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22/11/2002 edition

Betting Value Tips

Horses who are unlucky can often catch everyone by surprise and win or place at one of their next few starts at bolter's odds. That is just what you want for quinellas, trifectas and first four.

Please note:
There is no one single factor which guarantees winning selections. This information can be useful when taken into account with other form factors.

Here are some of the unlucky horses from Saturday, November 16.

Sandown:
River Dove - held up for a run
Zoilus - inconvenienced at the 300

Rosehill:
Imperialism - very wide run, poor ride
Lion Pride - held up for a run
Bonbird - backmarker, again held up for a run
Minelli - wide run
Yes Chief - badly held up in the straight
Lakeside Folly - behind the leader with no run in the straight
Belle Of The Isle - wide run
Pentathlon - backmarker, held up for a run

Eagle Farm:
Ragnar - well back, held up for a run
D'Argent Fille - behind leaders held up at the 250
Feelers - held up for a run
Final Intrigue - well back, slow pace, no chance, poor ride
Uphold - midfield, slow pace

Cheltenham:
Cheers Pop - badly held up in the straight
Spring Haven - badly held up entire straight
Jeunola Star - badly held up entire straight
Mootiara - behind leaders held up in the straight
Dimness - held up plus shuffled back in the straight
Real Time - no clear run early in the straight

This edition of Punt to Win:
Should you follow the money and back a plunged horse on the tote?
Be a form detective - and win!
Betting tips from Sandown last Saturday
Confident trainers' tips - will that flop improve?
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Rosehill plunge horses
Money talks - Sandown plunge horses
Money talks - Eagle Farm plunge horses
Money talks - Cheltenham plunge horses
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 15/11/2002
Punt to Win index


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You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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