Morphettville Horse Racing Track Insider Betting Odds Tips and Plunges

Morphettville Horseracing Track
Betting Tips from the Track
Plunge Horses
Money Talks?

Each week we will feature tables showing just how successful the "smart money" was in Adelaide. We have decided to include Adelaide despite the high percentages the bookmakers bet to, because:

1. The plunges get accentuated. It doesn't take much money for the Adelaide bookies to dramatically turn in the prices.

2. In our opinion many of the plunged horses were under the odds before the plunge even took place. It will be interesting to see what return there is on these horses at the top odds available. We believe they will definitely return a significant loss at the plunged starting price, which are the odds tote punters end up taking (often shorter). So much for "tips from the track".

To qualify a horse must have firmed 5% in the betting market. For example if a horse was backed in from $5.00 (4/1 or 20%) to $4.00 (3/1 or 25%) it will qualify. Odds calculator gives you tables.

When the horse wins, so you can judge for yourself how sensible or silly it is over the long term to "follow the money" on the tote, we will also include the worst tote price available. Plenty of tote punters will have collected that tote dividend. Most of them would have "followed the money" on the tote.

Are they getting big enough winning dividends when they "follow the money" on the tote to cover themselves for when "following the tote money loses"?

The jockeys and trainers are also important. You may see some jockeys and trainers consistently bringing home plunges whereas others regularly fail to deliver.

Morphettville, Saturday, 16th. August, 2003
Horse, jockey and trainer	Firmed from		% Firm	Tote	Finish	Beaten/winning margin

Magical Spirit	9.00	5.00	8.89%	-	2/12	3.3 lengths
Darren Holland			Lin Richards

Cellay	11.00	7.00	5.20%	-	9/12	8.4 lengths
Justin Potter			Fred Meuring

Nineveh	13.00	7.50	5.64%	-	6/12	3.5 lengths
Darren Holland			Stuart Gower

Cosmic Strike	9.00	5.00	8.89%	-	11/14	2.9 lengths
Matthew Neilson			Bill Papazaharoudakis

Jezarich	6.00	4.00	8.33%	-	12/12	fell
Kypros Louca			John Hickmott

Our Pebbles	15.00	7.00	7.62%	-	6/14	1.5 lengths
Matthew Neilson			Reg Jennings

Smooth Takeoff	5.00	3.30	10.30%	-	10/14	4.1 lengths
Jason Holder			Mark Kavanagh

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	Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.