds
The Track and Distance Specialists horse racing betting system
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small fields
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting tips from the track: 17/6/2006 - Rosehill & Sandown Hillside
Betting tips from the track: 10/6/2006 - Randwick & Flemington
Racing results for horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 10/6/2006
Punt to Win index

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