Punt to Win

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20/12/2002 edition

Betting Value Tips

Horses who are unlucky can often catch everyone by surprise and win or place at one of their next few starts at bolter's odds. That is just what you want for quinellas, trifectas and first four.

Please note:
There is no one single factor which guarantees winning selections. This information can be useful when taken into account with other form factors.

Here are some of the unlucky horses from Saturday, December 14.

Sandown:
Carahill - searched for a run in the straight, tightened for room
Green Pick - badly held up for a run
Super Impressive - badly held up for a run
Confederate Kid - held up in the straight
Kepero - badly held up for a run
Palaris - tightened, little room in the straight
Lady Mulroy - tightened in the run to the post
White Mist - searched for a run in the straight, inconvenienced

Rosehill:
Lovely Jubly - missed the start, covered ground
Irish Crusader - badly held up for a run in the straight
Regal Alliance - covered ground
Solitary Soldier - cut out at the 150
Catechism - held up, checked in the straight

Eagle Farm:
Eimeo Bay - held up early in the straight
Origin Hero - well back, searched for a run in the straight

Cheltenham:
Anti Miyaki - searched for a run in the straight
King Crow - got too far out of its ground
Dimness - well back, covered ground

This edition of Punt to Win:
Betting John Hawkes' trained horses
Brisbane bookmakers - poor betting odds
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Rosehill betting tips from the track
Money talks - Sandown betting tips from the track
Money talks - Eagle Farm betting tips from the track
Money talks - Cheltenham betting tips from the track
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 13/12/2002
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Silver Canon 30.90 39.90 $900
Sure Bet 15.50 23.90 $840
Starbucks 11.80 20.10 $830
Fox Helios 25.30 30.10 $480
Janadi 25.40 29.20 $380
Baal Yabba 14.90 18.10 $320


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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