21/1/2006 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from Saturday, 14th. January.

Canterbury: Track Good

R1 $60,000 2YO. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1100 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Princess Uno
Result: first
Starting price: $2.05
Top fluctuation: $2.20
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.20
Jockey: Jay Ford
Trainer: Graeme Rogerson

R2 $60,000 3YO and upward. Fillies & Mares. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1250 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Sob Story
Result: seventh
Starting price: $3.60
Top fluctuation: $4.20
Jockey: James Innes
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Winner: Silk And Money
Starting price: $5.00
Top fluctuation: $5.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $4.10
Jockey: Tim Clark
Trainer: Pat Quinn

R5 $80,000 3YO and upward. Listed. Handicap.
Distance: 1900 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Fiery Venture
Result: third
Starting price: $3.90
Top fluctuation: $3.90
Jockey: Christian Reith
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Winner: Lake Susannah
Starting price: $6.00
Top fluctuation: $6.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $5.70
Jockey: James Innes
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse

Victoria Park: Track Good

R1 $20,000 Class 6. Handicap.
Distance: 1800 metres
Number of runners: six
Equal Favourite: Chemin
Result: second
Starting price: $3.00
Top fluctuation: $3.50
Jockey: Scott Leckey
Trainer: Mark Kavanagh
Equal Favourite: Tetrablaze
Result: fourth
Starting price: $3.00
Top fluctuation: $3.90
Jockey: Will Clarken
Trainer: Leah Conlon
Winner: Prince Perugino
Starting price: $6.00
Top fluctuation: $6.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $5.40
Jockey: Clare Lindop
Trainer: Stephen Theodore

R3 $26,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 2400 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Exalted Time
Result: third
Starting price: $2.50
Top fluctuation: $3.20
Jockey: Tamara Zanker
Trainer: Jim Smith
Winner: Mypollonga
Starting price: $7.00
Top fluctuation: $7.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $9.10
Jockey: Dean Yendall
Trainer: Paul Preusker

R4 $20,000 3YO and upward. Rs0ly. Handicap.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Haphazard
Result: first
Starting price: $2.30
Top fluctuation: $2.40
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.40
Jockey: Clare Lindop
Trainer: Dennis McMahon

R5 $20,000 3YO and upward. Fillies & Mares. Rs1ly. Handicap.
Distance: 1800 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Subsequential
Result: second
Starting price: $3.00
Top fluctuation: $3.10
Jockey: Matthew Neilson
Trainer: Phillip Stokes
Winner: Woman Eyes
Starting price: $4.20
Top fluctuation: $4.20
SuperTab tote dividend: $4.50
Jockey: Kayla Stra
Trainer: Peter Jolly

This edition of Punt to Win:
Mirror Mirror, $48.90, wins 2006 2YO Magic Millions Classic
The best horse racing tipping service on the internet
Get those betting odds
The Pre-Post Favourite horse racing betting system
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small fields - Canterbury & Victoria Park
Betting favourites in small fields - Sandown Lakeside
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting tips from the track - Canterbury and Sandown Lakeside
Racing results for horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 14/1/2006
Punt to Win index

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