Punt to Win

Pro-Punter
Horse racing forums
Swap tips and discuss betting systems and software
Win at racing

 

 

23/5/2003 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from Saturday, May 17.

Rosehill: Track Heavy
R2 $50,000 race
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: five
Favourite: Masked
Result: first
Winning/losing margin: 0.8 lengths
Starting price: $3.50
Top fluctation: $3.50
Tote dividends' range: $2.50 - $2.80
Jockey: Rod Quinn
Trainer: John Hawkes

R5 $50,000 race
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Fixated
Result: first
Winning/losing margin: short head
Starting price: $1.80
Top fluctation: $2.00
Tote dividends' range: $1.80 - $1.90
Jockey: Rod Quinn
Trainer: John Hawkes

Sandown Hillside: Track Slow
R5 $40,000 race
Distance: 1300 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Recast
Result: first
Winning/losing margin: 2.5 lengths
Starting price: $2.30
Top fluctation: $2.70
Tote dividends' range: $2.30 - $2.40
Jockey: Bryce Dieckmann
Trainer: Bradley Marzato

Morphettville: Track Good
R2 $125,000 race
Distance: 1600 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Under The Bridge
Result: first
Winning/losing margin: 0.5 lengths
Starting price: $1.60
Top fluctation: $1.70
Tote dividends' range: $1.40 - $1.60
Jockey: Steven Arnold
Trainer: Tony Vasil

This edition of Punt to Win:
Racecaller betting tips and form analysis
The Stradbroke Handicap pre-post betting odds
Betting on Heavy tracks
Betting favourites in small fields
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Rosehill betting tips from the track
Money talks - Sandown Hillside betting tips from the track
Money talks - Doomben betting tips from the track
Money talks - Morphettville betting tips from the track
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 16/5/2003
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


Copyright ©1998-present. OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved.

 

Home | Contact us | Horse racing forum | Advertise

 
  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.