Punt to Win |
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23/8/2002 edition Spring Carnival Before Too Long - no luck Rubitano - good odds too? Rubitano had effortlessly won both races this campaign. He also had an outstanding win strike rate with nine wins from only 12 races, including the Group 1 Newmarket Handicap at Flemington in March this year. Like Bel Esprit, there were public doubts about Rubitano's ability to handle the rain affected track at Moonee Valley. That did not deter punters who took the "amazing" odds of $2.00. They saw Rubitano, who started at odds on $1.90, go from sharing the lead rounding the home turn to finishing a well defeated last of nine. Forgive the run, but also don't be so forgiving that you take skinny odds about him next start. De Gaulle Lane on way back This 5YO gelding won the Queensland Derby by over four lengths in June 2001. Injury kept him off the racetrack since. There was nothing wrong with De Gaulle Lane's first up run at Moonee Valley. In the same race as Rubitano, he finished seventh, beaten about four lengths. Better over more distance, he should show significant improvement from the workout. Don't dismiss Desert Sky Another horse worth watching from the same race is this Matthew Ellerton trained 5YO gelding. He won two Group 1 Weight for Age races at Caulfied in January 2001. He hasn't won another race since, but specked from $31.00 to $21.00 he did finish the closest of fourths in the Group 1 Newmarket Handicap at Flemington in March this year. He was beaten 0.3 lengths by Rubitano, with North Boy and Mistegic also just in front of him. First up at Moonee Valley last Saturday he didn't appear to have much luck in the short home straight. He was only beaten a couple of lengths. This edition of Punt to Win: Back Tote Longshots?
You Need Top Odds It
is just about impossible to get a high enough
strike rate backing short priced tote favourites
and the poor value tote horses to make up
for the big unders on the tote. Short
priced tote favourites Copyright ©1998-present. OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved. |
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