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23/5/2003 edition

Betting Tips
and
Form Analysis

Stradbroke Handicap

Here's a pre-post market I saw the other day for The Stradbroke Handicap, to be run at Doomben on June 7.

$3.50 Private Steer
$7.00 Bel Esprit, Falvelon, Yell
$10.00 North Boy
$13.00 Excellerator, Gordo, Scenic Peak
$17.00 Make Mine Magic, Tit For Taat

Those prices alone make a market of over 116%. Throw in another three horses at $21.00, another horse at $26.00 and another six horses at $34.00 just for good measure and you have a market of over 150%. Of course, there were plenty of other bets at $50 or longer.

But that's not all. If for any reason your horse doesn't race in the Stradbroke Handicap your entire bet is lost.

Talk about betting markets with the odds massively against punters. You don't even know whether your bet will start, the barrier draw, the jockeys or the track conditions.

These prepost betting markets need proper reform. Here are some suggestions.

1. A total market percentage for all the listed horses of no more than 120%.
2. A full refund if your bet is scratched.
3. Prices for all other bets adjusted for scratchings. Bookmakers adjust prices if say a horse is scratched at the barriers on racedays. Surely it can be done for these markets?

Under the current rules and outrageously high market percentages you should not bet into these early pre-post markets for feature races.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Racecaller betting tips and form analysis
The Stradbroke Handicap pre-post betting odds
Betting on Heavy tracks
Betting favourites in small fields
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Rosehill betting tips from the track
Money talks - Sandown Hillside betting tips from the track
Money talks - Doomben betting tips from the track
Money talks - Morphettville betting tips from the track
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 16/5/2003
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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